NASDAQ$TFIN

Triumph Financial Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income to common stockholders and TriumphPay returned to EBITDA positive.

Triumph Financial reported a net income to common stockholders of $4.5 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, for the third quarter. Expenses were within the target range, and TriumphPay returned to a positive EBITDA.

  • The freight recession is ongoing, with bankruptcies occurring weekly, but capacity is leaving the system slowly.
  • Expenses were within the target range, remaining under $97 million and intending to do the same in Q4.
  • TriumphPay returned to EBITDA positive despite the freight recession and investments.
  • LoadPay and Factoring as a Service (FaaS) deployment has commenced with C.H. Robinson, aiming for $1 billion revenue from the transportation fintech platform.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$106M

Previous: $105M+1.4%
EPS

$0.19

Previous: $0.51-62.7%
Net Interest Margin

6.8%

No prior period
Past Due Loans Ratio

2.6%

No prior period
Non-Performing Assets Ratio

2.1%

Previous: 1.1%+93.5%
Net Charge-offs to Loans

0.1%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$815K

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$5.35M

Previous: $12.8M-58.2%
Net Income

$5.35M

Previous: $12.8M-58.2%
Operating Income

$58.6M

Previous: $61.1M-4.2%
Gross Profit

$106M

Previous: $105M+1.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.03M

Previous: $3.71M+8.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Triumph Financial · Revenue · Quarterly

$106M

Q3 2024+1.4%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 2 of 15 quarters(13%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Triumph Financial · $39.2M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Factoring
    $34.2M-34.8%
  • Payments
    $4.92M-32.4%

Forward guidance

Triumph Financial does not provide forward guidance but anticipates Q4 expenses to remain below $97 million, with a possible one-time item related to tenant exits in the acquired headquarters building. Seasonality is expected to soften Q1 2025 earnings due to typical factoring volume reduction and expense pressures.

Tailwinds

  • Q4 expenses are expected to be below $97 million.
  • Potential for a one-time item related to tenant exits in the acquired headquarters building.
  • Long-term optimism remains despite potential short-term discomfort.
  • Capital is well-stewarded, with $260 million of excess capital relative to the CET1 target.
  • Value creation for long-term shareholders is a priority.

Headwinds

  • The freight market is currently soft.
  • Catastrophic weather events and geopolitics will add volatility.
  • Seasonality is expected to make Q1 softer.
  • Factoring volumes typically reduce in Q1 by 4% to 6%.
  • Expense pressures tied to compensation resets and health insurance premium changes in Q1.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.7%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

26 / 54 earnings

Positive

+12.5%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-13.9%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%+1.9%-0.6%
Q4 2025-7.2%-10.6%-16.3%
Q3 2025+7.3%+25.4%+9.4%
Q2 2025-2.6%-2.0%+7.0%
Q1 2025-2.4%-3.0%+22.8%
Q4 2024-13.9%-14.5%-26.6%
Q3 2024+7.9%+9.0%+21.6%
Q2 2024-12.6%-7.7%-10.3%
Q1 2024-9.6%-7.9%+1.7%
Q4 2023-5.2%-6.5%-2.6%
Q3 2023+1.3%+1.0%+17.6%
Q2 2023+0.3%+0.7%-5.2%
Q1 2023-3.3%-0.9%+0.8%
Q4 2022-2.2%+2.9%+15.0%
Q3 2022-10.1%-17.2%+4.7%
Q2 2022+6.9%+4.5%+8.1%
Q1 2022-6.4%-8.1%-19.6%
Q4 2021-12.4%-18.8%-13.9%
Q3 2021+0.0%+6.3%+18.9%
Q2 2021+2.3%+2.9%+10.2%
Q1 2021-0.4%+0.5%-8.6%
Q4 2020+4.2%+10.1%+28.5%
Q3 2020+3.9%+8.1%+11.2%
Q2 2020+12.5%+10.2%+18.4%
Q1 2020-4.3%-8.3%-7.7%
Q4 2019+6.0%+5.2%+10.3%
Q3 2019+1.1%+5.8%+5.5%
Q2 2019+7.8%+9.2%+7.0%
Q1 2019-4.6%-7.3%-2.6%
Q4 2018-9.1%-4.2%+3.0%
Q3 2018-2.0%-7.2%+0.2%
Q2 2018-1.6%-1.4%+2.7%
Q1 2018+2.0%+0.5%+3.8%
Q4 2017+7.2%+6.9%+15.6%
Q3 2017-0.6%+1.3%-5.1%
Q2 2017+7.8%+14.1%+8.7%
Q1 2017-3.7%-9.8%-12.9%
Q4 2016+3.6%+5.9%+5.6%
Q3 2016-4.1%-5.8%+11.4%
Q2 2016+4.1%+2.2%+9.7%
Q1 2016+0.2%
Q4 2015-0.2%
Q4 2012-0.2%
Q3 2015-1.0%
Q2 2015+3.1%
Q1 2014+0.2%
Q1 2015+2.7%
Q2 2014-0.2%
Q4 2013-0.2%
Q1 2013-0.2%
Q4 2014-2.5%
Q2 2013+1.0%
Q3 2013+1.0%
Q3 2014+1.0%

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