NASDAQ$SBUX

Starbucks Corp · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Starbucks Q3 2020 financial results were negatively impacted by the COVID-19 outbreak, but the global business is steadily recovering.

Starbucks Q3 fiscal year 2020 results were significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, with consolidated net revenues declining by 38% to $4.2 billion. The company experienced a GAAP EPS of -$0.58 and a non-GAAP EPS of -$0.46, reflecting sales deleverage and investments in retail partner support. However, the company noted that the vast majority of stores have reopened and the global business is steadily recovering.

  • Global comparable store sales decreased by 40% due to a 51% decline in comparable transactions, partially offset by a 23% increase in average ticket.
  • The company opened 130 net new stores, resulting in 5% year-over-year unit growth, with a total of 32,180 stores globally.
  • Consolidated net revenues decreased by 38% to $4.2 billion, primarily due to lost sales related to the COVID-19 outbreak.
  • GAAP operating margin was -16.7%, and non-GAAP operating margin was -12.6%, primarily due to the COVID-19 outbreak.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.22B

Previous: $6.82B-38.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.46

Previous: $0.78-159.0%
Global comp sales

-40.0%

Previous: 0.0%
Total global stores

32.2K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$1.14B

Previous: -$1.28B+11.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.82B

Previous: $92.1M-2072.6%
Net Income

-$678M

Previous: $1.37B-149.4%
Operating Income

-$704M

Previous: $1.12B-162.8%
Gross Profit

$4.17B

Previous: $4.01B+3.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.97B

Previous: $4.76B-16.7%
Total Assets

$29.1B

Previous: $20.9B+39.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$41.4M

Previous: $63.3M-34.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Starbucks · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.22B

Q3 2020-38.1%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Starbucks · $4.22B total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Company-operated
    $3.44B
  • Other
    $477M
  • Licensed stores
    $301M

Forward guidance

The company expects the adverse impacts of the COVID-19 outbreak to moderate meaningfully in Q4 FY20.

Tailwinds

  • Global comparable store sales declines of 12% to 17% for Q4.
  • Americas and U.S. comparable store sales declines of 12% to 17% for Q4.
  • International comparable store sales declines of 10% to 15% for Q4, inclusive of a benefit from value-added tax exemption of approximately 3%.
  • China comparable store sales roughly flat to -5% for Q4, inclusive of a benefit from value-added tax exemption of approximately 4%.
  • Non-GAAP EPS in the range of $0.18 to $0.33 for Q4.

Headwinds

  • Consolidated revenue decline of 10% to 15% for Q4.
  • Channel Development revenue decline of 5% to 6% for full year.
  • GAAP EPS in the range of $0.06 to $0.21 for Q4.
  • Capital expenditures of approximately $1.5 billion.
  • Interest expense of approximately $435 million to $445 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

37 / 73 earnings

Positive

+12.4%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-15.7%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+0.1%+7.9%+1.9%
Q1 2026-0.8%-4.2%+2.4%
Q4 2025-0.9%-5.4%+3.5%
Q3 2025-0.2%-3.4%-5.1%
Q2 2025-5.7%-3.8%-1.1%
Q1 2025+8.1%+7.7%+15.3%
Q4 2024+0.3%+0.9%+3.7%
Q3 2024+3.7%+0.9%+26.1%
Q2 2024-15.7%-17.2%-10.8%
Q1 2024-0.8%-0.9%+1.2%
Q4 2023+12.4%+13.5%+8.6%
Q3 2023+0.6%-0.9%-4.1%
Q2 2023-9.3%-6.4%-14.9%
Q1 2023-5.2%-2.9%-4.9%
Q4 2022+8.6%+9.7%+24.2%
Q3 2022+2.8%+1.0%+0.6%
Q2 2022+8.3%+1.5%+5.4%
Q1 2022-0.6%-3.4%-6.9%
Q4 2021-6.6%-1.8%-2.5%
Q3 2021-2.9%-3.7%-9.3%
Q2 2021-3.0%-1.2%-2.1%
Q1 2021-5.4%-6.4%+0.0%
Q4 2020-0.2%+1.4%+13.2%
Q3 2020+1.3%+0.1%+9.1%
Q2 2020-1.1%-5.1%+1.0%
Q1 2020-2.3%-4.4%-11.8%
Q4 2019+0.5%-2.1%+1.5%
Q3 2019+9.3%+6.6%+4.5%
Q2 2019+1.4%+1.7%-0.3%
Q1 2019+1.0%+0.9%+7.3%
Q4 2018+10.4%+13.3%+14.5%
Q3 2018+1.0%+1.5%+2.2%
Q2 2018+1.1%+0.7%+0.4%
Q1 2018-4.7%-6.0%-7.7%
Q4 2017+1.6%+3.8%+4.0%
Q3 2017-6.8%-5.5%-6.2%
Q2 2017-2.4%-1.7%+2.8%
Q1 2017-4.4%-5.9%-2.1%
Q4 2016-0.4%+3.1%+8.0%
Q3 2016+0.6%+1.3%-4.5%
Q2 2016-5.3%
Q1 2016+4.0%
Q4 2015-1.5%
Q3 2015+1.1%
Q2 2015+7.2%
Q1 2015+8.5%
Q4 2014-1.3%
Q3 2014-0.5%
Q2 2014+1.5%
Q1 2014+1.9%
Q4 2013+1.8%
Q3 2013+10.1%
Q2 2013+0.3%
Q1 2013+4.3%
Q4 2012+10.8%
Q3 2012-5.8%
Q2 2012-3.5%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011-7.8%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q1 2011+3.5%
Q4 2010-1.2%
Q3 2010-0.6%
Q2 2010-3.5%
Q1 2009+0.8%
Q1 2010+0.7%
Q2 2009+0.4%
Q4 2009+0.4%
Q4 2007+0.4%
Q3 2009-2.1%
Q4 2008-2.1%
Q3 2008-2.1%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro