NYSE$BKD

Brookdale Senior Living Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Brookdale's Q1 2021 results were announced, showing occupancy growth in March and April, and a resident vaccine acceptance rate of 93%.

Brookdale Senior Living Inc. reported a decrease in revenue and net loss for the quarter ended March 31, 2021, but showed positive trends in occupancy and vaccine acceptance.

  • Net move-ins and move-outs turned positive in March, the first time since the pandemic began, and remained positive in April.
  • Monthly weighted average occupancy grew slightly in March and increased 50 basis points in April.
  • First quarter revenue per occupied unit (RevPOR) increased by 2.9% year-over-year on a same community basis.
  • All communities completed at least three vaccine clinics with a 93% resident vaccine acceptance rate, and COVID-19 positive resident caseload decreased by 97% since mid-December 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$749M

Previous: $1.01B-26.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.59

Previous: $0.09-755.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$40.4M

Previous: -$69.4M+41.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$149M

Previous: $300M-149.5%
Net Income

-$108M

Previous: $370M-129.3%
Operating Income

-$61.6M

Previous: $14.9M-513.4%
Gross Profit

$127M

Previous: $303M-58.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$304M

Previous: $393M-22.6%
Total Assets

$6.75B

Previous: $7.5B-10.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.78M

Previous: $5.96M-19.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Brookdale · Revenue · Quarterly

$749M

Q1 2021-26.1%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Brookdale · $673M total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • Resident fees
    $664M-15.1%
  • Management fees
    $8.57M-92.1%

Forward guidance

Brookdale anticipates sequential occupancy growth in Q2 and stronger growth in Q3 2021. Pandemic-related expenses are expected to decrease by more than 50% in Q2 compared to Q1 2021. Non-development capital expenditures are projected to be approximately $140 million for the full year 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Expects sequential occupancy growth in the second quarter of 2021.
  • Anticipates stronger occupancy growth in the third quarter of 2021.
  • Expects to reduce pandemic-related expenses by more than 50% in the second quarter, compared to the first quarter of 2021.
  • Plans to continue publishing monthly occupancy updates until providing financial guidance.
  • Expects to pay approximately $32 million of deferred payments in both December 2021 and 2022 related to the Payroll Tax Deferral Program.

Headwinds

  • Key factors may impact the Company's financial performance and liquidity for 2021.
  • Senior Housing Occupancy is still subject to change.
  • Pandemic-related Expenses are still high.
  • Working Capital impacts related to Government Temporary Liquidity Relief will affect finances.
  • Medicare Advanced Payments recoupment of approximately $6 million of advanced payments related to the CCRCs segment during 2021, beginning in the second quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

27 / 64 earnings

Positive

+22.1%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-23.4%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%-8.6%-13.0%
Q4 2025-9.7%-7.2%-17.0%
Q3 2025-1.5%+10.1%+16.3%
Q1 2025-2.4%+1.3%-1.0%
Q4 2024+2.6%+6.4%+13.6%
Q3 2024-8.9%-8.5%-11.3%
Q2 2024-5.2%-2.6%-6.3%
Q1 2024-4.1%-3.3%-9.3%
Q4 2023-10.9%-14.4%+5.3%
Q3 2023+6.5%+1.0%+25.4%
Q2 2023+22.1%+12.0%+5.9%
Q1 2023+0.3%-5.6%+1.8%
Q4 2022+8.8%+7.2%-23.5%
Q3 2022-0.2%+11.9%-31.2%
Q2 2022+8.9%+16.9%+3.5%
Q1 2022-3.9%-5.1%-11.4%
Q4 2021+15.3%+16.8%+23.9%
Q3 2021+14.2%+8.3%-12.4%
Q2 2021-2.8%-7.9%-3.5%
Q1 2021+10.9%+8.2%+2.9%
Q4 2020+17.8%+15.4%+23.3%
Q3 2020-14.3%+21.5%+38.3%
Q2 2020-3.0%-6.6%-8.6%
Q1 2020-5.9%+1.6%+30.5%
Q4 2019+21.1%+15.3%-70.6%
Q3 2019-3.5%-2.4%-3.7%
Q2 2019+2.8%+5.3%+4.5%
Q1 2019+9.8%+9.6%-3.1%
Q4 2018-13.3%-11.9%-14.8%
Q3 2018+4.2%-0.3%-5.5%
Q2 2018-4.0%-7.7%+12.5%
Q1 2018+6.7%+4.9%+21.5%
Q4 2017-23.4%-23.5%-23.3%
Q3 2017-15.7%-2.1%-2.3%
Q2 2017-1.7%-4.6%-12.0%
Q1 2017-0.1%+8.6%+3.7%
Q4 2016-1.4%-5.1%-19.0%
Q3 2016-17.3%-13.4%-21.9%
Q2 2016+4.3%-1.3%+3.3%
Q1 2016+0.0%
Q4 2015-21.0%
Q3 2015+3.0%
Q2 2015-7.5%
Q1 2015+3.0%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014+1.3%
Q2 2014-1.2%
Q1 2014-1.0%
Q4 2013+6.8%
Q3 2013+6.2%
Q2 2013-0.3%
Q1 2013+9.3%
Q4 2012-3.1%
Q3 2012+2.1%
Q2 2012+2.3%
Q1 2012-3.1%
Q4 2011-1.8%
Q3 2011-6.7%
Q2 2011-6.1%
Q1 2011+3.8%
Q4 2010+1.3%
Q3 2010-5.7%
Q2 2010-2.2%
Q1 2010-8.7%

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