NYSE$ACA

Arcosa Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Arcosa's Q1 2020 results were announced, revealing revenue growth driven by organic expansion and the Cherry acquisition, alongside a business update addressing COVID-19's impact and withdrawn guidance.

Arcosa reported a 19% increase in revenues to $488.2 million and a net income of $31.6 million, with diluted EPS of $0.65. The company withdrew its 2020 guidance due to macroeconomic uncertainty from COVID-19.

  • Revenues increased 19% to $488.2 million.
  • Net income reached $31.6 million, with Diluted EPS of $0.65.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 29% to $75.6 million.
  • Operating cash flow was $41.5 million, and free cash flow was $20.4 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$488M

Previous: $411M+18.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.71

Previous: $0.58+22.4%
Utility Structures Backlog

$476M

Previous: $549M-13.4%
Inland Barges Backlog

$348M

Previous: $384M-9.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$21.1M

Previous: -$18M-17.2%
Free Cash Flow

$10.5M

Previous: $9.7M+8.2%
Net Income

$31.6M

Previous: $27.7M+14.1%
Operating Income

$45.1M

Previous: $37.3M+20.9%
Gross Profit

$96.9M

Previous: $78.1M+24.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$201M

Previous: $118M+70.1%
Total Assets

$2.62B

Previous: $2.14B+22.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.7M

Previous: $3.4M+8.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Arcosa · Revenue · Quarterly

$488M

Q1 2020+18.8%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 9 quarters(89%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Arcosa · $265M total across 2 segments · Q1 2020

  • Engineered Structures
    $176M
  • Inland Barges
    $89M

Forward guidance

Arcosa withdrew its 2020 Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance due to the macroeconomic uncertainty from COVID-19.

Tailwinds

  • Construction markets were robust throughout the first quarter, and construction activity has remained at healthy levels during the early part of the second quarter.
  • The outlook remains intact for overall revenue growth in our combined wind towers and utility structures product lines, as the combined backlog provides solid visibility and utility structures demand continues to be robust.
  • Activity in the small storage tanks product line is expected to remain relatively healthy.
  • Our outlook for segment revenue and Adjusted EBITDA margin growth remains intact, as our barge backlog provides visibility for significant volume growth in 2020 versus 2019.
  • Backlog businesses benefit from solid production visibility, and 2020 expectations for these businesses remain largely unchanged.

Headwinds

  • The outlook for the rest of 2020 will depend on the duration and magnitude of the COVID-19 economic slowdown and its impact on public and private construction activity in our key markets.
  • The trench shoring products business, which represented 12% of segment revenues in 2019 (pro forma for Cherry), has experienced the largest demand declines in the segment, as customers have reduced capital expenditures during the downturn.
  • Activity in the large storage tanks product line, which represented approximately 5% of segment revenues in 2019, is expected to be more heavily impacted by the oil and gas slowdown.
  • Rail components revenues are expected to be lower in 2020 versus 2019. The cycle in railcar new builds had begun to turn lower prior to the COVID-19 slowdown.
  • Macroeconomic uncertainty from COVID-19 and the unknown duration and impact of the slowdown.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

18 / 36 earnings

Positive

+24.2%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-16.3%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.4%+3.9%+0.2%
Q4 2025-16.3%-11.7%-19.3%
Q3 2025-1.1%+7.6%+14.3%
Q1 2025-4.5%+5.3%+4.2%
Q4 2024-8.4%-10.1%-12.7%
Q3 2024-0.7%+1.5%+15.2%
Q2 2024-14.8%-16.4%-1.5%
Q1 2024+11.7%+15.0%+15.1%
Q4 2023-0.0%+0.9%+4.0%
Q3 2023-5.7%-1.6%+9.1%
Q2 2023+2.5%+0.2%+3.6%
Q1 2023+15.8%+18.8%+15.3%
Q4 2022+10.3%+6.2%+6.3%
Q3 2022-2.7%-8.5%-2.8%
Q2 2022+13.8%+19.5%+8.9%
Q1 2022+1.8%+4.3%+3.6%
Q4 2021+5.4%+12.8%+24.5%
Q3 2021-3.0%+3.7%-0.7%
Q2 2021-4.5%-6.6%-6.0%
Q1 2021-5.0%+1.6%+0.1%
Q4 2020-12.1%+5.6%+3.1%
Q3 2020-1.1%+1.9%+18.2%
Q2 2020-1.8%-0.1%+8.1%
Q1 2020-3.3%-10.5%-2.7%
Q4 2019+3.7%+7.0%-11.3%
Q3 2019+3.8%+6.0%+6.0%
Q2 2019-6.2%-8.1%-13.4%
Q1 2018+24.2%+19.8%+11.9%
Q1 2019+20.7%+18.0%+9.3%
Q4 2016+6.4%+8.7%-4.2%
Q2 2018+6.4%+8.7%-4.2%
Q2 2017+6.4%+8.7%-4.2%
Q1 2017+6.4%+8.7%-4.2%
Q4 2018+6.1%+10.6%-3.2%
Q3 2017+1.5%-1.9%-21.1%
Q3 2018+1.5%-1.9%-21.1%

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