NASDAQ$ROKU

Roku Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Roku had a strong Q4 and 2020, achieving record revenue, gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA, driven by the shift to streaming.

Roku's Q4 2020 saw significant growth, with total net revenue increasing by 58% year-over-year to $649.9 million. The company surpassed 50 million active accounts and experienced a doubling of Roku monetized video advertising impressions. The Roku OS was the No. 1 smart TV operating system in the U.S. with 38% unit share of smart TVs sold.

  • Total net revenue grew 58% YoY to $649.9 million.
  • Platform revenue increased 81% YoY to $471.2 million.
  • Total gross profit was up 89% YoY to $305.5 million.
  • Active Accounts increased 39% year-over-year to 51.2 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$650M

Previous: $411M+58.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.49

Previous: -$0.13+476.9%
Streaming Hours

17.0B

Previous: 11.7B+45.3%
Capital Expenditures

$6.37M

Previous: $39.1M-83.7%
Free Cash Flow

$40.7M

Previous: -$49.7M+181.8%
Net Income

$67.3M

Previous: -$15.7M+528.2%
Operating Income

$65.2M

Previous: -$17.4M+474.8%
Gross Profit

$305M

Previous: $162M+89.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.09B

Previous: $515M+112.0%
Total Assets

$2.27B

Previous: $1.47B+54.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$38.7M

Previous: $26M+48.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Roku · Revenue · Quarterly

$650M

Q4 2020+58%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Roku · $650M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Platform
    $471M+81.5%
  • Devices
    $179M+17.9%

Forward guidance

Roku provided Q1 2021 outlook, with total net revenue expected to be between $478 million and $493 million and total gross profit of roughly $238 million at the midpoint. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $31 million at the midpoint.

Tailwinds

  • Expect strong financial comparisons in the first half of the year compared to the first half of 2020.
  • Gross profit growth outpacing OPEX growth is expected to result in adjusted EBITDA of $31 million at the midpoint.
  • Overall 2021 gross margin to be in the mid-40% range as platform margins remain fairly stable.
  • Player segment operated at a gross margin close to zero to continue driving device sales and growing active accounts.
  • Continue investing in our business to enhance our competitive differentiation and seed future growth.

Headwinds

  • Year-over-year comparisons will be quite volatile in 2021.
  • Anticipate much tougher comparisons in the second half of the year due to exceptional performance in 2H20.
  • Overall year-over-year revenue growth will fall below levels expected in the first and second quarters of 2021.
  • Returning to robust year over year OPEX organic growth rates similar to 2019
  • Uncertainty compounds when trying to assess the net impact of a variety of factors such as the timing of the vaccine rollouts, emergence of new COVID-19 variants as well as the lasting economic impacts of the pandemic.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+6.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+9.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+11.8%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

19 / 39 earnings

Positive

+76.5%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-30.3%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.0%+9.8%+11.7%
Q4 2025+8.6%+8.8%+10.5%
Q3 2025+8.5%+5.6%-3.2%
Q1 2025-8.7%-11.0%+7.7%
Q4 2024+14.1%+6.5%-21.9%
Q3 2024-16.1%-12.1%-9.7%
Q2 2024-8.7%-8.9%+16.4%
Q1 2024-8.9%-6.7%-8.2%
Q4 2023-21.1%-26.3%-29.9%
Q3 2023+31.0%+39.8%+73.8%
Q2 2023+25.4%+36.4%+7.7%
Q1 2023-1.2%-1.8%-2.9%
Q4 2022+24.6%+26.3%+13.4%
Q3 2022-8.7%-11.3%+6.9%
Q2 2022-24.6%-12.9%-21.4%
Q1 2022+9.6%+22.6%+13.8%
Q4 2021-30.3%-24.5%-22.7%
Q3 2021-7.7%-11.6%-34.4%
Q2 2021-3.4%-4.8%-18.1%
Q1 2021+4.2%+3.3%+7.5%
Q4 2020+2.3%-9.0%-24.0%
Q3 2020+17.5%+0.6%+37.4%
Q2 2020-7.6%-9.6%-3.9%
Q1 2020-0.7%-0.3%-18.1%
Q4 2019-5.8%-8.1%-41.5%
Q3 2019-15.1%-7.4%+3.4%
Q2 2019+23.9%+36.4%+72.5%
Q1 2019+29.1%+23.4%+58.2%
Q4 2018+20.2%+21.3%+19.1%
Q3 2018-17.8%-25.5%-31.8%
Q2 2018+20.9%+16.8%+37.6%
Q1 2017-0.5%-2.9%+10.7%
Q1 2018+7.1%+6.6%+18.5%
Q2 2016-7.8%-5.4%-23.7%
Q2 2017-7.8%-5.4%-23.7%
Q4 2017-17.8%-21.0%-37.4%
Q3 2016+76.5%+96.1%+137.7%
Q1 2016+76.5%+96.1%+137.7%
Q3 2017+52.6%+123.3%+134.1%
Q4 2016

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