NASDAQ$SAFT

Safety Insurance Group Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported increased direct written premium and net earned premium, but decreased net income and net investment income.

Safety Insurance Group reported a mixed performance for Q4 2024. While direct written premiums and net earned premiums increased, net income and net investment income decreased. The company's combined ratio was 101.9% compared to 106.5% in the prior year. The increases in direct written premiums and net written premiums are a result of new business production and rate increases.

  • Net income for the quarter was $8.1 million, or $0.55 per diluted share, compared to $12.3 million, or $0.83 per diluted share, for the comparable 2023 period.
  • Non-GAAP operating income was $0.94 per diluted share, compared to $0.30 per diluted share for the comparable 2023 period.
  • Direct written premiums increased by $45.9 million, or 18.7%, to $292.0 million.
  • Net earned premiums increased by $43.1 million, or 19.0%, to $269.1 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$284M

Previous: $258M+10.1%
EPS

$0.55

Previous: $0.30+84.4%
Loss Ratio

71.7%

No prior period
Expense Ratio

30.2%

No prior period
Combined Ratio

101.9%

Previous: 106.5%-4.3%
Book Value Per Share

$55.83

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$155K

Previous: $381K-140.7%
Net Income

$8.13M

Previous: $12.3M-33.7%
Operating Income

$10.1M

Previous: $4.45M+127.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Safety Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly

$284M

Q4 2024+10.1%vs Q4 2023

Revenue by segment

Safety Insurance · $14M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Net Investment Income
    $14M

Forward guidance

The press release contains forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those projected.

Headwinds

  • The competitive nature of our industry and the possible adverse effects of such competition
  • Conditions for business operations and restrictive regulations in Massachusetts
  • The possibility of losses due to claims resulting from severe weather
  • The impact of inflation and supply chain delays on loss severity
  • The possibility that the Commissioner of Insurance may approve future rule changes that change the operation of the residual market

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

31 / 65 earnings

Positive

+12.8%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-8.1%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.9%-4.2%-3.6%
Q4 2025-0.7%-3.5%-7.3%
Q3 2025+2.0%+9.6%+6.0%
Q1 2025+0.3%-1.5%-4.9%
Q4 2024-5.5%-4.0%-0.6%
Q3 2024+12.8%+10.3%+11.3%
Q2 2024+0.7%+1.0%+6.7%
Q1 2024+3.9%+0.7%-5.3%
Q4 2023-3.8%-6.3%-3.8%
Q3 2023+4.2%+3.9%+3.0%
Q2 2023+0.7%+2.7%-3.8%
Q1 2023-1.6%-2.9%+3.7%
Q4 2022-8.1%-7.2%-16.1%
Q3 2022-3.0%+1.4%+4.4%
Q2 2022-0.2%+4.4%+4.3%
Q1 2022+1.9%+1.7%+7.9%
Q4 2021-2.3%-2.4%+7.0%
Q3 2021-0.5%+1.4%-0.4%
Q2 2021+1.6%+4.2%+4.8%
Q1 2021+4.1%+4.8%+1.2%
Q4 2020+2.8%+1.2%+6.0%
Q3 2020-0.9%+2.6%+5.4%
Q2 2020+1.5%+6.9%-3.8%
Q1 2020-3.2%-3.2%+0.9%
Q4 2019-6.2%-8.8%-15.5%
Q3 2019-3.3%-3.5%-2.9%
Q2 2019-3.0%-6.3%-4.0%
Q1 2019+0.3%+3.0%-1.9%
Q4 2018+0.1%-3.9%-4.7%
Q3 2018-1.6%+0.6%+3.0%
Q2 2018+2.3%+0.7%+5.6%
Q1 2018-0.9%+0.4%+7.3%
Q4 2017-2.5%-3.7%+4.0%
Q3 2017-1.3%-2.0%+0.4%
Q2 2017+3.5%+0.6%-0.3%
Q1 2017-1.6%-3.8%-5.1%
Q4 2016+1.0%-2.0%-6.2%
Q3 2016-2.4%-2.2%+4.7%
Q2 2016+1.3%+1.4%+7.4%
Q1 2016+5.1%
Q4 2015-0.2%
Q3 2015-2.3%
Q2 2015-4.0%
Q1 2015-5.2%
Q4 2014-1.4%
Q3 2014-5.9%
Q2 2014+2.1%
Q1 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013-2.7%
Q3 2013+2.3%
Q2 2013+1.3%
Q1 2013-0.2%
Q4 2012-3.3%
Q3 2012-2.2%
Q2 2012+1.4%
Q1 2011-0.4%
Q1 2012+2.5%
Q4 2009+1.3%
Q4 2011+1.3%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q3 2010-2.9%
Q2 2011+2.3%
Q2 2010+2.3%
Q4 2010+2.3%
Q1 2010+0.4%

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