NYSE$ALV

Autoliv Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Solid performance driven by price increases, cost reductions and volume growth.

Autoliv reported solid Q4 2022 results with a 10% increase in net sales and significant improvement in profitability, driven by successful execution of price increases, cost reductions, and volume growth. The company's operating margin improved to 9.8%, and adjusted EPS increased by 40% to $1.83.

  • Sales increased organically by 18%, outperforming global LVP growth by 15pp.
  • Profitability improved significantly, driven by successful execution of price increases, cost reductions and volume growth.
  • Operating cash flow improved from $317 million to $462 million, driven by higher net income and positive working capital effects.
  • Free cash flow increased to $297 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.34B

Previous: $2.12B+10.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.83

Previous: $1.30+40.8%
Operating margin

9.8%

Previous: 8.2%+19.5%
Adjusted operating margin

10.0%

Previous: 8.3%+20.5%
ROCE

24.3%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$167M

Previous: $155M+7.7%
Free Cash Flow

$297M

Previous: $164M+81.1%
Net Income

$156M

Previous: $115M+35.7%
Operating Income

$230M

Previous: $174M+32.2%
Gross Profit

$399M

Previous: $368M+8.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$594M

Previous: $969M-38.7%
Total Assets

$7.72B

Previous: $7.54B+2.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Autoliv · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.34B

Q4 2022+10.2%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For full year 2023, Autoliv anticipates organic sales growth of around 15% and an adjusted operating margin of around 8.5-9%.

Tailwinds

  • Organic sales growth of around 15%.
  • Positive cash flow trend should allow for increasing shareholder returns.
  • Extensive customer discussions initiated early in 2022 that resulted in price increases to compensate for high raw material cost inflation.
  • A high level of product launches and relentless cost control also supported our strong performance.
  • Order win rates for new EV platforms were high, both with new EV makers and traditional OEMs.

Headwinds

  • Around 1% negative FX effect on net sales.
  • Tax rate around 32%.
  • Challenges from inflation impacting our non-raw material costs such as labor, logistics and energy.
  • Supply Chain LVP was limited in Q4 2022 as a result of the global semiconductor shortage and other industry supply chain disruptions.
  • Supply chain disruptions led to low customer demand visibility and material changes to customer call-offs with short notice which negatively impacted our production efficiency and profitability in the quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 69 earnings

Positive

+10.0%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-11.2%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%+4.3%+3.1%
Q4 2025-4.1%+0.1%-6.3%
Q3 2025-2.6%-4.5%-0.3%
Q2 2025+0.1%+0.9%+6.0%
Q1 2025+5.6%+4.0%+24.0%
Q4 2024-4.6%-6.8%-3.9%
Q3 2024+3.1%+2.8%+4.3%
Q2 2024-8.8%-9.9%-8.0%
Q1 2024+4.7%+4.0%+8.5%
Q4 2023+4.4%+3.4%+8.4%
Q3 2023+6.5%+7.7%+13.6%
Q2 2023+9.1%+8.9%-0.3%
Q1 2023-5.6%-6.7%-5.4%
Q4 2022+7.2%+7.8%+7.6%
Q3 2022+7.5%+7.8%+19.2%
Q2 2022+2.5%+4.2%+0.7%
Q1 2022-5.4%-6.7%-1.4%
Q4 2021+3.3%+7.3%-4.0%
Q3 2021-1.7%-0.7%+10.4%
Q2 2021-4.6%-2.2%+3.1%
Q1 2021+8.8%+7.1%+5.1%
Q4 2020+0.1%+0.1%+0.7%
Q3 2020-1.6%-10.7%+5.2%
Q2 2020-3.5%-0.9%+6.1%
Q1 2020+10.0%+9.3%+13.0%
Q4 2019+5.2%+3.2%-9.1%
Q3 2019-1.1%-5.2%-0.5%
Q2 2019+3.3%+10.4%-5.6%
Q1 2019+2.3%-2.8%-17.2%
Q4 2018-3.8%-4.7%-0.7%
Q3 2018+6.0%+4.1%+9.7%
Q2 2018+1.2%-1.9%-11.1%
Q1 2018-8.6%-6.1%+0.5%
Q4 2017+10.0%+4.5%+3.7%
Q3 2017+1.4%+2.0%+1.5%
Q2 2017-7.2%-5.9%-9.0%
Q1 2017-7.6%-6.1%+2.8%
Q4 2016-11.2%-11.3%-10.4%
Q3 2016-6.7%-6.9%-0.9%
Q2 2016-7.5%-6.1%-7.3%
Q1 2016+8.1%
Q4 2015-7.0%
Q3 2015+3.3%
Q2 2015+2.9%
Q1 2015-4.2%
Q4 2014+4.2%
Q3 2014-3.3%
Q2 2014-2.5%
Q1 2014-2.4%
Q4 2013+1.8%
Q3 2013+0.7%
Q2 2013+0.4%
Q1 2013+6.5%
Q4 2012-1.6%
Q3 2012-10.2%
Q2 2012-4.2%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011+1.8%
Q3 2011+6.5%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q1 2010+7.4%
Q1 2011+1.4%
Q4 2010-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%
Q3 2009-0.3%
Q3 2010-0.3%
Q2 2009+7.5%
Q2 2010+7.5%
Q4 2009+7.5%

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