NASDAQ$TRS

TriMas Corporation · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

TriMas reported an increase in net sales and achieved the high end of EPS guidance range for 2019.

TriMas reported Q4 net sales of $170.9 million, a 0.5% increase compared to Q4 2018. The company's diluted EPS was $0.30, while adjusted diluted EPS was $0.31. The company achieved the high end of its full year EPS guidance range. TriMas successfully sold its Lamons business and signed agreements to acquire RSA Engineered Products and Rapak.

  • Increased 2019 net sales from continuing operations by 2.6% to $723.5 million, driven by acquisitions in TriMas' Packaging group and solid growth in the TriMas Aerospace group.
  • Delivered fourth quarter diluted EPS from continuing operations of $0.30, while adjusted diluted EPS from continuing operations was $0.31, achieving high end of the previously provided full year 2019 EPS range of $1.40 to $1.45.
  • Repurchased more than 1.2 million shares, or approximately 2.7% of its outstanding common stock, during 2019, while increasing the Company's share repurchase authorization to $150 million.
  • Signed agreements to acquire RSA Engineered Products and Rapak.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$171M

Previous: $211M-19.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.31

Previous: $0.38-18.4%
Net Debt

$122M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$28.3M

No prior period
Net Income

$38.4M

Previous: $16.7M+129.8%
Operating Income

$20.8M

Previous: $25.5M-18.3%
Gross Profit

$44.3M

Previous: $57.2M-22.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$172M

Previous: $108M+59.5%
Total Assets

$1.19B

Previous: $1.1B+8.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.32M

Previous: $2.77M-16.2%

Revenue & EPS history

TriMas · Revenue · Quarterly

$171M

Q4 2019-19.1%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

TriMas · $171M total across 3 segments · Q4 2019

  • Packaging
    $94M
  • Aerospace (Discontinued)
    $41.1M
  • Specialty Products
    $35.8M

Forward guidance

The Company is estimating that 2020 sales growth will be 9% to 11% compared to 2019, with organic sales growth of approximately 1.5% to 2.5%, assuming constant currency. The Company expects full year 2020 adjusted diluted earnings per share to be between $1.50 to $1.60 per share. In addition, the Company is targeting 2020 Free Cash Flow to be greater than 100% of net income.

Tailwinds

  • Sales growth of 9% to 11% compared to 2019
  • Organic sales growth of approximately 1.5% to 2.5%, assuming constant currency
  • Free cash flow conversion greater than 100% of net income
  • Full year 2020 diluted EPS to range between $1.50 to $1.60 per share
  • Increase at the midpoint of approximately 7% compared to 2019

Headwinds

  • end market and geopolitical uncertainties
  • The inability to predict the amount and timing of the impacts of Special Items makes a detailed reconciliation of these forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures impracticable.
  • general economic and currency conditions
  • material and energy costs
  • risks and uncertainties associated with intangible assets

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+14.8%

Q3 2014

Best reaction

-29.6%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.6%+14.9%+13.4%
Q4 2025+3.1%+4.0%-3.2%
Q3 2025-2.8%-9.1%-13.0%
Q1 2025+12.3%+17.9%+26.8%
Q4 2024-6.2%+0.1%+6.7%
Q3 2024-3.3%+1.0%-1.7%
Q2 2024-10.0%-13.0%-7.2%
Q1 2024-3.6%-2.0%-0.2%
Q4 2023-8.5%-6.0%+4.1%
Q3 2023+3.6%+5.8%+7.3%
Q2 2023-2.0%-7.3%-7.9%
Q1 2023+0.4%+1.7%+1.3%
Q4 2022-3.0%-1.0%-10.8%
Q3 2022-18.1%-14.0%-4.9%
Q2 2022+4.5%+2.0%-0.7%
Q1 2022-3.2%-5.1%-5.7%
Q4 2021-1.6%-0.8%-1.3%
Q3 2021+0.2%+2.2%+5.7%
Q2 2021-1.4%-5.1%-3.3%
Q1 2021+1.2%+3.5%+3.1%
Q4 2020-6.0%-10.7%-13.2%
Q3 2020+3.0%+10.5%+17.2%
Q2 2020-6.0%-5.1%+3.5%
Q1 2020-10.5%-11.5%-8.7%
Q4 2019-9.6%-4.8%-18.1%
Q3 2019-7.4%-5.2%-7.4%
Q2 2019-1.8%-1.6%-3.9%
Q1 2019-4.9%-3.9%-11.0%
Q4 2018+1.7%+2.2%-2.9%
Q3 2018+7.4%+7.4%+4.6%
Q2 2018+5.7%+4.0%+3.4%
Q1 2018-0.4%-1.1%+4.7%
Q4 2017+3.8%+2.6%+5.2%
Q3 2017-2.0%-4.3%-8.1%
Q2 2017+8.1%+11.3%+7.9%
Q1 2017+5.3%+5.3%+0.0%
Q4 2016-1.5%-6.9%-10.5%
Q3 2016+2.2%-0.6%+21.2%
Q2 2016-10.7%-12.5%-5.7%
Q1 2016-1.8%
Q4 2015+4.2%
Q3 2015+4.4%
Q2 2015-29.6%
Q1 2015-10.0%
Q4 2014+2.1%
Q3 2014+14.8%
Q2 2014-5.6%
Q1 2014+11.0%
Q4 2013-3.1%
Q3 2013-8.2%
Q2 2013+8.4%
Q1 2013+0.2%
Q4 2012+1.7%
Q3 2012-1.1%
Q2 2012+13.3%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q1 2012+6.6%
Q4 2011+6.0%
Q4 2009+6.0%
Q3 2010+11.1%
Q3 2011+11.1%
Q4 2010+4.0%
Q2 2010+4.0%
Q2 2011+4.0%
Q1 2010-2.4%

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