NASDAQ$TRS

TriMas Corporation · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

TriMas reported a decrease in net sales and operating profit due to lower demand for packaging products, while aerospace and specialty products groups showed growth.

TriMas reported a decrease in net sales by 3.9% to $215.5 million, with operating profit decreasing to $10.0 million. The company reaffirmed its 2023 outlook, expecting adjusted diluted earnings per share between $2.00 to $2.20.

  • Net sales decreased by 3.9% compared to the prior year.
  • Specialty Products group increased net sales by more than 19% with operating margins near 20%.
  • Aerospace and Specialty Products groups maintained strong order backlogs.
  • TriMas Packaging experienced lower demand due to customers working through prior year inventory levels.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$215M

Previous: $224M-3.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.30

Previous: $0.50-40.0%
Free Cash Flow

$4.91M

Previous: $14.2M-65.3%
Net Income

$4.91M

Previous: $14.2M-65.3%
Operating Income

$9.99M

Previous: $21.9M-54.4%
Gross Profit

$47.7M

Previous: $53.7M-11.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$51.9M

Previous: $58.8M-11.8%
Total Assets

$1.32B

Previous: $1.31B+0.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.94M

Previous: $2.82M+4.3%

Revenue & EPS history

TriMas · Revenue · Quarterly

$215M

Q1 2023-3.9%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

TriMas · $215M total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • Packaging
    $116M-16.1%
  • Aerospace (Discontinued)
    $50M+12.3%
  • Specialty Products
    $49.3M+19.2%

Forward guidance

The Company reaffirms its full year 2023 outlook provided on February 23, 2023. The Company expects full year 2023 adjusted diluted earnings per share to be between $2.00 to $2.20 per share, based on consolidated sales growth of 10% to 15% compared to 2022. In addition, the Company is targeting full year 2023 Free Cash Flow to be greater than 100% of net income.

Tailwinds

  • Expects a demand recovery within TriMas Packaging as we move through 2023.
  • Initiating steps within TriMas Packaging to optimize our cost structure, positioning us to capitalize on operating leverage gains in 2024.
  • Working closely with our core suppliers within TriMas Aerospace, as they manage their post-pandemic-related constraints exacerbated by the strong recovery within the aerospace market.
  • Anticipate second quarter EPS to improve sequentially from the first quarter.
  • Expect the second half of the year to be markedly improved compared to the first half, as we lap the year-over-year impact of customer inventory rebalancing, and expect a return to a more normalized seasonal selling period.

Headwinds

  • More cautious near-term outlook.
  • First quarter results were largely in line with our expectations.
  • Continue to expect a demand recovery within TriMas Packaging as we move through 2023, as our customers continue to work through their high inventory levels.
  • Second quarter EPS to improve sequentially from the first quarter, albeit still significantly lower than the prior year quarter.
  • Customer inventory rebalancing.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+14.8%

Q3 2014

Best reaction

-29.6%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.6%+14.9%+13.4%
Q4 2025+3.1%+4.0%-3.2%
Q3 2025-2.8%-9.1%-13.0%
Q1 2025+12.3%+17.9%+26.8%
Q4 2024-6.2%+0.1%+6.7%
Q3 2024-3.3%+1.0%-1.7%
Q2 2024-10.0%-13.0%-7.2%
Q1 2024-3.6%-2.0%-0.2%
Q4 2023-8.5%-6.0%+4.1%
Q3 2023+3.6%+5.8%+7.3%
Q2 2023-2.0%-7.3%-7.9%
Q1 2023+0.4%+1.7%+1.3%
Q4 2022-3.0%-1.0%-10.8%
Q3 2022-18.1%-14.0%-4.9%
Q2 2022+4.5%+2.0%-0.7%
Q1 2022-3.2%-5.1%-5.7%
Q4 2021-1.6%-0.8%-1.3%
Q3 2021+0.2%+2.2%+5.7%
Q2 2021-1.4%-5.1%-3.3%
Q1 2021+1.2%+3.5%+3.1%
Q4 2020-6.0%-10.7%-13.2%
Q3 2020+3.0%+10.5%+17.2%
Q2 2020-6.0%-5.1%+3.5%
Q1 2020-10.5%-11.5%-8.7%
Q4 2019-9.6%-4.8%-18.1%
Q3 2019-7.4%-5.2%-7.4%
Q2 2019-1.8%-1.6%-3.9%
Q1 2019-4.9%-3.9%-11.0%
Q4 2018+1.7%+2.2%-2.9%
Q3 2018+7.4%+7.4%+4.6%
Q2 2018+5.7%+4.0%+3.4%
Q1 2018-0.4%-1.1%+4.7%
Q4 2017+3.8%+2.6%+5.2%
Q3 2017-2.0%-4.3%-8.1%
Q2 2017+8.1%+11.3%+7.9%
Q1 2017+5.3%+5.3%+0.0%
Q4 2016-1.5%-6.9%-10.5%
Q3 2016+2.2%-0.6%+21.2%
Q2 2016-10.7%-12.5%-5.7%
Q1 2016-1.8%
Q4 2015+4.2%
Q3 2015+4.4%
Q2 2015-29.6%
Q1 2015-10.0%
Q4 2014+2.1%
Q3 2014+14.8%
Q2 2014-5.6%
Q1 2014+11.0%
Q4 2013-3.1%
Q3 2013-8.2%
Q2 2013+8.4%
Q1 2013+0.2%
Q4 2012+1.7%
Q3 2012-1.1%
Q2 2012+13.3%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q1 2012+6.6%
Q4 2011+6.0%
Q4 2009+6.0%
Q3 2010+11.1%
Q3 2011+11.1%
Q4 2010+4.0%
Q2 2010+4.0%
Q2 2011+4.0%
Q1 2010-2.4%

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