NASDAQ$TEAD

TEAD Holdings Co · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Outbrain reported results within Ex-TAC gross profit and Adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges with growth in Ex-TAC gross profit, Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow.

Outbrain's Q4 2023 results showed a revenue of $248.2 million, a net income of $4.1 million, and an adjusted EBITDA of $14.0 million. The company delivered results within guidance ranges, demonstrating growth in Ex-TAC gross profit and strong growth in Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow.

  • Revenue was $248.2 million, a 4% decrease compared to the prior year period.
  • Gross profit increased by 11% year-over-year to $53.2 million.
  • Net income was $4.1 million, compared to a net loss of $7.7 million in the prior year period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $14.0 million, compared to $7.1 million in the prior year period.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$248M

Previous: $258M-3.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.09

Previous: -$0.14+164.3%
Ex-TAC Gross Profit

$63.8M

Previous: $59.2M+7.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$14M

Previous: $7.12M+96.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$4.5M

Previous: $2.52M-278.3%
Net Income

$4.1M

Previous: -$7.75M+152.9%
Operating Income

$5.71M

Previous: -$3.67M+255.6%
Gross Profit

$53.2M

Previous: $48.1M+10.6%
R&D Expense

$8.37M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$2.99M

Previous: $2.87M+4.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Outbrain · Revenue · Quarterly

$248M

Q4 2023-3.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the first quarter ending March 31, 2024, Outbrain expects Ex-TAC gross profit of $50.5 million to $53.5 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $(1) million to $1 million. For the full year ending December 31, 2024, the company expects Ex-TAC gross profit of $238 million to $248 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $30 million to $35 million.

Tailwinds

  • Ex-TAC gross profit of $50.5 million to $53.5 million (Q1 2024)
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $(1) million to $1 million (Q1 2024)
  • Ex-TAC gross profit of $238 million to $248 million (FY 2024)
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $30 million to $35 million (FY 2024)

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-3.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-5.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-10.3%

Avg return

30 days after

35%

8 / 23 earnings

Positive

+21.7%

Q1 2026

Best reaction

-45.9%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+21.7%+10.6%
Q3 2025-45.9%-38.8%-58.5%
Q1 2025-2.0%-14.7%-20.4%
Q4 2024-3.3%-13.1%-30.1%
Q3 2024+5.0%+7.6%+30.0%
Q2 2024-3.7%-2.1%-0.8%
Q1 2024+1.6%+1.6%+2.9%
Q4 2023-11.3%-7.4%+1.0%
Q3 2023-13.2%-12.9%-7.4%
Q2 2023+10.7%+12.2%+2.5%
Q1 2023+2.2%+2.4%+29.7%
Q4 2022+13.3%+11.2%-4.0%
Q3 2022+18.9%+10.1%-9.3%
Q2 2022-13.7%-20.8%-36.6%
Q1 2021-0.5%-2.1%-8.1%
Q1 2022-23.3%-23.7%-31.7%
Q4 2019-1.1%-3.7%-10.7%
Q4 2021-9.6%-18.5%-17.7%
Q3 2020+4.7%+3.6%-11.6%
Q3 2021-2.7%-1.1%-15.4%
Q4 2020-2.5%-4.0%-8.8%
Q2 2020-2.5%-4.0%-8.8%
Q2 2021-13.1%-13.1%-12.6%
Q2 2017
Q1 2017
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011

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