NYSE$AMH

American Homes 4 Rent · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

AMH's Q4 2022 financial performance showcased strong revenue growth and increased profitability, driven by a larger occupied portfolio and higher rental rates.

AMH reported a strong fourth quarter in 2022, with rents and other single-family property revenues increasing by 12.7% to $380.9 million. Net income attributable to common shareholders totaled $87.5 million, or $0.25 per diluted share. The company achieved a Same-Home Average Occupied Days Percentage of 97.0% and generated 8.5% rental rate growth on new leases.

  • Rents and other single-family property revenues increased 12.7% year-over-year to $380.9 million.
  • Net income attributable to common shareholders totaled $87.5 million, or $0.25 per diluted share.
  • Core FFO attributable to common share and unit holders increased 6.7% year-over-year to $0.40 per FFO share and unit.
  • Achieved Same-Home Average Occupied Days Percentage of 97.0% and 8.5% rental rate growth on new leases.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$381M

Previous: $338M+12.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.40

Previous: $0.37+8.1%
Avg Occupied Days %

97.0%

Previous: 97.6%-0.6%
Net Income

$104M

Previous: $48.1M+115.8%
Operating Income

$46.3M

Previous: $61.3M-24.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$69.2M

Previous: $48.2M+43.5%
Total Assets

$12.2B

Previous: $11B+11.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.58M

Previous: $3.47M+3.1%

Revenue & EPS history

American Homes 4 Rent · Revenue · Quarterly

$381M

Q4 2022+12.7%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

American Homes 4 Rent · $381M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Single-family property revenues
    $381M+12.7%

Forward guidance

The company's 2023 guidance anticipates continued strong demand and occupancy, with moderating rental rate growth. The acquisition programs currently remain on hold given capital market uncertainty and potentially improving future investment opportunities.

Tailwinds

  • Same-Home core revenues growth reflects expectation for a continued strong demand and occupancy environment, along with moderating rental rate growth.
  • Investment program outlook contemplates continued consistent growth from the Company’s internal AMH Development Program, which is expected to deliver between 2,200 to 2,400 total program deliveries during 2023.
  • Core FFO attributable to common share and unit holders growth 2.5% - 6.5%
  • Same-Home Core revenues growth 5.00% - 7.00%
  • Core NOI growth 3.00% - 5.00%

Headwinds

  • Same-Home core property operating expenses growth reflects (1) expectation for continued elevated 2023 property tax growth between 8.00% and 10.00% reflecting backwards looking historically strong home price appreciation and (2) 9.50% to 11.50% growth in all other core property operating expenses, excluding property taxes, reflecting the general inflationary environment, a historically challenging property insurance market and certain investments into our industry-leading property management platform.
  • The Company’s acquisition programs currently remain on hold given capital market uncertainty and potentially improving future investment opportunities.
  • 2023 property tax growth is expected to be higher during the first three quarters of 2023, normalizing on a full year basis into the Company’s expected guidance range.
  • Financing costs (share count and interest) change primarily reflects full year impact of 2022 financing activities.
  • General and administrative expense and amortization of IT software assets increase reflects (i) general inflationary environment and (ii) investments into certain corporate initiatives and IT systems supporting our industry-leading property management platform.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

27 / 51 earnings

Positive

+7.6%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-5.3%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.3%-2.7%+2.5%
Q4 2025-4.2%-3.4%-11.3%
Q3 2025+0.8%+1.0%+0.8%
Q1 2025+3.6%+2.4%-0.1%
Q4 2024-1.6%-2.5%+1.9%
Q3 2024-4.0%-8.4%+1.0%
Q2 2024+4.6%+5.5%+10.2%
Q1 2024-0.5%+1.5%+0.3%
Q4 2023+1.5%+4.1%+4.6%
Q3 2023+7.6%+5.3%+12.3%
Q2 2023+0.8%+1.6%-3.8%
Q1 2023+5.4%+5.9%+4.9%
Q4 2022-4.0%-5.6%-9.2%
Q3 2022-2.9%-4.9%+4.3%
Q2 2022-0.0%+0.4%-5.5%
Q1 2022-2.3%-6.8%-2.3%
Q4 2021+3.9%+0.8%+4.9%
Q3 2021-2.8%-1.7%-0.4%
Q2 2021+0.6%-2.1%+1.8%
Q1 2021+2.9%+2.1%+5.9%
Q4 2020-1.8%-4.1%+7.0%
Q3 2020+3.9%-1.4%+0.4%
Q2 2020+0.6%-3.1%-1.4%
Q1 2020+3.6%-0.7%+13.4%
Q4 2019-4.6%+2.7%-14.8%
Q3 2019-0.6%-0.7%+1.9%
Q2 2019-0.6%-3.0%+2.1%
Q1 2019+1.7%-0.9%+2.2%
Q4 2018-3.5%-3.4%-0.4%
Q3 2018-5.3%-5.6%-1.1%
Q2 2018+1.1%+0.9%+3.8%
Q1 2018+1.3%+1.7%-0.3%
Q4 2017+1.0%+1.1%-0.2%
Q3 2017-0.2%+2.1%+0.5%
Q2 2017-1.1%-2.5%-2.2%
Q1 2017-2.9%-3.1%+1.1%
Q4 2016+2.0%+2.5%+0.8%
Q3 2016+5.2%+5.1%+3.0%
Q2 2016+4.4%+5.2%+3.8%
Q1 2016+5.9%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015-3.6%
Q2 2015-4.5%
Q1 2015+1.8%
Q4 2014+0.9%
Q3 2014-2.5%
Q2 2014-0.7%
Q1 2014+1.5%
Q4 2013-1.5%
Q3 2013+0.7%
Q2 2013-1.4%
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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