NASDAQ$PRTA

Prothena Corporation plc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Prothena reported financial results for Q4 2019 and provided 2020 financial guidance.

Prothena reported a net loss of $21.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2019, compared to a net loss of $22.5 million for the same period in 2018. Total revenue, all from the collaboration with Roche, was $0.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2019, compared to $0.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2018. As of December 31, 2019, Prothena had $378.4 million in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash.

  • Net cash used in operating and investing activities was $14.6 million in Q4 2019.
  • Quarter-end cash and restricted cash position of $378.4 million provides funding to advance a broad pipeline
  • Reported interim data from Phase 1 study of PRX004 in patients with hereditary ATTR amyloidosis
  • Initiated cell line development of a lead candidate in the proprietary preclinical Aβ (Amyloid beta) program in Q4 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$256K

Previous: $194K+32.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.54

Previous: -$0.56+3.6%
Net Cash Used in Ops & Investing

$14.6M

No prior period
Net Income

-$21.6M

Previous: -$22.5M+4.0%
Operating Income

-$23.3M

Previous: -$22.8M-2.3%
Gross Profit

-$15.2M

Previous: -$16.3M+6.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$376M

Previous: $428M-12.1%
Total Assets

$419M

Previous: $499M-15.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.29M

Previous: $4.25M+24.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Prothena · Revenue · Quarterly

$256K

Q4 2019+32%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Prothena · $256K total across 1 segment · Q4 2019

  • Collaboration Revenue
    $256K

Forward guidance

The Company expects its full year 2020 net cash burn from operating and investing activities to be $60-$76 million, and to end the year with approximately $310 million in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash (midpoint). The estimated full year 2020 cash burn from operating and investing activities is primarily driven by an estimated net loss of $84-$106 million, which includes an estimated $23 million of non-cash shared-based compensation expense.

Tailwinds

  • Full year 2020 net cash burn from operating and investing activities expected to be $60-$76 million.
  • Expect to end the year with approximately $310 million in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash (midpoint).
  • Advancing a pipeline of therapeutic candidates for neurological indications.
  • Phase 2 PASADENA study in patients with early Parkinson’s disease (N=316) is being conducted by Roche, and data from Part 1 of this study are expected to be reported in 2020
  • The preclinical tau program, part of a global neuroscience collaboration with Bristol-Myers Squibb, is expected to advance IND-enabling activities in 2020

Headwinds

  • Estimated net loss of $84-$106 million for full year 2020.
  • Includes an estimated $23 million of non-cash shared-based compensation expense.
  • Forward-looking statements are based on estimates, projections and assumptions that may prove not to be accurate.
  • Actual results could differ materially from those anticipated due to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors.
  • Prothena undertakes no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

30 / 53 earnings

Positive

+45.3%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-12.0%

Q1 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.1%-8.7%-16.5%
Q4 2025-0.2%-1.7%-3.1%
Q3 2025+5.2%+7.6%+9.8%
Q1 2025+5.2%-3.0%-23.8%
Q4 2024+2.0%-4.6%-15.0%
Q3 2024-4.7%-22.5%-23.6%
Q2 2024+6.7%+3.7%+5.6%
Q1 2024-6.5%-12.0%-10.2%
Q4 2023+2.7%+0.9%-4.5%
Q3 2023+2.4%-0.7%-4.9%
Q2 2023-8.7%-9.7%-18.3%
Q1 2023+17.2%+13.0%+2.9%
Q4 2022+4.6%+7.0%-9.7%
Q3 2022-8.8%-6.6%+8.6%
Q2 2022-8.5%-2.8%-19.1%
Q1 2022-4.7%-13.7%-12.0%
Q4 2021-9.6%-8.3%+5.1%
Q3 2021-0.7%-4.8%-21.5%
Q2 2021+5.0%+5.8%+30.5%
Q1 2021-6.6%-1.8%+90.3%
Q4 2020+45.3%+46.2%+46.5%
Q3 2020+20.9%+7.3%+1.5%
Q2 2020+3.5%+1.5%+8.2%
Q1 2020-7.9%-0.8%-11.7%
Q4 2019-0.1%+0.9%-22.7%
Q3 2019-3.1%-3.0%+32.7%
Q2 2019+2.4%-2.2%-1.3%
Q1 2019+2.7%-1.9%-16.2%
Q4 2018+3.1%+4.3%+12.5%
Q3 2018+0.6%-4.1%-9.8%
Q2 2018+2.7%+8.2%+3.6%
Q1 2018-2.4%+13.1%-1.2%
Q4 2017+8.0%+11.6%+18.1%
Q3 2017-9.2%-8.6%-34.4%
Q2 2017-4.2%-7.1%-1.3%
Q1 2017+11.2%+12.2%+3.2%
Q4 2016+1.4%+5.9%+3.9%
Q3 2016-5.6%-8.3%+14.3%
Q2 2016+2.8%+2.3%-7.9%
Q1 2016-12.0%
Q4 2015+1.4%
Q3 2015+10.9%
Q2 2015-1.1%
Q1 2015-8.5%
Q4 2014-0.2%
Q3 2014-6.0%
Q2 2014+12.2%
Q1 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013+0.5%
Q3 2013+4.7%
Q2 2013-1.6%
Q1 2013+11.9%
Q4 2012+0.6%
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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