NYSE$ACEL

Accel Entertainment Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Accel Entertainment reported its financial and operating results for the three months and year ended December 31, 2024.

Accel Entertainment concluded 2024 with strong performance, achieving record revenues for both Q4 and the full year, driven by an increase in locations and gaming terminals. The company also expanded into new markets through strategic acquisitions and replenished its share repurchase program.

  • Record revenues of $317.5 million for Q4 2024, an increase of 6.9% compared to Q4 2023.
  • Ended Q4 2024 with 4,117 locations, a 3.9% increase compared to Q4 2023.
  • Ended Q4 2024 with 26,346 gaming terminals, a 5.0% increase compared to Q4 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $47.4 million for Q4 2024, an increase of 6.2% compared to Q4 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$318M

Previous: $297M+6.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.42

Previous: $0.25+68.0%
Total Locations

4.4K

Previous: 4.0K+11.2%
Total Gaming Terminals

27.2K

Previous: 25.1K+8.3%
Illinois Hold-per-day

$868.00

No prior period
Montana Hold-per-day

$614.00

No prior period
Nevada Hold-per-day

$786.00

No prior period
Louisiana Hold-per-day

$979.00

No prior period
Nebraska Hold-per-day

$253.00

No prior period
Georgia Hold-per-day

$142.00

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$47.4M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$11.5M

Previous: -$21.5M+46.8%
Net Income

$8.39M

Previous: $4.4M+90.8%
Operating Income

$20.8M

Previous: $10.8M+92.6%
Gross Profit

$79.1M

Previous: $74.7M+5.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Accel Entertainment · Revenue · Quarterly

$318M

Q4 2024+6.9%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Accel Entertainment anticipates continued growth and strong returns on capital, driven by strategic acquisitions, expansion into new markets like Louisiana, and ongoing construction for casino operations in Illinois. The company expects to maintain attractive low-teens returns on capital, generate more free cash flow, and improve trading multiples.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipates maintaining attractive low-teens returns on capital.
  • Expects to generate more free cash flow.
  • Believes it will improve trading multiples, making Accel a compelling investment opportunity.
  • Expansion into the Louisiana market with the acquisition of Toucan Gaming.
  • Construction on Phase I of the Collinsville casino is underway, with an anticipated opening in Q2 2025.

Headwinds

  • The timing and actual number of shares repurchased will depend on various factors, including price, general business and market conditions, and alternative investment opportunities.
  • The share repurchase program does not obligate Accel to acquire any particular amount of shares.
  • The share repurchase program may be suspended or discontinued at any time at Accel's discretion.
  • Unfavorable macroeconomic conditions or decreased discretionary spending could adversely affect business, results of operations, cash flows, and financial conditions.
  • Dependence on relationships with key manufacturers, developers, and third parties to obtain gaming terminals and related supplies on acceptable terms.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-4.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

18 / 34 earnings

Positive

+29.1%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-19.7%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.1%-4.8%-1.2%
Q4 2025+19.2%+3.7%-0.3%
Q3 2025-0.7%-1.5%+1.6%
Q1 2025+4.6%+6.0%+3.4%
Q4 2024-8.0%-10.9%-14.9%
Q3 2024-3.7%-3.8%+0.8%
Q2 2024+11.3%-0.7%+6.8%
Q1 2024-13.8%-13.3%-11.7%
Q4 2023+7.9%+7.7%+12.3%
Q3 2023+5.3%+3.5%-3.8%
Q2 2023+8.1%+2.8%+6.8%
Q1 2023+7.3%+3.1%+10.3%
Q4 2022+2.7%+2.8%-2.1%
Q3 2022-11.8%-11.5%-14.6%
Q2 2022-19.7%-11.8%-23.6%
Q1 2022-9.9%-16.1%-10.6%
Q4 2021+4.1%-1.9%-9.0%
Q3 2021+0.2%+2.2%+0.2%
Q2 2021+4.6%+3.0%+4.7%
Q1 2021+8.2%+10.7%+4.3%
Q4 2020-2.7%-10.2%-5.9%
Q3 2019+0.8%+7.9%+4.5%
Q3 2020+0.8%+7.9%+4.5%
Q2 2020+29.1%+27.5%+61.1%
Q1 2019-13.3%-7.9%+13.6%
Q1 2020-13.3%-7.9%+13.6%
Q4 2017-11.3%-35.6%-3.1%
Q2 2019-11.3%-35.6%-3.1%
Q4 2019-11.3%-35.6%-3.1%
Q4 2018-11.3%-35.6%-3.1%
Q3 2018+0.2%+0.3%+0.0%
Q2 2018+0.3%+0.0%-1.0%
Q1 2018-0.1%+0.4%+0.3%
Q3 2017+0.0%+0.2%+0.4%
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

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