NASDAQ$SFIX

Stitch Fix Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a revenue increase of 44% year-over-year, driven by strong client growth.

Stitch Fix announced its Q3 2021 financial results, reporting a net revenue of $536 million, a 44% increase year-over-year. The active client count grew to 4.1 million, reflecting a 20% year-over-year growth. However, the company reported a net loss of $18.8 million, with a diluted loss per share of $0.18.

  • Net revenue increased by 44% year-over-year, reaching $535.6 million.
  • Active clients grew by 20% year-over-year, totaling 4.1 million.
  • Net revenue per active client decreased by 3% year-over-year to $481.
  • Net loss was $18.8 million, with a diluted loss per share of $0.18.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$536M

Previous: $372M+44.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.18

Previous: -$0.33+45.5%
Active clients

4.1M

Previous: 3.4M+20.6%
Net revenue per active client

$481.00

Previous: $498.00-3.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$23.7M

Previous: -$18.7M-27.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$42.5M

Previous: -$52.6M+19.1%
Net Income

-$18.8M

Previous: -$33.9M+44.4%
Operating Income

-$24.2M

Previous: -$46.1M+47.4%
Gross Profit

$246M

Previous: $152M+62.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$125M

Previous: $96.8M+28.8%
Total Assets

$834M

Previous: $782M+6.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$28.8M

Previous: $19.6M+47.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Stitch Fix · Revenue · Quarterly

$536M

Q3 2021+44.1%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Stitch Fix provided its financial outlook for the fourth quarter and full year of fiscal 2021, anticipating net revenue between $540 million and $550 million for Q4, representing a 21.8% to 24.0% year-over-year growth. The adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $15 million and $20 million, with a margin of 2.8% to 3.6%. For the full fiscal year, net revenue is expected to be between $2.070 billion and $2.080 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA between $25 million and $30 million.

Tailwinds

  • Net Revenue for Q4 is expected to be between $540 million and $550 million
  • YoY growth for Q4 Net Revenue is expected to be between 21.8% and 24.0%
  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 is expected to be between $15 million and $20 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin for Q4 is expected to be between 2.8% and 3.6%
  • Full year Net Revenue is expected to be between $2.070 billion and $2.080 billion

Headwinds

  • Full year Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $25 million and $30 million
  • Full year Adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be between 1.2% and 1.4%
  • There are substantial risks and uncertainties related to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.
  • The company's ability to generate sufficient net revenue to offset costs is uncertain.
  • The company's ability to acquire, engage, and retain clients is uncertain.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

15 / 40 earnings

Positive

+45.0%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-40.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+16.7%+15.9%
Q2 2026-2.7%-5.6%-9.2%
Q1 2026+8.7%+15.6%+9.2%
Q4 2025-16.7%-22.9%-18.8%
Q3 2025-1.3%-0.3%+19.4%
Q2 2025-5.4%-15.1%-29.3%
Q1 2025+45.0%-14.4%+7.6%
Q4 2024-40.1%-25.1%-25.3%
Q3 2024+34.1%+44.4%+50.4%
Q2 2024-19.3%-21.8%-23.1%
Q1 2024-9.9%-3.9%-20.2%
Q4 2023+5.9%-3.4%+4.3%
Q3 2023+37.1%+30.4%+9.5%
Q2 2023+3.8%-0.4%-8.2%
Q1 2023-8.4%-3.7%-13.2%
Q4 2022-3.2%-14.8%-30.9%
Q3 2022-27.0%-28.4%-37.6%
Q2 2022-2.0%-3.6%-6.4%
Q1 2022-20.4%-20.1%-18.6%
Q4 2021+12.8%+20.2%-4.2%
Q3 2021+19.1%+15.4%+6.4%
Q2 2021-32.6%-26.2%-30.0%
Q1 2021+40.3%+68.9%+69.2%
Q4 2020-8.8%-9.7%+19.8%
Q3 2020-5.6%-6.1%+17.4%
Q2 2020-30.4%-41.8%-40.4%
Q1 2020+8.9%+7.4%-1.9%
Q4 2019-7.1%+1.9%+18.8%
Q3 2019+12.1%+16.5%+28.6%
Q2 2019+31.4%+24.5%+4.0%
Q1 2019-22.1%-22.8%-23.5%
Q2 2018-0.9%-10.5%-4.7%
Q4 2016-0.9%-10.5%-4.7%
Q4 2018-33.9%-39.9%-39.8%
Q3 2017+21.3%+29.4%+64.8%
Q3 2018+20.6%+16.7%+57.1%
Q2 2017-9.8%-15.4%-1.1%
Q1 2017-6.3%-0.6%-16.4%
Q1 2018-6.3%-0.6%-16.4%
Q4 2017-6.3%+3.2%-13.2%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016

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