NYSE$BIGGQ

Big Lots Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net loss with comparable sales decline, but inventory reduction efforts are on track.

Big Lots reported a net loss of $84.2 million for Q2 2022, with net sales decreasing by 7.6% to $1.35 billion compared to the same period last year. The decline was driven by a comparable sales decrease of 9.2%. The company is focused on managing costs, repositioning its assortment, and enhancing its balance sheet.

  • Q2 GAAP EPS loss of $2.91; adjusted EPS loss of $2.28.
  • Net sales for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 totaled $1.35 billion, a 7.6% decrease compared to $1.46 billion for the same period last year.
  • Comparable sales decreased 9.2% compared to the same period last year.
  • Inventory ended the second quarter of fiscal 2022 at $1,159.0 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.14B

Previous: $1.35B-15.4%
EPS (adj)

-$2.92

Previous: $1.13-358.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$30M

Previous: -$89.4M+66.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$181M

Previous: -$225M+19.7%
Net Income

-$250M

Previous: -$84.2M-196.9%
Operating Income

-$122M

Previous: -$109M-11.9%
Gross Profit

$376M

Previous: $439M-14.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$46M

Previous: $49.1M-6.3%
Total Assets

$3.38B

Previous: $3.83B-11.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.86M

Previous: $11M-65.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Big Lots · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.14B

Q2 2023-15.4%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the third quarter, the company expects one-year comps to be down in the low double-digit range. Net new stores will add about 140 bps of growth versus 2021. The company expects continued significant promotional activity in Q3, resulting in a quarter gross margin rate into the mid-30s, and that SG&A dollars will grow low single- digits to 2021. Given an atypically wide range of outcomes, the company is not providing EPS guidance at this point. The company expects a share count of approximately 28.9 million for Q3. The company is taking aggressive actions to significantly improve the gross margin rate in Q4, to a rate that is approximately in-line with the prior year quarter. In addition, the company will continue to take actions to reduce expenses.

Tailwinds

  • Net new stores will add about 140 bps of growth versus 2021.
  • Taking aggressive actions to significantly improve the gross margin rate in Q4, to a rate that is approximately in-line with the prior year quarter.
  • Continue to take actions to reduce expenses.

Headwinds

  • One-year comps to be down in the low double-digit range.
  • Continued significant promotional activity in Q3, resulting in a quarter gross margin rate into the mid-30s.
  • SG&A dollars will grow low single- digits to 2021.
  • Given an atypically wide range of outcomes, the company is not providing EPS guidance at this point.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-2.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-6.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-6.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

31 / 61 earnings

Positive

+8.1%

Q2 2021

Best reaction

-50.9%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2024-50.9%-64.2%-36.7%
Q3 2025-50.9%-64.2%-36.7%
Q1 2024-2.8%-21.0%-56.3%
Q4 2024-13.0%-21.0%-56.3%
Q2 2024-1.0%-1.7%-31.1%
Q4 2023-0.2%+6.1%-14.8%
Q3 2023-6.7%-12.0%-24.6%
Q2 2023-4.5%-0.7%-24.3%
Q1 2023+5.5%+2.4%-12.8%
Q4 2022-3.9%-9.9%-13.2%
Q3 2022+0.5%+2.0%+3.3%
Q2 2022+1.5%+0.7%+2.8%
Q1 2022+2.5%+1.3%-11.6%
Q4 2021+1.3%+2.1%+4.5%
Q3 2021-14.6%-11.8%-18.8%
Q2 2021+8.1%+9.2%+16.4%
Q1 2021+4.0%+3.7%+55.3%
Q4 2020-0.6%+5.8%+68.9%
Q3 2020+4.7%+0.0%+7.9%
Q2 2020-5.6%-9.0%-9.2%
Q1 2020+2.0%+0.6%-26.6%
Q4 2019-1.2%-0.6%-4.1%
Q3 2019-0.8%-4.5%+4.7%
Q2 2019-3.9%-4.2%-0.8%
Q1 2019-0.7%-0.9%-2.2%
Q4 2018+2.9%-0.1%-1.8%
Q3 2018+0.3%-1.4%-1.5%
Q2 2018-0.1%+0.6%+11.8%
Q1 2018-1.9%-2.6%-1.4%
Q4 2017+2.6%+1.2%+7.9%
Q3 2017+3.0%+0.6%-8.7%
Q2 2017-0.6%-1.5%-4.7%
Q1 2017+1.3%
Q4 2016+0.6%
Q3 2016-1.5%
Q2 2016-4.1%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015-1.3%
Q3 2015-1.2%
Q2 2015+0.5%
Q1 2015-1.1%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+1.4%
Q1 2014+0.9%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013-4.4%
Q2 2013+0.1%
Q1 2013-1.9%
Q4 2012+2.5%
Q3 2012-2.0%
Q2 2012+1.1%
Q1 2011+2.0%
Q1 2012+0.4%
Q4 2011+0.8%
Q4 2009+0.8%
Q3 2010-0.1%
Q3 2011-0.1%
Q2 2010+0.6%
Q4 2010+0.6%
Q2 2011+0.6%

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