NASDAQ$SBUX

Starbucks Corp · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Starbucks' Q1 2021 results reflected meaningful improvements despite business disruptions, fueled by investments in partners, beverage innovation, and digital customer relationships.

Starbucks reported a 5% decline in global comparable store sales, with U.S. sales down 5% and China up 5%. GAAP EPS was $0.53, and non-GAAP EPS was $0.61. The company opened 278 net new stores, bringing the global total to 32,938.

  • Global comparable store sales decreased by 5%, driven by a 19% decrease in comparable transactions, partially offset by a 17% increase in average ticket.
  • Americas comparable store sales declined 6%, with U.S. comparable store sales down 5%.
  • International comparable store sales were down 3%, while China comparable store sales increased by 5%.
  • The company opened 278 net new stores in Q1 2021, yielding 4% year-over-year unit growth, ending the period with 32,938 stores globally.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.75B

Previous: $7.1B-4.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.61

Previous: $0.79-22.8%
Global comp sales

-5.0%

Previous: 5.0%-200.0%
Total global stores

32.9K

Previous: 31.8K+3.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$324M

Previous: -$394M+17.8%
Free Cash Flow

$298M

Previous: $491M-39.4%
Net Income

$622M

Previous: $886M-29.8%
Operating Income

$914M

Previous: $1.22B-25.1%
Gross Profit

$6.75B

Previous: $4.86B+38.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.03B

Previous: $3.04B+65.4%
Total Assets

$30B

Previous: $27.7B+8.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$99.3M

Previous: $90.3M+10.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Starbucks · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.75B

Q1 2021-4.9%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Starbucks · $6.75B total across 3 segments · Q1 2021

  • Company-operated
    $5.73B-0.9%
  • Licensed stores
    $614M-22.5%
  • Other
    $409M-22.0%

Forward guidance

Starbucks provided full-year fiscal 2021 guidance, including global comparable store sales growth of 18% to 23% and GAAP EPS in the range of $2.42 to $2.62.

Tailwinds

  • Global comparable store sales growth of 18% to 23%.
  • Americas and U.S. comparable store sales growth of 17% to 22%.
  • International comparable store sales growth of 25% to 30%.
  • China comparable store sales growth of 27% to 32%.
  • Consolidated revenue of $28.0 billion to $29.0 billion.

Headwinds

  • Guidance is dependent on current expectations and may be impacted by evolving external conditions.
  • Local safety guidelines and shifts in customer routines, preferences, and mobility may affect guidance.
  • The company is unable to reconcile forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures without unreasonable efforts.
  • Such items may include acquisitions, divestitures, restructuring and other items.
  • The unavailable information could have a significant impact on the company’s GAAP financial results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

37 / 73 earnings

Positive

+12.4%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-15.7%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+0.1%+7.9%+1.9%
Q1 2026-0.8%-4.2%+2.4%
Q4 2025-0.9%-5.4%+3.5%
Q3 2025-0.2%-3.4%-5.1%
Q2 2025-5.7%-3.8%-1.1%
Q1 2025+8.1%+7.7%+15.3%
Q4 2024+0.3%+0.9%+3.7%
Q3 2024+3.7%+0.9%+26.1%
Q2 2024-15.7%-17.2%-10.8%
Q1 2024-0.8%-0.9%+1.2%
Q4 2023+12.4%+13.5%+8.6%
Q3 2023+0.6%-0.9%-4.1%
Q2 2023-9.3%-6.4%-14.9%
Q1 2023-5.2%-2.9%-4.9%
Q4 2022+8.6%+9.7%+24.2%
Q3 2022+2.8%+1.0%+0.6%
Q2 2022+8.3%+1.5%+5.4%
Q1 2022-0.6%-3.4%-6.9%
Q4 2021-6.6%-1.8%-2.5%
Q3 2021-2.9%-3.7%-9.3%
Q2 2021-3.0%-1.2%-2.1%
Q1 2021-5.4%-6.4%+0.0%
Q4 2020-0.2%+1.4%+13.2%
Q3 2020+1.3%+0.1%+9.1%
Q2 2020-1.1%-5.1%+1.0%
Q1 2020-2.3%-4.4%-11.8%
Q4 2019+0.5%-2.1%+1.5%
Q3 2019+9.3%+6.6%+4.5%
Q2 2019+1.4%+1.7%-0.3%
Q1 2019+1.0%+0.9%+7.3%
Q4 2018+10.4%+13.3%+14.5%
Q3 2018+1.0%+1.5%+2.2%
Q2 2018+1.1%+0.7%+0.4%
Q1 2018-4.7%-6.0%-7.7%
Q4 2017+1.6%+3.8%+4.0%
Q3 2017-6.8%-5.5%-6.2%
Q2 2017-2.4%-1.7%+2.8%
Q1 2017-4.4%-5.9%-2.1%
Q4 2016-0.4%+3.1%+8.0%
Q3 2016+0.6%+1.3%-4.5%
Q2 2016-5.3%
Q1 2016+4.0%
Q4 2015-1.5%
Q3 2015+1.1%
Q2 2015+7.2%
Q1 2015+8.5%
Q4 2014-1.3%
Q3 2014-0.5%
Q2 2014+1.5%
Q1 2014+1.9%
Q4 2013+1.8%
Q3 2013+10.1%
Q2 2013+0.3%
Q1 2013+4.3%
Q4 2012+10.8%
Q3 2012-5.8%
Q2 2012-3.5%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011-7.8%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q1 2011+3.5%
Q4 2010-1.2%
Q3 2010-0.6%
Q2 2010-3.5%
Q1 2009+0.8%
Q1 2010+0.7%
Q2 2009+0.4%
Q4 2009+0.4%
Q4 2007+0.4%
Q3 2009-2.1%
Q4 2008-2.1%
Q3 2008-2.1%

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