NYSE$BF-A

Brown Forman Corporation · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Brown-Forman's Q4 2020 earnings were impacted by COVID-19, leading to a sales decline.

Brown-Forman reported a 5% decrease in net sales for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2020, totaling $709 million. Diluted earnings per share also decreased by 20% to $0.27. The company's performance was significantly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, which impacted on-premise and travel retail channels.

  • Net sales decreased by 5% to $709 million in Q4 2020.
  • Operating income decreased by 18% to $187 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share decreased by 20% to $0.27.
  • COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted results, especially in on-premise and travel retail channels.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$709M

Previous: $744M-4.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.27

Previous: $0.33-18.2%
Operating Margin

26.4%

No prior period
Quarterly Dividend

$0.17

No prior period
Gross Margin

63.9%

No prior period
Effective Tax Rate

22.9%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$29M

Previous: $35M-17.1%
Free Cash Flow

$186M

Previous: $188M-1.1%
Net Income

$128M

Previous: $159M-19.5%
Operating Income

$187M

Previous: $228M-18.0%
Gross Profit

$453M

Previous: $482M-6.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$675M

Previous: $307M+119.9%
Total Assets

$5.77B

Previous: $5.14B+12.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$3M

Previous: $2M+50.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Brown-Forman · Revenue · Quarterly

$709M

Q4 2020-4.7%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 13 quarters(62%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Due to the uncertainty caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, Brown-Forman is not providing quantitative guidance for fiscal year 2021. The company expects to continue funding investments and paying regular dividends.

Tailwinds

  • Strong balance sheet
  • Solid cash flows
  • Ample liquidity
  • Attractive portfolio of brands
  • Resilient supply chain

Headwinds

  • Substantial uncertainty related to the evolving COVID-19 pandemic
  • Effect on the global economy
  • Difficult to quantify or predict impact with reasonable certainty
  • Estimated net change in distributor inventories
  • Foreign exchange fluctuations

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.2%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

29 / 69 earnings

Positive

+10.4%

Q1 2021

Best reaction

-9.1%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+2.8%+5.9%
Q3 2026-5.7%-10.8%-4.9%
Q2 2026+0.1%+0.1%-11.2%
Q1 2026-4.8%-3.9%-13.1%
Q4 2025+0.0%-0.8%+6.9%
Q3 2025+10.2%+14.6%-2.4%
Q2 2025+8.8%+10.7%-11.0%
Q1 2025+1.1%+1.0%+4.6%
Q4 2024-4.0%-6.4%-5.5%
Q3 2024-9.1%-8.1%-14.2%
Q2 2024-9.0%-6.1%-7.3%
Q1 2024-4.4%-3.0%-17.4%
Q4 2023+5.2%+2.3%+5.6%
Q3 2023-6.2%-5.9%-4.1%
Q2 2023-7.4%-6.4%-12.3%
Q1 2023-1.3%-2.1%-5.6%
Q4 2022+3.2%-0.1%+8.9%
Q3 2022+7.5%-2.0%+5.4%
Q2 2022-4.1%-2.1%-7.7%
Q1 2022+0.5%+1.0%-4.1%
Q4 2021-5.0%-4.4%-5.6%
Q3 2021-4.7%-3.2%-4.3%
Q2 2021+0.3%+4.1%-6.2%
Q1 2021+10.4%+10.8%+5.3%
Q4 2020-0.0%-3.5%-4.4%
Q3 2020-4.1%-11.3%-13.7%
Q2 2020-6.3%-6.8%-0.2%
Q1 2020-0.1%-0.8%+2.7%
Q4 2019+8.5%+10.4%+11.6%
Q3 2019-1.7%-1.3%+2.0%
Q2 2019-1.3%-2.1%-1.3%
Q1 2019+0.4%+0.3%-3.2%
Q4 2018-8.0%-6.7%-6.2%
Q3 2018-4.8%-3.5%-4.4%
Q2 2018+6.1%+4.9%+7.5%
Q1 2018+3.8%+3.8%+4.0%
Q4 2017-5.7%-6.1%-9.5%
Q3 2017-2.9%-3.7%-5.3%
Q2 2017+1.4%+1.1%-1.4%
Q1 2017-4.6%-4.6%-6.8%
Q4 2016+2.1%-0.2%+0.3%
Q3 2016-1.4%
Q2 2016+1.7%
Q1 2016+0.5%
Q4 2015-0.5%
Q3 2015-0.5%
Q2 2015+2.2%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014+2.4%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q3 2014+4.6%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-1.8%
Q4 2013-0.9%
Q2 2013-0.6%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q2 2012-1.4%
Q4 2012+4.4%
Q3 2012-0.2%
Q1 2012-3.6%
Q4 2011-0.1%
Q4 2010-0.1%
Q2 2011-0.1%
Q4 2009-0.1%
Q3 2010-0.8%
Q3 2011-0.8%
Q1 2011+1.9%
Q1 2010+1.9%
Q2 2010+1.9%

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