NYSE$ACEL

Accel Entertainment Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Accel Entertainment reported mixed Q4 2023 results, with revenue increasing but net income decreasing.

Accel Entertainment's Q4 2023 saw revenue growth driven by machine acquisitions and same-store sales increases, but net income declined due to increased expenses. The company provided positive forward guidance, expecting continued growth and strategic investments.

  • Q4 revenue increased by 8.7% to $118.4 million compared to $108.9 million in the prior year.
  • Net income decreased to $4.4 million from $8.8 million in the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 7.2% to $24.9 million.
  • The company provided FY 2024 revenue guidance of $490 million to $505 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$297M

Previous: $278M+6.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.25

Previous: $0.24+4.2%
Total Locations

4.0K

No prior period
Total Gaming Terminals

25.1K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$21.5M

Previous: $14.4M-249.5%
Net Income

$4.4M

Previous: $7.5M-41.3%
Operating Income

$10.8M

Previous: $11.3M-4.4%
Gross Profit

$74.7M

Previous: $82.8M-9.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.44M

Previous: $1.88M+29.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Accel Entertainment · Revenue · Quarterly

$297M

Q4 2023+6.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Accel Entertainment anticipates continued revenue growth and strategic investments in 2024.

Tailwinds

  • FY 2024 revenue expected to be between $490 million and $505 million.
  • Capital expenditures, net of expected consideration from route sales, are expected to be approximately $30 million to $35 million.
  • Continued focus on strategic investments and partnerships.
  • Expansion into new markets and technologies.
  • Expected growth in adjusted EBITDA.

Headwinds

  • Anticipate higher interest expense in 2024 as compared to 2023.
  • Expected increase in operating expenses related to expansion efforts.
  • Potential impact from regulatory changes.
  • Increased competition in the distributed gaming market.
  • Uncertainty in the broader economic environment.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-4.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

18 / 34 earnings

Positive

+29.1%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-19.7%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.1%-4.8%-1.2%
Q4 2025+19.2%+3.7%-0.3%
Q3 2025-0.7%-1.5%+1.6%
Q1 2025+4.6%+6.0%+3.4%
Q4 2024-8.0%-10.9%-14.9%
Q3 2024-3.7%-3.8%+0.8%
Q2 2024+11.3%-0.7%+6.8%
Q1 2024-13.8%-13.3%-11.7%
Q4 2023+7.9%+7.7%+12.3%
Q3 2023+5.3%+3.5%-3.8%
Q2 2023+8.1%+2.8%+6.8%
Q1 2023+7.3%+3.1%+10.3%
Q4 2022+2.7%+2.8%-2.1%
Q3 2022-11.8%-11.5%-14.6%
Q2 2022-19.7%-11.8%-23.6%
Q1 2022-9.9%-16.1%-10.6%
Q4 2021+4.1%-1.9%-9.0%
Q3 2021+0.2%+2.2%+0.2%
Q2 2021+4.6%+3.0%+4.7%
Q1 2021+8.2%+10.7%+4.3%
Q4 2020-2.7%-10.2%-5.9%
Q3 2019+0.8%+7.9%+4.5%
Q3 2020+0.8%+7.9%+4.5%
Q2 2020+29.1%+27.5%+61.1%
Q1 2019-13.3%-7.9%+13.6%
Q1 2020-13.3%-7.9%+13.6%
Q4 2017-11.3%-35.6%-3.1%
Q2 2019-11.3%-35.6%-3.1%
Q4 2019-11.3%-35.6%-3.1%
Q4 2018-11.3%-35.6%-3.1%
Q3 2018+0.2%+0.3%+0.0%
Q2 2018+0.3%+0.0%-1.0%
Q1 2018-0.1%+0.4%+0.3%
Q3 2017+0.0%+0.2%+0.4%
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

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