NASDAQ$PIII

P3 Health Partners Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced fourth quarter and full-year 2022 results, affirming 2023 guidance and introducing year-end medical margin guidance.

P3 Health Partners announced their Q4 2022 financial results, highlighting revenue growth and a network contribution improvement of 65% versus 2021. The company secured financing of approximately $90.0 million and anticipates reaching Adjusted EBITDA positive in early 2024.

  • Achieved revenue growth in 2022.
  • Improved network contribution by 65% versus 2021.
  • Secured financing of approximately $90.0 million.
  • Anticipates reaching Adjusted EBITDA positive in early 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$258M

Previous: $58.8M+339.4%
EPS (adj)

-$2.26

Previous: -$0.24-841.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$50.4K

Previous: $120K-142.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$31.9M

Previous: -$15.5M-106.3%
Net Income

-$94M

Previous: -$10.1M-832.7%
Operating Income

-$537M

Previous: -$58.9M-811.1%
Gross Profit

$258M

Previous: $58.8M+339.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$17.5M

Previous: $140M-87.5%
Total Assets

$877M

Previous: $2.36B-62.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.19M

Previous: $4.64M-52.7%

Revenue & EPS history

P3 Health · Revenue · Quarterly

$258M

Q4 2022+339.4%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 13 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

P3 Health · $386M total across 2 segments · Q1 2026

  • Capitated Revenue
    $379M
  • Other Revenue
    $6.89M

Forward guidance

P3 Health Partners affirmed its 2023 guidance and expects to reach Adjusted EBITDA positive in early 2024, driven by a shift to a higher percentage of persistent lives, reduced operating expenses, and measured growth.

Tailwinds

  • Shift to a higher percentage of persistent lives.
  • Focused reduction in operating expenses.
  • Measured and disciplined growth in 2023.
  • Expectation to achieve Adjusted EBITDA profitability in 2024.
  • Secured financing of approximately $90.0 million provides a solid path to profitability.

Headwinds

  • Actual results may differ materially depending on a number of factors.
  • Changes in market or industry conditions.
  • Regulatory environment and competitive conditions.
  • Impact of COVID-19, including the impact of new variants of the virus, or another pandemic, epidemic or outbreak of infectious disease on our business and results of operation.
  • Increased labor costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-3.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-15.6%

Avg return

30 days after

37%

7 / 19 earnings

Positive

+11.2%

Q1 2026

Best reaction

-36.8%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.2%+194.4%
Q4 2026+0.7%-1.8%-5.4%
Q3 2025+0.4%-12.6%-25.9%
Q2 2025-2.5%+5.4%+23.9%
Q1 2025-0.6%-5.9%-19.5%
Q4 2024-4.5%+1.1%-1.2%
Q3 2024-36.8%-42.2%-46.0%
Q2 2024-2.5%-8.7%-24.1%
Q1 2024+2.6%-11.8%-21.6%
Q4 2023-13.3%-22.4%-56.3%
Q4 2021+3.1%-7.6%-12.2%
Q3 2023-2.1%-8.8%-19.0%
Q2 2023+0.9%-10.8%-5.0%
Q4 2022-5.9%-12.7%+15.5%
Q3 2022-11.8%-19.7%-33.5%
Q1 2022-5.9%+2.1%-16.8%
Q2 2022-4.1%+0.6%-14.0%
Q3 2021+0.1%+0.3%-19.9%
Q2 2021-0.7%-0.2%+0.3%

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