NYSE$BGS

B&G Foods Inc. · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Financial results were reported consistent with short-term and long-term plans, with pricing and cost savings initiatives offsetting inflation, complemented by net sales and earnings growth through new product innovation and accretive acquisitions.

B&G Foods reported a net sales increase of $12.1 million, reaching $470.2 million for Q4 2019. Diluted earnings per share were $0.16, with adjusted diluted earnings per share at $0.28. Net income stood at $10.3 million, while adjusted EBITDA increased by $11.0 million to $69.5 million.

  • Net sales increased by 2.6% to $470.2 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share were reported at $0.16.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 18.8% to $69.5 million.
  • The Clabber Girl acquisition contributed $25.2 million to net sales.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$470M

Previous: $458M+2.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.28

Previous: $0.34-17.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$69.5M

Previous: $58.5M+18.8%
Capital Expenditures

$13.8M

Previous: $15.7M-11.9%
Free Cash Flow

$31.3M

Previous: $54.7M-42.7%
Net Income

$10.3M

Previous: $112M-90.8%
Operating Income

$45.2M

Previous: $174M-74.1%
Gross Profit

$94.4M

Previous: $49.9M+89.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$11.3M

Previous: $11.6M-2.9%
Total Assets

$3.23B

Previous: $3.06B+5.6%
Stock-Based Comp

-$369K

Previous: -$321K-15.0%

Revenue & EPS history

B&G Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$470M

Q4 2019+2.6%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For fiscal year 2020, B&G Foods anticipates net sales between $1.660 billion and $1.680 billion, adjusted EBITDA in the range of $302.5 million to $312.5 million, and adjusted diluted earnings per share between $1.60 and $1.80.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales are expected to be approximately $1.660 billion to $1.680 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $302.5 million to $312.5 million.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share is expected to be approximately $1.60 to $1.80.
  • Net interest expense is expected to be approximately $98.0 million to $103.0 million (including cash interest payments which are expected to be approximately $94.0 million to $99.0 million).
  • Capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $40.0 million to $45.0 million.

Headwinds

  • Cash taxes are expected to be approximately $10.0 million to $20.0 million.
  • Depreciation expense is expected to be approximately $45.0 million.
  • Amortization expense is expected to be approximately $19.0 million.
  • Forward-looking adjusted EBITDA and adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance is provided only on a non-GAAP basis.
  • Guidance does not provide a reconciliation of forward-looking adjusted EBITDA and adjusted diluted earnings per share to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures because of the inherent difficulty in forecasting and quantifying certain amounts that are necessary for such reconciliations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

27 / 63 earnings

Positive

+29.2%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-27.0%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-13.1%-18.8%
Q4 2026+16.4%+10.5%-1.6%
Q3 2026+0.8%+16.8%+15.3%
Q1 2025-5.5%-8.9%-7.8%
Q4 2024+2.9%-2.8%-2.9%
Q3 2024-18.4%-25.1%-23.6%
Q2 2024+0.7%-1.6%+4.3%
Q1 2024-27.0%-24.4%-17.5%
Q4 2023+21.7%+27.1%+22.1%
Q3 2023-1.9%-9.4%+14.3%
Q2 2023+11.2%+0.4%-3.6%
Q1 2023-3.7%-4.9%-15.8%
Q4 2022+29.2%+26.0%+21.5%
Q3 2022-0.6%-10.9%-17.8%
Q2 2022-7.4%-10.3%-19.0%
Q1 2022-12.7%-14.6%-20.2%
Q4 2021-1.0%-1.2%-8.9%
Q3 2021-0.1%-0.6%-9.4%
Q2 2021+3.9%+8.3%+9.0%
Q1 2021-1.5%+3.2%+12.6%
Q3 2020+2.3%-4.0%-1.4%
Q2 2020+4.4%+6.6%+13.3%
Q1 2020+6.5%+6.3%+23.0%
Q4 2019+20.3%+13.1%+27.9%
Q3 2019+3.8%+12.3%+7.6%
Q2 2019+9.2%+9.2%-7.4%
Q1 2019-11.0%-14.5%-14.0%
Q4 2018-0.9%+2.0%-0.6%
Q3 2018-2.4%+1.1%+14.5%
Q2 2018-1.6%-1.9%+0.9%
Q1 2018+12.6%+17.4%+27.8%
Q4 2017-13.4%-7.8%-25.9%
Q3 2017+10.5%+3.5%+19.3%
Q2 2017-8.9%-10.8%-11.8%
Q1 2017-1.0%+0.2%-0.5%
Q4 2016-8.2%-10.6%-14.5%
Q3 2016-6.6%-10.6%-8.9%
Q2 2016+13.7%+11.7%+3.8%
Q1 2016+22.6%
Q4 2015-7.6%
Q3 2015-1.6%
Q2 2015+1.3%
Q1 2015+7.0%
Q4 2014-4.2%
Q3 2014-6.2%
Q2 2014-5.7%
Q1 2014-3.5%
Q4 2013-8.4%
Q3 2013-3.8%
Q2 2013-4.1%
Q1 2013+7.6%
Q4 2012-6.8%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012+2.9%
Q1 2012+3.1%
Q4 2010-0.9%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011-10.7%
Q1 2011-10.7%
Q3 2010+6.9%
Q2 2010+2.4%
Q1 2010+1.4%

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