NYSE$AXTA

Axalta Coating Systems · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Axalta's Q2 2022 performance was driven by record pricing and strong volume growth.

Axalta Coating Systems reported a 9.6% increase in net sales year-over-year, driven by record pricing and solid volume growth. Mobility Coatings delivered significant above-market sales performance. However, income from operations decreased due to variable cost inflation, foreign currency headwinds, and elevated expenses.

  • Net sales increased 9.6% year-over-year (14.5% ex FX) led by record pricing and solid volume growth; Mobility Coatings delivered significant above-market sales performance.
  • Realized record 10.0% price-mix growth with double-digit year-over-year gains in Mobility and Industrial Coatings.
  • Volume increased 2.7% driven by 8.4% growth in North America and 14.8% in Latin America with strong contributions from both segments.
  • Income from operations of $103.6 million versus $190.4 million in Q2 2021; Adjusted EBIT of $150.6 million compared with $173.4 million in Q2 2021 despite $23 million of headwinds associated with the Russia-Ukraine conflict, China lockdowns, and FX.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.23B

Previous: $1.13B+9.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.41

Previous: $0.48-14.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$72M

Previous: -$60.3M-19.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$27.9M

Previous: $66.1M-142.2%
Net Income

$44.1M

Previous: $126M-65.1%
Operating Income

$104M

Previous: $190M-45.6%
Gross Profit

$349M

Previous: $374M-6.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$500M

Previous: $1.23B-59.4%
Total Assets

$6.94B

Previous: $7.21B-3.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.7M

Previous: $4.2M-11.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Axalta · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.23B

Q2 2022+9.6%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Axalta · $1.31B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Performance Coatings
    $856M
  • Mobility Coatings
    $453M

Forward guidance

Axalta anticipates net sales to increase by 15-17% in Q3 2022, including a negative 6% foreign currency impact and a positive 2% acquisition benefit. Adjusted EBIT is expected to be $140-165 million, and adjusted diluted EPS is projected to be $0.37-0.45.

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales: ~+15-17%, including, ~(6)% foreign currency impact and ~+2% acquisition benefit; pricing and volume expected to be up high single-digits year-over-year
  • Adjusted EBIT: $140-165 million
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS: $0.37-0.45; including a $0.05 year-over-year headwind from foreign currency and the Russia-Ukraine conflict
  • Raw material inflation in the high teens versus Q3 2021
  • Likelihood that company will be able to recover the majority of the cumulative price-cost gap by year-end

Headwinds

  • Foreign currency impact of ~(6)%
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS includes a $0.05 year-over-year headwind from foreign currency and the Russia-Ukraine conflict
  • Interest Expense: ~$35 million
  • Adjusted Tax Rate: ~22%-23%
  • Raw material inflation in the high teens versus Q3 2021

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

29 / 48 earnings

Positive

+14.1%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-11.1%

Q2 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.8%-3.7%+9.1%
Q4 2025+0.6%-0.2%-18.6%
Q3 2025+2.3%-2.0%+2.4%
Q1 2025-4.7%-1.7%-7.7%
Q4 2024+8.3%+6.0%+0.9%
Q3 2024+7.1%+7.5%+14.3%
Q2 2024-1.2%-4.5%+2.4%
Q1 2024+10.8%+12.8%+13.2%
Q4 2023-3.7%-5.8%+1.8%
Q3 2023+10.6%+11.9%+22.7%
Q2 2023-7.8%-9.5%-11.6%
Q1 2023-5.3%-4.0%-5.0%
Q4 2022+4.5%+7.3%+5.6%
Q3 2022+1.1%+1.2%+13.6%
Q2 2022-5.4%-3.0%-0.2%
Q1 2022+5.5%+2.0%+4.0%
Q4 2021+0.7%-7.5%-12.6%
Q3 2021-3.2%-4.6%-0.4%
Q2 2021+4.3%+3.9%+7.8%
Q1 2021-0.2%-1.9%-3.0%
Q4 2020+1.7%+6.8%+8.1%
Q3 2020+4.3%+2.4%+10.1%
Q2 2020-3.4%-3.0%+5.6%
Q1 2020-3.6%+2.5%+28.1%
Q4 2019+2.5%+5.8%-11.3%
Q3 2019+3.0%+3.9%-1.9%
Q2 2019+2.3%+0.4%-11.4%
Q1 2019-3.3%-1.9%-11.5%
Q4 2018+0.3%+1.0%+5.6%
Q3 2018-0.6%-4.0%-1.1%
Q2 2018+1.7%+1.1%+0.6%
Q1 2018+3.5%+4.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017+1.5%+2.5%+9.0%
Q3 2017+14.1%+14.4%+24.6%
Q2 2017-11.1%-10.5%-7.2%
Q1 2017-0.7%-1.8%-1.4%
Q4 2016+0.3%+1.0%+6.4%
Q3 2016-1.3%-1.0%+4.7%
Q2 2016+1.4%-0.1%-1.2%
Q1 2016-4.2%
Q4 2015+7.8%
Q3 2015-0.2%
Q2 2015-3.3%
Q2 2014-3.3%
Q1 2014+4.2%
Q4 2014+4.2%
Q1 2015+4.8%
Q3 2014+3.9%
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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