NYSE$BCO

Brinks Co · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Brink's performance in Q3 2024 reflected strong organic growth in AMS and DRS, offset by currency and market headwinds.

Brink's Q3 2024 results showed a 3% revenue increase, driven by 26% organic growth in ATM managed services and digital retail solutions. However, a strengthening US dollar and cyclical market headwinds in global services partially offset this growth. Profits were affected by these revenue factors and the timing of a large security loss. Cash generation improved through better capital efficiency and working capital management.

  • Delivered strong 26% organic growth in AMS and DRS, driven by customer demand and whitespace opportunities.
  • Higher-margin, recurring revenue businesses (AMS and DRS) now represent over 23% of total company revenue.
  • Growth was partially offset by a strengthening US dollar and cyclical market headwinds in the global services business.
  • Cash generation improved through better capital efficiency and working capital management, offset by foreign currency volatility and cash taxes.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.26B

Previous: $1.23B+2.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.51

Previous: $1.92-21.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$160M

Previous: -$133M-20.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$131M

Previous: -$87.5M-49.7%
Net Income

$28.9M

Previous: $45.6M-36.6%
Operating Income

$112M

Previous: $138M-19.0%
Gross Profit

$315M

Previous: $306M+2.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.23B

Previous: $934M+31.4%
Total Assets

$6.67B

Previous: $6.26B+6.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$7.5M

Previous: $6.4M+17.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Brinks · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.26B

Q3 2024+2.5%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Brink's updated its full-year 2024 Non-GAAP outlook, reflecting the impact of currency and market headwinds in global services. AMS and DRS organic growth is now expected to be above 20%.

Tailwinds

  • Revenues are expected to be $5,000 - 5,050 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be $900 - 920 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be approximately 18.1%.
  • Free cash flow before dividends is anticipated to be $320 - 360 million.
  • EPS from continuing operations attributable to Brink's is estimated to be $6.50 - 6.80.

Headwinds

  • Guidance reflects the impact of currency and market headwinds in global services.
  • Outlook is based on management's current assumptions regarding difficult-to-forecast variables.
  • Guidance assumes the continuation of current economic trends and does not contemplate a significant economic downturn.
  • Revenues are presented in accordance with GAAP.
  • Non-GAAP outlook amounts cannot be reconciled to GAAP without unreasonable effort due to forecasting challenges.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+20.9%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-14.4%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.5%+0.7%-3.3%
Q4 2025-14.4%-8.8%-25.7%
Q3 2025+7.6%+7.5%+10.2%
Q1 2025-5.3%-6.9%-10.4%
Q4 2024+1.9%-6.3%-7.7%
Q3 2024-3.3%-3.7%-9.0%
Q2 2024-5.6%-7.4%+4.2%
Q1 2024+6.2%+6.9%+11.8%
Q4 2023+3.7%+4.5%+16.3%
Q3 2023+3.5%+4.9%+18.7%
Q2 2023-1.5%-0.2%+3.8%
Q1 2023+4.2%+4.1%+13.8%
Q4 2022+6.7%+7.2%+3.8%
Q3 2022-3.2%-0.9%+0.9%
Q2 2022+4.4%+2.7%-0.5%
Q1 2022+0.2%+0.7%+8.3%
Q4 2021+3.3%+2.2%-2.2%
Q3 2021+16.2%+15.6%+6.8%
Q2 2021-3.8%-4.6%-1.4%
Q1 2021+4.3%+3.7%-2.0%
Q4 2020+5.8%+1.1%+3.9%
Q3 2020-2.5%+5.5%+57.1%
Q2 2020+20.9%+13.9%+31.1%
Q1 2020-11.6%-11.8%+0.6%
Q4 2019-6.5%-4.6%-10.5%
Q3 2019-0.8%+2.5%+4.2%
Q2 2019+4.7%+4.6%-18.4%
Q1 2019-3.3%-1.3%-2.5%
Q4 2018+0.9%+3.7%-2.3%
Q3 2018+8.2%+5.5%+4.1%
Q2 2018+2.4%+0.5%-1.1%
Q1 2018+0.5%-1.1%-7.2%
Q4 2017-10.1%-9.3%-10.9%
Q3 2017-8.9%-9.9%-5.1%
Q2 2017+12.9%+10.5%+6.5%
Q1 2017+5.5%+3.9%+7.2%
Q4 2016+16.1%+22.5%+21.2%
Q3 2016+8.7%+5.8%+20.6%
Q2 2016+2.6%+3.6%+15.8%
Q1 2016-13.1%
Q4 2015-0.1%
Q3 2015-2.8%
Q2 2015+3.5%
Q1 2015+15.6%
Q4 2014+7.4%
Q3 2014-7.2%
Q2 2014+2.7%
Q1 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013-1.3%
Q3 2013+9.2%
Q2 2013-1.2%
Q1 2013+6.1%
Q4 2012-8.6%
Q3 2012-7.2%
Q2 2012+1.8%
Q1 2012+18.1%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q4 2011+2.0%
Q3 2011-5.3%
Q2 2011+1.9%
Q1 2010-5.9%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q4 2008-1.1%
Q3 2010+2.8%
Q3 2009+2.8%
Q2 2010-1.5%
Q2 2009-1.5%
Q4 2009-1.5%

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