NASDAQ$PZZA

Papa John's International Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Papa John's reported mixed results for Q4 2022, with North America comparable sales up but international sales down.

Papa John's International reported a slight decrease in total revenues for Q4 2022 compared to the record Q4 2021, but an increase excluding the impact of refranchising. North America comparable sales increased, while international comparable sales decreased. Diluted earnings per share decreased slightly, and adjusted diluted earnings per share also decreased.

  • North America comparable sales increased by 1%.
  • International comparable sales decreased by 3%.
  • Global system-wide restaurant sales increased by 3%.
  • Total revenues decreased slightly by less than 1%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$526M

Previous: $529M-0.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.71

Previous: $0.75-5.3%
Domestic Comp Sales Growth

0.8%

Previous: 10.2%-92.2%
NA Franchised Comp Growth

1.1%

Previous: 11.3%-90.3%
NA Comp Sales Growth

1.1%

Previous: 11.1%-90.1%
International Comp Growth

-3.4%

Previous: 2.4%-241.7%
Total Comp Sales Growth

0.0%

Previous: 8.6%-100.0%
Global System-wide Growth

2.8%

Previous: 13.1%-78.6%
NA System-wide Growth

2.6%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$30M

Previous: $27.2M+10.0%
Free Cash Flow

$11.3M

Previous: -$36.2M+131.2%
Net Income

$23.5M

Previous: $24.6M-4.5%
Operating Income

$36.2M

Previous: $38.2M-5.1%
Gross Profit

$99.1M

Previous: $105M-5.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$47.4M

Previous: $70.6M-32.9%
Total Assets

$864M

Previous: $886M-2.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.14M

Previous: $4.4M-5.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Papa John's · Revenue · Quarterly

$526M

Q4 2022-0.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Papa John's · $526M total across 5 segments · Q4 2022

  • North America Commissaries
    $224M+11.9%
  • Domestic Company-owned
    $172M-11.0%
  • All Other
    $62.5M-0.2%
  • North America Franchising
    $34.5M+7.2%
  • International
    $32.6M-18.8%

Forward guidance

Papa John's will continue to grow on the foundation built over the past three years by delivering on strategic priorities and building the world's best pizza company.

Tailwinds

  • Investments in product innovation
  • Investments in digital innovation
  • Strong operational excellence
  • Enhance the customer experience
  • Healthy North America comparable sales and unit economics

Headwinds

  • Deteriorating economic conditions in the U.S. and international markets
  • Labor shortages at Company and/or franchised stores and our quality control centers
  • Increases in labor costs, commodity costs or sustained higher other operating costs, including as a result of supply chain disruption, inflation or climate change
  • The potential for delayed new store openings, both domestically and internationally, or lower net unit development targets due to changing circumstances outside of our control
  • The increased risk of phishing, ransomware and other cyber-attacks

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

44 / 73 earnings

Positive

+17.6%

Q1 2012

Best reaction

-17.2%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.7%+0.9%-5.6%
Q4 2025-8.6%-5.4%-6.1%
Q3 2025+3.7%+2.4%-0.2%
Q1 2025+15.9%+24.5%+49.9%
Q4 2024+1.4%+0.8%-13.8%
Q3 2024-5.4%-12.4%-16.3%
Q2 2024+5.6%+9.2%+10.4%
Q1 2024-6.7%-8.0%-17.7%
Q4 2023-0.3%+0.8%-5.1%
Q3 2023+4.2%+3.6%+3.7%
Q2 2023-0.6%+0.2%-5.5%
Q1 2023+3.1%+3.3%-4.6%
Q4 2022-7.3%-9.1%-17.4%
Q3 2022+2.7%+3.9%+13.1%
Q2 2022-5.0%-6.2%-18.1%
Q1 2022-5.8%-7.2%-5.3%
Q4 2021+0.6%+2.2%-5.8%
Q3 2021+7.3%+7.1%+0.8%
Q2 2021+4.1%+4.4%+13.3%
Q1 2021+5.7%+3.2%+0.8%
Q4 2020-12.1%-12.1%-13.9%
Q3 2020+9.7%+4.7%+6.2%
Q2 2020-1.0%-5.5%-8.8%
Q1 2020+6.1%+9.1%+3.8%
Q4 2019-13.6%+6.0%+45.0%
Q3 2019+9.4%+9.5%+5.7%
Q2 2019+3.6%+7.7%+15.7%
Q1 2019-2.3%-1.9%-5.4%
Q4 2018+2.1%+3.5%+24.1%
Q3 2018+3.4%+1.3%-16.0%
Q2 2018-8.0%-4.9%+9.1%
Q1 2018-4.3%-11.1%-12.2%
Q4 2017+0.8%+5.9%+0.1%
Q3 2017-7.1%-8.3%-12.8%
Q2 2017+9.3%+7.9%+4.9%
Q1 2017+0.7%+3.2%+4.2%
Q4 2016-7.5%-8.5%-13.6%
Q3 2016+4.0%+2.7%+15.7%
Q2 2016+4.3%+1.8%+1.3%
Q1 2016+4.4%
Q4 2015+12.3%
Q3 2015-17.2%
Q2 2015-6.4%
Q1 2015+2.4%
Q4 2014-1.8%
Q3 2014+7.1%
Q2 2014-4.9%
Q1 2014-2.9%
Q4 2013+7.2%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013+3.8%
Q1 2013+1.9%
Q4 2012-8.1%
Q3 2012-5.4%
Q2 2012+1.7%
Q1 2012+17.6%
Q4 2011-7.0%
Q3 2011+6.6%
Q2 2011-1.5%
Q1 2011-0.8%
Q4 2010+0.5%
Q3 2010-2.6%
Q2 2010-5.5%
Q1 2010+2.1%
Q4 2007+7.3%
Q4 2009+7.3%
Q3 2008+0.7%
Q3 2009+0.7%
Q2 2009+7.0%
Q1 2008+6.8%
Q4 2008+6.8%
Q2 2008+6.8%
Q1 2009+6.8%

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