NYSE$AVD

American Vanguard Corporation · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

American Vanguard's Q1 2023 earnings were impacted by supply chain delays and generic herbicide glut, leading to lower sales and profitability.

American Vanguard reported a decrease in net sales and net income for Q1 2023 compared to Q1 2022, primarily due to supply chain disruptions and a glut of generic herbicides affecting domestic crop product sales. Despite the setback, the company reaffirms its double-digit full-year 2023 EBITDA growth target, anticipating stronger performance in the second half of the year.

  • Q1 2023 net sales decreased to $124.89 million from $149.59 million in Q1 2022.
  • Q1 2023 net income declined to $1.92 million from $9.94 million in Q1 2022.
  • The company experienced supply chain delays that impacted production and sales of its leading corn soil insecticide, Aztec®.
  • American Vanguard anticipates higher sales of US crop products in the second half of 2023 due to low inventories in the distribution channel.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$125M

Previous: $149M-16.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.07

Previous: $0.33-78.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.59M

Previous: -$3.29M+21.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$672K

Previous: $6.64M-110.1%
Net Income

$1.92M

Previous: $9.94M-80.7%
Operating Income

$3.27M

Previous: $14.7M-77.9%
Gross Profit

$38.5M

Previous: $61.2M-37.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$19.6M

Previous: $17.8M+9.7%
Total Assets

$771M

Previous: $747M+3.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.47M

Previous: $1.56M-5.7%

Revenue & EPS history

American Vanguard · Revenue · Quarterly

$125M

Q1 2023-16.4%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 13 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

American Vanguard · $125M total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • U.S. Crop
    $61.9M-29.8%
  • International
    $49.1M+2.6%
  • U.S. Non-Crop
    $13.9M+3.8%

Forward guidance

American Vanguard expects to achieve higher adjusted EBITDA (between $84MM - $86MM) than in 2022, despite a first quarter setback arising from delays in restarting our supply chain, which is now back at capacity.

Tailwinds

  • Expect higher sales of US crop products in the second half of 2023 due to low inventories.
  • Expect to continue the positive trajectories of our non-crop and international businesses.
  • Company expects to achieve higher adjusted EBITDA (between $84MM - $86MM) than in 2022.
  • Supply chain is now back at capacity.
  • Revised 2023 targets show better year-over-year performance.

Headwinds

  • Experienced a first quarter setback arising from delays in restarting our supply chain.
  • China-based supplier was unable to deliver intermediates in sufficient quantities.
  • Only able to produce and sell about one-third of seasonal demand for Aztec.
  • A glut of generic herbicides in the distribution channel, led to lower sales of domestic crop products during the quarter.
  • Decrease in sales of higher-margin US crop products led to lower overall profitability.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

34 / 65 earnings

Positive

+18.9%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-34.9%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.4%-1.0%-9.8%
Q4 2025-9.6%-30.9%-24.6%
Q3 2025-0.8%-0.4%-14.9%
Q1 2025-9.2%-8.5%-19.2%
Q4 2024-5.7%+6.2%-20.0%
Q3 2024+2.1%+5.0%-5.7%
Q2 2024-34.9%-28.5%-20.5%
Q1 2024-26.6%-30.6%-30.4%
Q4 2023+15.3%+9.4%+4.5%
Q3 2023+1.1%-12.3%+5.1%
Q2 2023-16.6%-13.1%-24.7%
Q1 2023-12.9%-9.9%-3.1%
Q4 2022+4.9%+5.5%+7.8%
Q3 2022-4.4%-6.6%-4.8%
Q2 2022-18.2%-15.5%-19.8%
Q1 2022+5.6%-4.5%+17.9%
Q4 2021+2.6%+6.5%+24.0%
Q3 2021+4.3%+3.0%-9.2%
Q2 2021-0.7%-6.6%-3.5%
Q1 2021-3.3%-5.8%-14.6%
Q4 2020+2.1%-2.0%-8.6%
Q3 2020+9.2%+8.3%+21.8%
Q2 2020+4.6%+3.0%+1.0%
Q1 2020-1.9%-9.6%-3.1%
Q4 2019-4.6%-9.3%+2.3%
Q3 2019+5.0%+6.4%+8.4%
Q2 2019+5.4%+3.0%+13.8%
Q1 2019-0.3%-8.3%-19.6%
Q4 2018+6.2%-1.1%-2.1%
Q3 2018-5.6%-1.9%-7.5%
Q2 2018-4.2%-9.3%-4.0%
Q1 2018+11.7%+0.9%+10.5%
Q4 2017+16.0%+15.5%+9.8%
Q3 2017-6.1%-10.1%-10.8%
Q2 2017+9.7%+13.1%+10.0%
Q1 2017+10.9%+9.1%+9.4%
Q4 2016-4.0%-6.2%+4.7%
Q3 2016+0.3%+3.3%+14.3%
Q2 2016+17.6%+16.2%+12.2%
Q1 2016-21.8%
Q4 2015+18.9%
Q3 2015+14.0%
Q2 2015+0.8%
Q1 2015+14.6%
Q4 2014-1.7%
Q3 2014+6.4%
Q2 2014+2.6%
Q1 2014-13.1%
Q4 2013-4.3%
Q3 2013+8.9%
Q2 2013+3.3%
Q1 2013+7.7%
Q4 2009+0.2%
Q4 2012-11.0%
Q3 2012+1.7%
Q2 2012+12.5%
Q1 2012+4.1%
Q4 2011+2.0%
Q3 2010-6.8%
Q3 2011-6.8%
Q2 2010-15.6%
Q1 2011-15.6%
Q2 2011-15.6%
Q4 2010-15.6%
Q1 2010+4.5%

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