NYSE$BIGGQ

Big Lots Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net loss for Q3 2021, with net sales decreasing by 3.1% compared to the same period last year but increasing 14.4% compared to Q3 2019.

Big Lots reported a net loss of $4.3 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2021. Net sales totaled $1,336 million, a 3.1% decrease compared to the same period last year. The company announced a new $250 million share repurchase authorization.

  • Net loss of $4.3 million, or $0.14 per share, for the third quarter of fiscal 2021.
  • Net sales for the third quarter of fiscal 2021 totaled $1,336 million, a 3.1% decrease compared to last year.
  • Comparable sales decreased by 4.7%, but increased 12.3% on a two-year basis.
  • New $250 million share repurchase authorization announced.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.2B

Previous: $1.34B-9.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.01

Previous: $0.90-101.1%
Comparable Sales Increase

-4.7%

Previous: 17.8%-126.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$127M

Previous: -$123M-3.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$406M

Previous: -$47M-764.9%
Net Income

-$103M

Previous: -$4.33M-2279.1%
Operating Income

-$131M

Previous: -$4.13M-3069.6%
Gross Profit

$409M

Previous: $519M-21.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$62.1M

Previous: $70.6M-12.0%
Total Assets

$4.04B

Previous: $4.03B+0.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.7M

Previous: $10.9M-20.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Big Lots · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.2B

Q3 2022-9.8%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021, the company expects diluted earnings per share in the range of $2.05 to $2.20, based on a slightly positive comparable sales increase. For the full year, the company expects a negative low single digit decrease in comparable sales and diluted earnings per share in the range of $5.70 to $5.85.

Tailwinds

  • Expects to report diluted earnings per share in the range of $2.05 to $2.20 for Q4 2021.
  • Anticipates a slightly positive comparable sales increase for Q4 2021.
  • Expects a sales benefit of approximately 180 basis points for Q4 as a result of net new store openings.
  • Company expects a new record sales year in 2022.
  • Expects to see gross margin expansion in 2022 driven by promotional and pricing optimization.

Headwinds

  • Expects fourth quarter gross margin to be down approximately 150 basis points to last year, driven by freight headwinds.
  • For the full year, the company expects a negative low single digit decrease in comparable sales.
  • The impact of freight headwinds for the full year is expected to result in a 120 basis point decline in full year gross margin compared to last year.
  • Supply chain challenges will continue in the near-term.
  • Company took pricing actions in response to volatile supply chain costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-2.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-6.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-6.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

31 / 61 earnings

Positive

+8.1%

Q2 2021

Best reaction

-50.9%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2024-50.9%-64.2%-36.7%
Q3 2025-50.9%-64.2%-36.7%
Q1 2024-2.8%-21.0%-56.3%
Q4 2024-13.0%-21.0%-56.3%
Q2 2024-1.0%-1.7%-31.1%
Q4 2023-0.2%+6.1%-14.8%
Q3 2023-6.7%-12.0%-24.6%
Q2 2023-4.5%-0.7%-24.3%
Q1 2023+5.5%+2.4%-12.8%
Q4 2022-3.9%-9.9%-13.2%
Q3 2022+0.5%+2.0%+3.3%
Q2 2022+1.5%+0.7%+2.8%
Q1 2022+2.5%+1.3%-11.6%
Q4 2021+1.3%+2.1%+4.5%
Q3 2021-14.6%-11.8%-18.8%
Q2 2021+8.1%+9.2%+16.4%
Q1 2021+4.0%+3.7%+55.3%
Q4 2020-0.6%+5.8%+68.9%
Q3 2020+4.7%+0.0%+7.9%
Q2 2020-5.6%-9.0%-9.2%
Q1 2020+2.0%+0.6%-26.6%
Q4 2019-1.2%-0.6%-4.1%
Q3 2019-0.8%-4.5%+4.7%
Q2 2019-3.9%-4.2%-0.8%
Q1 2019-0.7%-0.9%-2.2%
Q4 2018+2.9%-0.1%-1.8%
Q3 2018+0.3%-1.4%-1.5%
Q2 2018-0.1%+0.6%+11.8%
Q1 2018-1.9%-2.6%-1.4%
Q4 2017+2.6%+1.2%+7.9%
Q3 2017+3.0%+0.6%-8.7%
Q2 2017-0.6%-1.5%-4.7%
Q1 2017+1.3%
Q4 2016+0.6%
Q3 2016-1.5%
Q2 2016-4.1%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015-1.3%
Q3 2015-1.2%
Q2 2015+0.5%
Q1 2015-1.1%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+1.4%
Q1 2014+0.9%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013-4.4%
Q2 2013+0.1%
Q1 2013-1.9%
Q4 2012+2.5%
Q3 2012-2.0%
Q2 2012+1.1%
Q1 2011+2.0%
Q1 2012+0.4%
Q4 2011+0.8%
Q4 2009+0.8%
Q3 2010-0.1%
Q3 2011-0.1%
Q2 2010+0.6%
Q4 2010+0.6%
Q2 2011+0.6%

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