NYSE$ASH

Ashland Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ashland's financial performance in Q1 2024 reflected a decrease in sales but an increase in operating cash flow, with adjusted EBITDA exceeding expectations.

Ashland reported sales of $473 million, a 10% decrease compared to the prior-year quarter. Net income was $26 million, and income from continuing operations was $28 million, or $0.54 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA was $70 million. Cash flows provided by operating activities totaled $201 million, and ongoing free cash flow was $66 million.

  • Sales decreased by 10% year-over-year, totaling $473 million.
  • Net income reached $26 million, with earnings per share (EPS) at $0.51.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $70 million, surpassing the previously issued outlook range.
  • Cash flows from operating activities significantly increased to $201 million, with ongoing free cash flow at $66 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$473M

Previous: $525M-9.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.45

Previous: $0.97-53.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$36M

Previous: -$23M-56.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$10M

Previous: $17M-158.8%
Net Income

$26M

Previous: $40M-35.0%
Operating Income

-$18M

Previous: $37M-148.6%
Gross Profit

$98M

Previous: $165M-40.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$440M

Previous: $532M-17.3%
Total Assets

$5.87B

Previous: $6.26B-6.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$1M

Previous: $7M-85.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Ashland · Revenue · Quarterly

$473M

Q1 2024-9.9%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 4 of 15 quarters(27%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ashland · $530M total across 4 segments · Q4 2023

  • Life Sciences
    $203M-4.7%
  • Personal Care
    $146M-22.3%
  • Specialty Additives
    $144M-23.0%
  • Intermediates
    $37M-42.2%

Forward guidance

Ashland anticipates a partial return to typical margins in the second quarter, driven by increased sales and production volumes, with continued improvement expected throughout the fiscal year. For the fiscal second quarter, the company projects sales between $565 million and $585 million, and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $115 million to $125 million. For the full fiscal year, Ashland anticipates sales of $2.15 billion to $2.25 billion, and adjusted EBITDA between $460 million and $500 million.

Tailwinds

  • Improvement in recent demand trends.
  • Disciplined production and inventory levels management.
  • Focus on implementing strategic priorities (execute, globalize, innovate, and acquire).
  • Portfolio optimization actions, including consolidation of CMC production.
  • Expected increase in sales and production volumes in the second quarter.

Headwinds

  • Potential risks associated with demand evolution in subsequent months.
  • Fluctuations in sales volume and customer end-market demand.
  • Seasonally slower period impact.
  • Uncertainty regarding the assessment of industrial methylcellulose (MC) and hydroxyethycellulose (HEC) businesses.
  • Dependence on closely monitoring the coming months for sustained improvement.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 64 earnings

Positive

+15.9%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-10.2%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+8.4%+6.3%+17.7%
Q1 2026-0.8%+4.2%-6.8%
Q4 2025-1.0%-1.3%+15.5%
Q2 2025-9.9%-11.5%-9.0%
Q1 2025-9.8%-14.4%-14.5%
Q4 2024-5.0%-7.3%-11.2%
Q3 2024-3.2%-6.5%-7.4%
Q2 2024-2.6%-1.2%+2.7%
Q1 2024+15.9%+13.4%+15.9%
Q4 2023-4.8%+0.8%+7.3%
Q3 2023+0.1%+1.3%-6.9%
Q2 2023-10.2%-9.5%-15.0%
Q1 2023+1.5%-1.4%-3.8%
Q4 2022+7.9%+8.0%+11.9%
Q3 2022-2.5%-4.3%+1.5%
Q2 2022+4.7%+3.5%+4.3%
Q1 2022+1.2%-0.8%-5.9%
Q4 2021+1.4%+7.4%+5.3%
Q3 2021-3.9%-3.1%-2.3%
Q2 2021-7.0%-7.3%+1.2%
Q1 2021+1.3%+2.3%+3.0%
Q4 2020-2.4%+3.9%-2.5%
Q3 2020-2.5%-5.2%-5.1%
Q2 2020-0.1%+5.3%+20.8%
Q1 2020+1.1%-1.8%+0.8%
Q4 2019-3.8%-8.6%-3.8%
Q3 2019+0.0%-3.5%-8.7%
Q2 2019-5.4%-4.9%-5.0%
Q1 2019+2.7%+2.0%+1.8%
Q4 2018+9.0%+8.5%+2.6%
Q3 2018+2.5%+3.9%+2.6%
Q2 2018+7.7%+10.6%+17.4%
Q1 2018+0.3%+2.0%-2.2%
Q4 2017-3.6%-3.9%+2.5%
Q3 2017-2.4%-2.3%-4.5%
Q2 2017-1.4%-2.5%+7.6%
Q1 2017+2.1%+2.2%+4.6%
Q4 2016-4.1%-5.3%+1.3%
Q3 2016-6.4%-6.7%-4.3%
Q2 2016-0.7%
Q1 2016-1.9%
Q4 2015-0.1%
Q3 2015-3.2%
Q2 2015-1.4%
Q1 2015+1.3%
Q4 2014+2.9%
Q3 2014-5.1%
Q2 2014+4.5%
Q1 2014-1.0%
Q4 2013-5.8%
Q3 2013+0.4%
Q2 2013-0.1%
Q1 2013+6.9%
Q4 2012+0.4%
Q3 2012-0.4%
Q2 2012+1.5%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q4 2011-4.8%
Q3 2011+4.0%
Q2 2011+0.8%
Q1 2010+3.1%
Q4 2010-1.2%
Q3 2010-5.7%
Q2 2010+2.8%

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