NYSE$ASH

Ashland Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ashland's financial performance increased in Q4 2022, driven by disciplined pricing and strong demand across all segments.

Ashland reported a 7% increase in sales to $631 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2022. Net income rose to $57 million, or $1.04 per diluted share, while income from continuing operations reached $60 million, or $1.09 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA was $147 million, a slight decrease of 1% from the prior-year quarter. The company issued its outlook for fiscal year 2023, expecting sales to be in the range of $2.5 billion to $2.7 billion, and adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $600 million to $650 million.

  • Sales increased by 7% to $631 million compared to the prior-year quarter.
  • Net income increased to $57 million, or $1.04 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted income from continuing operations excluding intangibles amortization expense increased to $80 million, or $1.46 per diluted share.
  • Cash flows provided by operating activities increased to $179 million; ongoing free cash flow was $93 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$631M

Previous: $591M+6.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.46

Previous: $1.22+19.7%
Capital Expenditures

$46M

Previous: $28M+64.3%
Free Cash Flow

$133M

Previous: $120M+10.8%
Net Income

$57M

Previous: $43M+32.6%
Operating Income

$79M

Previous: $70M+12.9%
Gross Profit

$209M

Previous: $190M+10.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$646M

Previous: $210M+207.6%
Total Assets

$6.21B

Previous: $6.61B-6.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$4M

Previous: $3M+33.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Ashland · Revenue · Quarterly

$631M

Q4 2022+6.8%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 4 of 15 quarters(27%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ashland · $652M total across 4 segments · Q4 2022

  • Life Sciences
    $213M+12.7%
  • Personal Care
    $188M+2.7%
  • Specialty Additives
    $187M+3.3%
  • Intermediates
    $64M+6.7%

Forward guidance

For fiscal year 2023, Ashland expects sales to be in the range of $2.5 billion to $2.7 billion, and adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $600 million to $650 million.

Tailwinds

  • Profile of consumer-focused specialty ingredients and additives business portfolio to provide more demand resilience as we enter a more recessionary macro environment
  • Carry-over impact of pricing
  • Mix improvement
  • Productivity actions should provide some tailwind to our growth and earnings
  • New product development pipeline remains robust

Headwinds

  • Impact of a global recession
  • The war in Ukraine
  • Foreign currency headwinds
  • Energy cost and availability in Europe impacting customer and supplier operations
  • Additional pandemic-related lockdowns

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 64 earnings

Positive

+15.9%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-10.2%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+8.4%+6.3%+17.7%
Q1 2026-0.8%+4.2%-6.8%
Q4 2025-1.0%-1.3%+15.5%
Q2 2025-9.9%-11.5%-9.0%
Q1 2025-9.8%-14.4%-14.5%
Q4 2024-5.0%-7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2024-3.2%-6.5%-7.4%
Q2 2024-2.6%-1.2%+2.7%
Q1 2024+15.9%+13.4%+15.9%
Q4 2023-4.8%+0.8%+7.3%
Q3 2023+0.1%+1.3%-6.9%
Q2 2023-10.2%-9.5%-15.0%
Q1 2023+1.5%-1.4%-3.8%
Q4 2022+7.9%+8.0%+11.9%
Q3 2022-2.5%-4.3%+1.5%
Q2 2022+4.7%+3.5%+4.3%
Q1 2022+1.2%-0.8%-5.9%
Q4 2021+1.4%+7.4%+5.3%
Q3 2021-3.9%-3.1%-2.3%
Q2 2021-7.0%-7.3%+1.2%
Q1 2021+1.3%+2.3%+3.0%
Q4 2020-2.4%+3.9%-2.5%
Q3 2020-2.5%-5.2%-5.1%
Q2 2020-0.1%+5.3%+20.8%
Q1 2020+1.1%-1.8%+0.8%
Q4 2019-3.8%-8.6%-3.8%
Q3 2019+0.0%-3.5%-8.7%
Q2 2019-5.4%-4.9%-5.0%
Q1 2019+2.7%+2.0%+1.8%
Q4 2018+9.0%+8.5%+2.6%
Q3 2018+2.5%+3.9%+2.6%
Q2 2018+7.7%+10.6%+17.4%
Q1 2018+0.3%+2.0%-2.2%
Q4 2017-3.6%-3.9%+2.5%
Q3 2017-2.4%-2.3%-4.5%
Q2 2017-1.4%-2.5%+7.6%
Q1 2017+2.1%+2.2%+4.6%
Q4 2016-4.1%-5.3%+1.3%
Q3 2016-6.4%-6.7%-4.3%
Q2 2016-0.7%
Q1 2016-1.9%
Q4 2015-0.1%
Q3 2015-3.2%
Q2 2015-1.4%
Q1 2015+1.3%
Q4 2014+2.9%
Q3 2014-5.1%
Q2 2014+4.5%
Q1 2014-1.0%
Q4 2013-5.8%
Q3 2013+0.4%
Q2 2013-0.1%
Q1 2013+6.9%
Q4 2012+0.4%
Q3 2012-0.4%
Q2 2012+1.5%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q4 2011-4.8%
Q3 2011+4.0%
Q2 2011+0.8%
Q1 2010+3.1%
Q4 2010-1.2%
Q3 2010-5.7%
Q2 2010+2.8%

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