NASDAQ$QNST

QuinStreet Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

QuinStreet's Q3 2023 revenue increased, driven by non-insurance growth and a surge in auto insurance, resulting in a record quarterly revenue and improved adjusted EBITDA.

QuinStreet reported a record quarterly revenue of $172.7 million, a 15% increase year-over-year. Non-insurance revenue grew by 34% year-over-year, representing 58% of the total revenue. The company's adjusted EBITDA was $9 million, up 30% year-over-year. However, the GAAP net loss for the quarter was $0.5 million, or ($0.01) per diluted share.

  • Record quarterly revenue of $173 million, up 15% year-over-year, exceeding outlook.
  • Auto insurance revenue surged, growing 53% sequentially.
  • Non-insurance revenue increased 34% year-over-year, accounting for 58% of total revenue.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reached $9 million, a 30% increase year-over-year, also exceeding outlook.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$173M

Previous: $151M+14.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.11

Previous: $0.09+22.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$8.98M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$2.04M

Previous: -$2.38M+14.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$2.52M

Previous: -$146K-1624.0%
Net Income

-$479K

Previous: $2.23M-121.5%
Operating Income

-$1.41M

Previous: $1.06M-232.9%
Gross Profit

$17M

Previous: $14.1M+20.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$63M

Previous: $109M-42.5%
Total Assets

$412M

Previous: $434M-4.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.31M

Previous: $1.41M+276.2%

Revenue & EPS history

QuinStreet · Revenue · Quarterly

$173M

Q3 2023+14.6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

QuinStreet · $171M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Financial Services
    $120M+11.0%
  • Home Services
    $50.3M+23.5%

Forward guidance

The company expects continued strong growth in non-Insurance client verticals in FYQ4, but anticipates a sequential decline in auto insurance revenue. For full fiscal year 2023, revenue is expected to be $575 to $580 million, with adjusted EBITDA between $16 and $17 million. Double-digit growth rates are expected in fiscal year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Continued strong growth in non-Insurance client verticals in FYQ4, and beyond.
  • Long arc of auto insurance spending is still up and to the right.
  • Carriers will continue to adjust and adapt, and marketing budgets will continue to shift from offline to online.
  • Most consumers shop the digital channel, and performance marketing is the most efficient spend for advanced marketers.
  • Expect revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow at double digit rates in fiscal 2024, and that we will be strongly cash flow positive.

Headwinds

  • Auto insurance revenue to decline sequentially in FYQ4, as carriers are unexpectedly pausing to assess the results of the recent surge.
  • Carriers are continuing to adjust to complex market conditions.
  • Variability of certain items such as taxes, and income and expense from changes in fair value of contingent consideration from acquisitions.
  • Any reconciliations provided would imply a degree of precision that would be confusing or misleading to investors.
  • The Company's actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.5%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

30 / 64 earnings

Positive

+36.7%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-28.0%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+2.8%-13.7%-10.6%
Q2 2026+10.7%-2.9%+10.1%
Q1 2026-0.6%+2.7%+4.3%
Q3 2025-14.5%-10.4%-12.1%
Q2 2025-4.3%-8.8%-27.3%
Q1 2025+7.1%+13.0%+12.8%
Q4 2024-7.0%-8.5%+1.4%
Q3 2024-2.7%-7.6%-12.7%
Q2 2024+14.5%+18.1%+17.8%
Q1 2024-1.1%-3.4%+11.5%
Q4 2023+9.8%+6.0%+2.5%
Q3 2023-16.3%-28.2%-5.0%
Q2 2023+15.4%+12.3%+2.8%
Q1 2023+17.9%+18.3%+26.7%
Q4 2022+18.6%+16.7%+14.8%
Q3 2022+12.3%+10.2%+27.1%
Q2 2022-28.0%-27.2%-27.5%
Q1 2022+16.4%+19.2%+17.4%
Q4 2021+7.8%+3.0%+5.9%
Q3 2021-8.5%-11.0%-10.9%
Q2 2021+11.1%+9.3%+5.1%
Q1 2021+4.1%-1.6%+11.7%
Q4 2020+7.2%+9.2%+16.8%
Q3 2020+9.6%+4.0%+14.5%
Q2 2020+14.2%+10.9%-14.0%
Q1 2020+17.7%+19.6%+19.8%
Q4 2019-26.5%-33.0%-28.6%
Q3 2019+6.5%+5.7%+11.9%
Q2 2019-21.6%-23.3%-32.1%
Q1 2019+19.1%+29.1%+17.5%
Q4 2018-10.3%-7.0%-2.9%
Q3 2018-6.7%-3.8%+10.3%
Q2 2018+36.7%+21.1%+38.1%
Q1 2018+24.0%+18.1%+44.8%
Q4 2017+5.1%+4.6%+38.2%
Q3 2017-2.5%-7.8%-2.5%
Q2 2017+2.5%-0.3%-0.9%
Q1 2017-8.6%-11.2%+16.1%
Q4 2016-8.1%-7.2%+0.0%
Q3 2016-9.6%
Q2 2016-9.6%
Q1 2016-8.2%
Q4 2015+2.1%
Q3 2015+5.8%
Q2 2015+20.9%
Q1 2015-6.0%
Q4 2014-2.8%
Q3 2014-12.2%
Q2 2014-10.7%
Q1 2014-5.1%
Q4 2013+1.4%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2013-0.9%
Q1 2013+1.3%
Q4 2012-0.7%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-0.9%
Q3 2012-15.2%
Q2 2012+3.1%
Q1 2012-20.4%
Q2 2011-20.4%
Q4 2011-20.4%
Q3 2010+1.1%

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