NASDAQ$PSNL

Personalis Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record revenue and achieved twentieth consecutive quarter of growth.

Personalis, Inc. reported record quarterly revenue of $21.7 million, an 11% increase compared to the second quarter of 2020. Revenue from biopharma and all other customers grew 72% over the same period of the prior year.

  • Record quarterly revenue of $21.7 million, an 11% increase year-over-year.
  • Revenue from biopharma and all other customers, excluding VA MVP, increased 72% year-over-year.
  • Achieved milestone of delivering more than 125,000 whole human genome sequences to the VA MVP.
  • NeXT Personal, Personalis' Minimal Residual Disease (MRD) offering, remains on-track for launch in 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$21.7M

Previous: $19.5M+11.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.34

Previous: -$0.29-17.2%
Gross margin

37.7%

Previous: 24.0%+57.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$4.54M

Previous: -$855K-431.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$19.5M

Previous: -$10.1M-92.8%
Net Income

-$15M

Previous: -$9.26M-61.6%
Operating Income

-$14.9M

Previous: -$9.5M-57.4%
Gross Profit

$8.17M

Previous: $4.67M+74.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$70.1M

Previous: $25M+179.8%
Total Assets

$383M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$3.6M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Personalis · Revenue · Quarterly

$21.7M

Q2 2021+11.2%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 7 of 12 quarters(58%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Personalis · $18.2M total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Pharma tests and services
    $8M
  • Enterprise sales
    $7.81M
  • Population sequencing
    $2.4M
  • Other
    $38K

Forward guidance

Personalis expects total revenue for Q3 2021 to be approximately $22.2 million and a net loss in the range of $17 million to $18 million. For the full year of 2021, Personalis expects total revenue to be approximately $85 million and a net loss in the range of $65 million to $70 million.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue to be approximately $22.2 million for Q3 2021
  • Revenue from biopharma and all other customers, excluding VA MVP, to be in the range of $7.5 million to $8.5 million for Q3 2021
  • Total revenue to be approximately $85 million for the full year of 2021
  • Revenue from biopharma and all other customers, excluding VA MVP, to be in the range of $33 million to $34 million for the full year of 2021
  • Estimated outstanding shares of 44 million

Headwinds

  • Net Loss to be in the range of $17 million to $18 million for Q3 2021
  • Net Loss to be in the range of $65 million to $70 million for the full year of 2021
  • Timing and pace of new orders from customers, including from the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs Million Veteran Program
  • Timing of tissue, blood, and other specimen sample receipts from customers, which can materially impact revenue quarter over quarter and year over year
  • Ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, which may significantly impact the company’s business and operations and the business and operations of our customers and suppliers

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

16 / 27 earnings

Positive

+19.9%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-23.4%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.2%-0.7%+76.6%
Q4 2025+0.6%-1.1%-29.8%
Q3 2025-12.3%-1.1%+9.5%
Q1 2025+19.9%+27.5%+30.3%
Q4 2024-2.4%+5.9%-14.6%
Q3 2024-23.4%-12.8%-26.4%
Q2 2024+7.2%+34.7%+67.8%
Q1 2024+4.4%-2.5%-14.6%
Q4 2023+3.3%+16.0%-0.7%
Q3 2023+10.4%-3.8%+39.6%
Q2 2023+4.7%+7.9%-17.9%
Q1 2023+4.5%+3.2%-6.4%
Q4 2022-7.2%-5.3%-18.2%
Q3 2022-1.5%-15.3%+4.7%
Q2 2022+10.6%+11.1%-21.4%
Q1 2022-7.2%-24.8%-34.1%
Q4 2021+12.2%+11.0%-14.4%
Q3 2021+2.6%-5.4%-38.9%
Q2 2021+10.2%+4.1%+12.4%
Q1 2021-0.6%-9.9%-4.3%
Q4 2020-11.1%-10.8%-36.3%
Q3 2020+0.1%-0.3%+13.6%
Q2 2020-2.4%-3.7%-4.7%
Q1 2020+4.6%+7.2%+27.6%
Q4 2019+17.5%+27.5%+52.8%
Q3 2019+0.2%-12.7%+0.3%
Q2 2019-15.6%-6.2%-11.6%
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018

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