NYSE$BGS

B&G Foods Inc. · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong performance driven by Crisco acquisition, offset by COVID-19 pandemic comparisons and one less reporting week.

B&G Foods reported a 3.9% increase in net sales to $515.0 million for Q3 2021, driven by the Crisco acquisition, but diluted EPS decreased 55.6% to $0.32 and adjusted EBITDA decreased 8.1% to $96.2 million due to comparisons against extraordinary demand in Q3 2020 and industry-wide input cost inflation.

  • Net sales increased 3.9% to $515.0 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share decreased 55.6% to $0.32.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share decreased 25.7% to $0.55.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased 8.1% to $96.2 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$515M

Previous: $496M+3.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.55

Previous: $0.74-25.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$96.2M

Previous: $105M-8.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$31.7M

Previous: -$16.5M-92.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$10.9M

Previous: $30.3M-136.0%
Net Income

$20.7M

Previous: $46.8M-55.7%
Operating Income

$53.9M

Previous: $87.9M-38.7%
Gross Profit

$106M

Previous: $136M-22.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$27.1M

Previous: $57M-52.5%
Total Assets

$3.95B

Previous: $3.28B+20.3%

Revenue & EPS history

B&G Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$515M

Q3 2021+3.9%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

B&G Foods reaffirmed its net sales guidance for full year fiscal 2021. Net sales, which will be positively impacted by a full twelve months of ownership of the Crisco brand, are expected to be approximately $2.05 billion to $2.10 billion. B&G Foods also announced adjusted EBITDA guidance for full year fiscal 2021 at a range of $358.0 million to $365.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Strong consumer demand relative to pre-pandemic 2019.
  • Initiated revenue enhancing activities.
  • Initiated cost savings initiatives.
  • Net sales positively impacted by Crisco brand.
  • Net sales expected to be $2.05B-$2.10B

Headwinds

  • Significant cost inflation for various inputs.
  • Unable to fully estimate the impact of COVID-19.
  • Unable to fully estimate the impact of cost inflation.
  • Unable to fully estimate the impact of cost inflation mitigation efforts.
  • Ultimate impact of the COVID-19 pandemic depends on many factors.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

27 / 63 earnings

Positive

+29.2%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-27.0%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-13.1%-18.8%-20.0%
Q4 2026+16.4%+10.5%-1.6%
Q3 2026+0.8%+16.8%+15.3%
Q1 2025-5.5%-8.9%-7.8%
Q4 2024+2.9%-2.8%-2.9%
Q3 2024-18.4%-25.1%-23.6%
Q2 2024+0.7%-1.6%+4.3%
Q1 2024-27.0%-24.4%-17.5%
Q4 2023+21.7%+27.1%+22.1%
Q3 2023-1.9%-9.4%+14.3%
Q2 2023+11.2%+0.4%-3.6%
Q1 2023-3.7%-4.9%-15.8%
Q4 2022+29.2%+26.0%+21.5%
Q3 2022-0.6%-10.9%-17.8%
Q2 2022-7.4%-10.3%-19.0%
Q1 2022-12.7%-14.6%-20.2%
Q4 2021-1.0%-1.2%-8.9%
Q3 2021-0.1%-0.6%-9.4%
Q2 2021+3.9%+8.3%+9.0%
Q1 2021-1.5%+3.2%+12.6%
Q3 2020+2.3%-4.0%-1.4%
Q2 2020+4.4%+6.6%+13.3%
Q1 2020+6.5%+6.3%+23.0%
Q4 2019+20.3%+13.1%+27.9%
Q3 2019+3.8%+12.3%+7.6%
Q2 2019+9.2%+9.2%-7.4%
Q1 2019-11.0%-14.5%-14.0%
Q4 2018-0.9%+2.0%-0.6%
Q3 2018-2.4%+1.1%+14.5%
Q2 2018-1.6%-1.9%+0.9%
Q1 2018+12.6%+17.4%+27.8%
Q4 2017-13.4%-7.8%-25.9%
Q3 2017+10.5%+3.5%+19.3%
Q2 2017-8.9%-10.8%-11.8%
Q1 2017-1.0%+0.2%-0.5%
Q4 2016-8.2%-10.6%-14.5%
Q3 2016-6.6%-10.6%-8.9%
Q2 2016+13.7%+11.7%+3.8%
Q1 2016+22.6%
Q4 2015-7.6%
Q3 2015-1.6%
Q2 2015+1.3%
Q1 2015+7.0%
Q4 2014-4.2%
Q3 2014-6.2%
Q2 2014-5.7%
Q1 2014-3.5%
Q4 2013-8.4%
Q3 2013-3.8%
Q2 2013-4.1%
Q1 2013+7.6%
Q4 2012-6.8%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012+2.9%
Q1 2012+3.1%
Q4 2010-0.9%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q1 2011-10.7%
Q2 2011-10.7%
Q3 2010+6.9%
Q2 2010+2.4%
Q1 2010+1.4%

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