NYSE$AMH

American Homes 4 Rent · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

American Homes 4 Rent reported strong Q4 2023 results, driven by higher rental rates and strategic initiatives.

American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) reported a 7.3% increase in rents and other single-family property revenues, reaching $408.7 million for Q4 2023. Net income attributable to common shareholders was $76.6 million, or $0.21 per diluted share. Core FFO increased by 8.8% and Adjusted FFO increased by 9.3%.

  • Rents and other single-family property revenues increased 7.3% year-over-year to $408.7 million.
  • Net income attributable to common shareholders totaled $76.6 million, or $0.21 per diluted share.
  • Core FFO attributable to common share and unit holders increased 8.8% year-over-year to $0.43 per FFO share and unit.
  • Achieved Same-Home Average Occupied Days Percentage of 96.2% with 5.7% blended rate growth.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$409M

Previous: $381M+7.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.43

Previous: $0.40+7.5%
Avg Occupied Days %

96.2%

Previous: 97.0%-0.8%
Net Income

$76.6M

Previous: $104M-26.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.62M

Previous: $3.58M+29.1%

Revenue & EPS history

American Homes 4 Rent · Revenue · Quarterly

$409M

Q4 2023+7.3%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

American Homes 4 Rent · $422M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Single-family property revenues
    $422M+7.7%

Forward guidance

The company expects continued resiliency in the demand, a leasing environment and consistent growth from the Company’s internal AMH Development Program.

Tailwinds

  • Average Occupied Days Percentage expectation in the low 96% area
  • Average Monthly Realized Rent growth of 5.00% - 5.50% driven by 2024 leasing spreads in the high 4% area and contribution from 2023 leasing earn-in
  • Bad debt expense to remain consistent with 2023 in the low 1% area as a percentage of rents
  • Investment program outlook contemplates continued consistent growth from the Company’s internal AMH Development Program, which is expected to deliver between 2,200 to 2,400 total program deliveries during 2024.
  • The Company expects to fund its 2024 capital plan through a combination of Retained Cash Flow, approximately $400 - $500 million of recycled capital from dispositions, as well as equity and debt capital, including the equity capital raised on the Company’s at-the-market program in the fourth quarter of 2023 and first quarter of 2024 and $600 million green bond issuance in January 2024.

Headwinds

  • Same-Home core property operating expenses growth reflects (1) expectation for moderating but still elevated 2024 property tax growth between 6.25% and 8.25%
  • 4.25% to 6.25% growth in all other core property operating expenses, excluding property taxes, reflecting the general inflationary environment.
  • Consistent with 2023, the Company’s acquisition programs continue to remain on hold.
  • The actual amounts for any and all of these items could significantly impact our 2024 GAAP net income and, as disclosed in our historical financial results, have significantly impacted GAAP net income in prior periods.
  • The Company’s AMH 2014-SFR2 and AMH 2014-SFR3 securitizations, which had a total outstanding balance of $938.6 million as of December 31, 2023, are scheduled to mature in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

27 / 51 earnings

Positive

+7.6%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-5.3%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.3%-2.7%+2.5%
Q4 2025-4.2%-3.4%-11.3%
Q3 2025+0.8%+1.0%+0.8%
Q1 2025+3.6%+2.4%-0.1%
Q4 2024-1.6%-2.5%+1.9%
Q3 2024-4.0%-8.4%+1.0%
Q2 2024+4.6%+5.5%+10.2%
Q1 2024-0.5%+1.5%+0.3%
Q4 2023+1.5%+4.1%+4.6%
Q3 2023+7.6%+5.3%+12.3%
Q2 2023+0.8%+1.6%-3.8%
Q1 2023+5.4%+5.9%+4.9%
Q4 2022-4.0%-5.6%-9.2%
Q3 2022-2.9%-4.9%+4.3%
Q2 2022-0.0%+0.4%-5.5%
Q1 2022-2.3%-6.8%-2.3%
Q4 2021+3.9%+0.8%+4.9%
Q3 2021-2.8%-1.7%-0.4%
Q2 2021+0.6%-2.1%+1.8%
Q1 2021+2.9%+2.1%+5.9%
Q4 2020-1.8%-4.1%+7.0%
Q3 2020+3.9%-1.4%+0.4%
Q2 2020+0.6%-3.1%-1.4%
Q1 2020+3.6%-0.7%+13.4%
Q4 2019-4.6%+2.7%-14.8%
Q3 2019-0.6%-0.7%+1.9%
Q2 2019-0.6%-3.0%+2.1%
Q1 2019+1.7%-0.9%+2.2%
Q4 2018-3.5%-3.4%-0.4%
Q3 2018-5.3%-5.6%-1.1%
Q2 2018+1.1%+0.9%+3.8%
Q1 2018+1.3%+1.7%-0.3%
Q4 2017+1.0%+1.1%-0.2%
Q3 2017-0.2%+2.1%+0.5%
Q2 2017-1.1%-2.5%-2.2%
Q1 2017-2.9%-3.1%+1.1%
Q4 2016+2.0%+2.5%+0.8%
Q3 2016+5.2%+5.1%+3.0%
Q2 2016+4.4%+5.2%+3.8%
Q1 2016+5.9%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015-3.6%
Q2 2015-4.5%
Q1 2015+1.8%
Q4 2014+0.9%
Q3 2014-2.5%
Q2 2014-0.7%
Q1 2014+1.5%
Q4 2013-1.5%
Q3 2013+0.7%
Q2 2013-1.4%
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro