NYSE$ATI

ATI Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ATI returned to profitability driven by aerospace market recovery and business transformation.

Allegheny Technologies Incorporated reported Q3 2021 results with sales of $726 million and net income attributable to ATI of $48.7 million, or $0.35 per share. Adjusted EPS was $0.05 excluding special items. Adjusted EBITDA increased 49% sequentially to $79.9 million. The company extended its debt maturity profile and reduced annual interest expense by ~$6 million.

  • Sales of $726 million increased 18% over second quarter 2021
  • Net income attributable to ATI of $48.7 million, or $0.35 per share
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $79.9 million increased 49% sequentially
  • Extended debt maturity profile and reduced annual interest expense by ~$6 million

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$726M

Previous: $598M+21.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.05

Previous: -$0.38+113.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$79.9M

Previous: $16.6M+381.3%
Free Cash Flow

$48.7M

Previous: -$50.1M+197.2%
Net Income

$48.7M

Previous: -$50.1M+197.2%
Operating Income

$29.9M

Previous: -$9.6M+411.5%
Gross Profit

$82.5M

Previous: $38.1M+116.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.01B

Previous: $572M+76.0%
Total Assets

$4.63B

Previous: $5.06B-8.6%

Revenue & EPS history

ATI · Revenue · Quarterly

$726M

Q3 2021+21.4%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ATI · $300M total across 1 segment · Q3 2021

  • HPMC
    $300M+35.6%

Forward guidance

Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, ATI anticipates sequential revenue and earnings growth primarily driven by the ongoing commercial aerospace recovery in its HPMC segment. Significant managed working capital reductions will fuel fourth quarter cash generation. As business transformation actions near completion in the AA&S segment, ATI will temporarily curtail some early stage manufacturing activities to better align inventory levels with market demand and have planned extended equipment outages to complete transformational upgrades which will likely result in unfavorable cost absorption impacts in the quarter.

Tailwinds

  • Sequential revenue growth anticipated
  • Sequential earnings growth anticipated
  • Commercial aerospace recovery in HPMC segment expected to drive growth
  • Significant managed working capital reductions will fuel fourth quarter cash generation

Headwinds

  • Temporary curtailment of some early stage manufacturing activities in AA&S segment
  • Planned extended equipment outages to complete transformational upgrades
  • Unfavorable cost absorption impacts likely in Q4
  • Actions taken to align inventory levels with market demand
  • Business transformation actions nearing completion may cause disruptions

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+9.2%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

43 / 72 earnings

Positive

+28.8%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-19.8%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.7%+6.2%+19.8%
Q4 2025+4.3%+9.7%+26.6%
Q3 2025+7.1%+7.9%+9.4%
Q1 2025+14.5%+26.5%+46.5%
Q4 2024+9.9%+8.3%-1.2%
Q3 2024-14.3%-15.5%-4.9%
Q2 2024-2.6%+2.2%-1.7%
Q1 2024+13.4%+12.1%+17.9%
Q4 2023-4.2%-4.5%+20.5%
Q3 2023+11.7%+13.9%+15.3%
Q2 2023-5.9%-5.1%-1.7%
Q1 2023-3.1%-0.7%+2.1%
Q4 2022+9.1%+8.4%+16.4%
Q3 2022-12.1%-6.5%+0.1%
Q2 2022+14.5%+17.3%+17.3%
Q1 2022-4.7%-8.3%-2.1%
Q4 2021+19.4%+22.0%+38.5%
Q3 2021+7.8%+8.6%+1.5%
Q2 2021-6.3%-1.3%-8.7%
Q1 2021-3.2%-2.0%+1.9%
Q4 2020-6.5%+0.1%+8.0%
Q3 2020+11.4%+21.2%+72.8%
Q2 2020+3.6%+2.9%-1.0%
Q1 2020+3.9%+15.1%+54.0%
Q4 2019+13.5%+14.1%-4.8%
Q3 2019+16.0%+18.9%+20.2%
Q2 2019-6.7%-9.0%-26.9%
Q1 2019-4.9%-2.3%-14.5%
Q4 2018+3.8%+4.6%+12.6%
Q3 2018-6.7%-5.8%-2.8%
Q2 2018+6.6%+5.1%-4.0%
Q1 2018+4.5%+4.2%+8.6%
Q4 2017+2.0%+1.1%-5.5%
Q3 2017+2.8%+3.8%-6.1%
Q2 2017+9.3%+10.4%+21.2%
Q1 2017+4.7%+1.4%-11.2%
Q4 2016+28.8%+28.5%+13.5%
Q3 2016-19.8%-23.5%+1.1%
Q2 2016+18.7%+17.7%+11.1%
Q1 2016-0.5%
Q4 2015+9.1%
Q3 2015-19.8%
Q2 2015-18.0%
Q1 2015+13.2%
Q4 2014+1.7%
Q3 2014-2.5%
Q2 2014-7.8%
Q1 2014-0.1%
Q4 2013-3.4%
Q3 2013+2.4%
Q2 2013-1.1%
Q1 2013-1.3%
Q4 2012-1.2%
Q3 2012-13.5%
Q2 2012+0.7%
Q1 2012+7.6%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011+3.8%
Q2 2011-9.3%
Q1 2011-0.6%
Q4 2010-3.2%
Q3 2010+5.2%
Q2 2010+1.2%
Q1 2009+10.3%
Q1 2010+0.6%
Q4 2009+1.6%
Q3 2009+3.7%
Q3 2008+3.7%
Q4 2008+12.4%
Q2 2009+12.4%
Q2 2008+12.4%
Q4 2007+12.4%

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