NYSE$AXTA

Axalta Coating Systems · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Axalta's second quarter 2021 results were released, showcasing strong demand recovery and execution despite raw material inflation and supply chain challenges.

Axalta Coating Systems reported a significant rebound in Q2 2021 compared to the COVID-19 impacted Q2 2020. Net sales increased by 72.6% year-over-year to $1,126.8 million. The company saw improvements across all businesses, with strong growth in Industrial coatings and solid recovery in Refinish. Diluted EPS was $0.54, compared to a loss of $(0.35) in the same quarter last year.

  • Net sales increased 72.6% year-over-year to $1,126.8 million, driven by higher volumes and prices.
  • Income from operations was $190.4 million, a significant improvement from a loss of $64.5 million in Q2 2020.
  • Diluted EPS reached $0.54, compared to a loss of $(0.35) in Q2 2020.
  • Net debt to LTM Adjusted EBITDA was 2.6x at June 30, 2021, with strong cash flow from operations of $107.5 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.13B

Previous: $653M+72.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.48

Previous: -$0.15+420.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$60.3M

Previous: -$42.4M-42.2%
Free Cash Flow

$66.1M

Previous: -$125M+152.8%
Net Income

$126M

Previous: -$82.8M+252.7%
Operating Income

$190M

Previous: -$64.5M+395.2%
Gross Profit

$374M

Previous: $154M+143.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.23B

Previous: $1.12B+9.5%
Total Assets

$7.21B

Previous: $6.67B+8.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.2M

Previous: $6.1M-31.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Axalta · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.13B

Q2 2021+72.6%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Axalta · $1.31B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Performance Coatings
    $856M
  • Mobility Coatings
    $453M

Forward guidance

Axalta provided full year 2021 financial guidance, expecting net sales to increase by approximately 20-22%, including benefits from FX and M&A. They anticipate ongoing demand improvement in Refinish and continued strength in the Industrial end-market. However, light vehicle coatings demand is expected to be negatively impacted by component shortages for the remainder of the year. Variable cost inflation is expected to increase year-over-year, with efforts to offset headwinds via pricing mechanisms.

Tailwinds

  • Ongoing demand improvement in Refinish expected for the balance of the year.
  • Continued demand strength in the Industrial end-market.
  • Expect higher than normal customer production rates to replenish back orders once component shortages abate.
  • Capital deployment and M&A deals undertaken year-to-date with strong expected returns.
  • Anticipate continued cash uses and deployment with positive implications for shareholder value creation.

Headwinds

  • Demand for light vehicle coatings is expected to be negatively impacted by customer component shortages for the remainder of the year.
  • Increase in the rate of variable cost inflation expected to increase year-over-year in the mid-teens.
  • Pricing mechanisms may not fully offset inflation headwinds during the current fiscal year.
  • Semiconductor chip shortages primarily impacting Light Vehicle production globally.
  • Production curtailment associated with this global supply chain issue is currently expected to continue through the second half of the year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

29 / 48 earnings

Positive

+14.1%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-11.1%

Q2 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.8%-3.7%+9.1%
Q4 2025+0.6%-0.2%-18.6%
Q3 2025+2.3%-2.0%+2.4%
Q1 2025-4.7%-1.7%-7.7%
Q4 2024+8.3%+6.0%+0.9%
Q3 2024+7.1%+7.5%+14.3%
Q2 2024-1.2%-4.5%+2.4%
Q1 2024+10.8%+12.8%+13.2%
Q4 2023-3.7%-5.8%+1.8%
Q3 2023+10.6%+11.9%+22.7%
Q2 2023-7.8%-9.5%-11.6%
Q1 2023-5.3%-4.0%-5.0%
Q4 2022+4.5%+7.3%+5.6%
Q3 2022+1.1%+1.2%+13.6%
Q2 2022-5.4%-3.0%-0.2%
Q1 2022+5.5%+2.0%+4.0%
Q4 2021+0.7%-7.5%-12.6%
Q3 2021-3.2%-4.6%-0.4%
Q2 2021+4.3%+3.9%+7.8%
Q1 2021-0.2%-1.9%-3.0%
Q4 2020+1.7%+6.8%+8.1%
Q3 2020+4.3%+2.4%+10.1%
Q2 2020-3.4%-3.0%+5.6%
Q1 2020-3.6%+2.5%+28.1%
Q4 2019+2.5%+5.8%-11.3%
Q3 2019+3.0%+3.9%-1.9%
Q2 2019+2.3%+0.4%-11.4%
Q1 2019-3.3%-1.9%-11.5%
Q4 2018+0.3%+1.0%+5.6%
Q3 2018-0.6%-4.0%-1.1%
Q2 2018+1.7%+1.1%+0.6%
Q1 2018+3.5%+4.0%+9.1%
Q4 2017+1.5%+2.5%+9.0%
Q3 2017+14.1%+14.4%+24.6%
Q2 2017-11.1%-10.5%-7.2%
Q1 2017-0.7%-1.8%-1.4%
Q4 2016+0.3%+1.0%+6.4%
Q3 2016-1.3%-1.0%+4.7%
Q2 2016+1.4%-0.1%-1.2%
Q1 2016-4.2%
Q4 2015+7.8%
Q3 2015-0.2%
Q2 2015-3.3%
Q2 2014-3.3%
Q1 2014+4.2%
Q4 2014+4.2%
Q1 2015+4.8%
Q3 2014+3.9%
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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