NASDAQ$TFSL

TFS Financial Corporation · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

TFS Financial Corporation reported net income, driven by higher net gain on the sale of loans, lower non-interest expense, and a lower effective tax rate, which was partially offset by lower net interest income and an increase in the provision for loan losses.

TFS Financial Corporation announced results for the three months ended June 30, 2020, reporting a net income of $26.8 million, compared to $18.3 million for the same period in 2019. The increase was primarily due to higher net gain on the sale of loans, lower non-interest expense, and a lower effective tax rate, partially offset by lower net interest income and an increase in the provision for loan losses. Loan originations reached the highest number in a single quarter in 15 years, with over $1.2 billion in first and second mortgage loans originated.

  • Net income increased to $26.8 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2020, compared to $18.3 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2019.
  • Non-interest expense ratio hit the lowest since the company went public in 2007, at 1.20%.
  • Over $1.2 billion in first and second mortgage loans were originated, marking the highest number of originations in a single quarter in 15 years.
  • Total assets increased by $292.4 million, or 2.01%, to $14.83 billion at June 30, 2020, from $14.54 billion at September 30, 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$78.2M

Previous: $70.6M+10.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.10

Previous: $0.06+66.7%
Tier 1 leverage ratio

11.8%

No prior period
Common Equity Tier 1

21.6%

No prior period
Total capital ratio

22.2%

No prior period
Interest rate spread

1.6%

Previous: 1.7%-5.9%
Net interest margin

1.7%

Previous: 1.9%-8.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.83M

Previous: -$2.89M+1.9%
Free Cash Flow

$24M

Previous: $15.4M+56.2%
Net Income

$26.8M

Previous: $18.3M+47.0%
Operating Income

$26.3M

Previous: $7.89M+233.4%
Gross Profit

$78.2M

Previous: $70.6M+10.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$329M

Previous: $271M+21.3%
Total Assets

$14.8B

Previous: $14.4B+3.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.74M

Previous: $2.97M-7.6%

Revenue & EPS history

TFS Financial · Revenue · Quarterly

$78.2M

Q3 2020+10.8%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

TFS Financial · $11.9M total across 4 segments · Q1 2020

  • Other non-interest income
    $5.3M+326.6%
  • Gain on sale of loans
    $2.93M+2535.1%
  • Fees & service charges
    $2.15M+20.8%
  • BOLI benefits
    $1.56M+0.9%

Forward guidance

This report contains forward-looking statements which are subject to significant risks, assumptions and uncertainties, including, among other things, the following important factors that could affect the actual outcome of future events

Tailwinds

  • statements of our goals, intentions and expectations
  • statements regarding our business plans and prospects and growth and operating strategies
  • statements concerning trends in our provision for loan losses and charge-offs
  • statements regarding the trends in factors affecting our financial condition and results of operations, including asset quality of our loan and investment portfolios
  • estimates of our risks and future costs and benefits

Headwinds

  • significantly increased competition among depository and other financial institutions
  • inflation and changes in the interest rate environment that reduce our interest margins or reduce the fair value of financial instruments
  • general economic conditions, either globally, nationally or in our market areas, including employment prospects, real estate values and conditions that are worse than expected
  • the strength or weakness of the real estate markets and of the consumer and commercial credit sectors and its impact on the credit quality of our loans and other assets, and changes in estimates of the allowance for loan losses
  • decreased demand for our products and services and lower revenue and earnings because of a recession or other events

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

31 / 65 earnings

Positive

+8.5%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-5.5%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+2.0%+0.4%+5.9%
Q1 2026-4.1%+0.3%-4.6%
Q4 2025-1.0%+3.8%+7.5%
Q2 2025+1.6%+1.1%-0.1%
Q1 2025+7.3%+7.2%+3.1%
Q4 2024-0.7%-1.5%+9.3%
Q3 2024-1.4%-5.7%-2.0%
Q2 2024+4.3%+9.0%+7.5%
Q1 2024-5.3%-5.3%-9.4%
Q4 2023+5.1%+6.8%+22.7%
Q3 2023+2.7%+5.8%-3.5%
Q2 2023-0.5%-3.9%-5.9%
Q1 2023-1.6%-2.9%-1.5%
Q4 2022+8.2%+6.5%+6.2%
Q3 2022+3.0%+3.1%+3.7%
Q2 2022-0.5%-0.7%-0.7%
Q1 2022-1.0%+0.0%-0.5%
Q4 2021+1.2%+1.5%-2.2%
Q3 2021-0.7%-2.5%+1.4%
Q2 2021-2.2%-2.7%+10.7%
Q1 2021-2.9%-3.0%+7.4%
Q4 2020-0.1%+0.9%+12.7%
Q3 2020+3.5%-1.4%+11.4%
Q2 2020+8.5%+7.6%+8.5%
Q1 2020+3.1%+6.6%+3.1%
Q4 2019-0.1%+1.8%+5.3%
Q3 2019-2.3%-4.2%-3.4%
Q2 2019-0.9%+5.3%+3.9%
Q1 2019-2.7%+0.0%+1.7%
Q4 2018+1.6%+3.2%+7.0%
Q3 2018-5.5%-4.1%-5.2%
Q2 2018-0.7%+1.1%+5.5%
Q1 2018-0.6%+2.9%+0.1%
Q4 2017-3.3%-2.4%-3.1%
Q3 2017+1.2%+2.4%-2.0%
Q2 2017+1.3%+0.1%-4.9%
Q1 2017-4.7%-6.3%-6.2%
Q4 2016+0.3%-0.5%+6.7%
Q3 2016+0.5%-0.6%+1.3%
Q2 2016-1.2%
Q1 2016+1.0%
Q4 2015-0.2%
Q3 2015+1.1%
Q2 2015-2.4%
Q1 2015-0.3%
Q4 2014+2.4%
Q3 2014+0.4%
Q2 2014-0.2%
Q1 2014+0.5%
Q4 2013-1.6%
Q3 2013-0.8%
Q2 2013+1.1%
Q1 2013+2.8%
Q4 2012+0.1%
Q3 2012-0.9%
Q2 2012+0.8%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q4 2011+2.8%
Q3 2011+1.2%
Q2 2011+1.5%
Q1 2011+2.6%
Q4 2010-3.0%
Q4 2009-0.7%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010-4.0%

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