NASDAQ$PIII

P3 Health Partners Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

P3 Health experienced solid improvement across all key metrics, demonstrating the power and trajectory of the P3 model.

P3 Health Partners reported a 21.9% increase in capitated revenue, reaching $325.6 million, and a significant reduction in net loss to $27.6 million compared to the prior year. The company's adjusted EBITDA improved to $0.2 million, and gross profit increased to $26.8 million, reflecting the effectiveness of P3's model and increasing membership maturity.

  • Capitated revenue increased by 21.9% to $325.6 million.
  • Net loss decreased significantly to $27.6 million, compared to $903.1 million in the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA improved to $0.2 million, compared to a loss of $28.7 million in the prior year.
  • Gross profit increased to $26.8 million, an improvement of $24.8 million compared to prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$329M

Previous: $269M+22.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.09

Previous: -$3.73+97.6%
Medical Margin

$50.5M

Previous: $21.8M+132.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.65M

Previous: -$1.4M-18.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$11.5M

Previous: -$156M+92.6%
Net Income

-$9.82M

Previous: -$154M+93.6%
Operating Income

-$21M

Previous: -$912M+97.7%
Gross Profit

$26.8M

Previous: $269M-90.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$59.9M

Previous: $63.1M-5.1%
Total Assets

$909M

Previous: $1.44B-37.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.03M

Previous: $3.72M-72.3%

Revenue & EPS history

P3 Health · Revenue · Quarterly

$329M

Q2 2023+22.1%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 13 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

P3 Health · $386M total across 2 segments · Q1 2026

  • Capitated Revenue
    $379M
  • Other Revenue
    $6.89M

Forward guidance

P3 Health Partners provided full-year 2023 guidance, projecting total revenues between $1.2 billion and $1.25 billion, medical margin between $155 million and $175 million, medical margin PMPM between $120 and $130, and an adjusted EBITDA loss between $50 million and $30 million.

Tailwinds

  • Total Revenues (in millions): $1,200 - $1,250
  • Medical margin (in millions): $155 - $175
  • Medical margin PMPM: $120 - $130

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA Loss (in millions): $(50) - $(30)

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-3.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-15.6%

Avg return

30 days after

37%

7 / 19 earnings

Positive

+11.2%

Q1 2026

Best reaction

-36.8%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.2%+194.4%
Q4 2026+0.7%-1.8%-5.4%
Q3 2025+0.4%-12.6%-25.9%
Q2 2025-2.5%+5.4%+23.9%
Q1 2025-0.6%-5.9%-19.5%
Q4 2024-4.5%+1.1%-1.2%
Q3 2024-36.8%-42.2%-46.0%
Q2 2024-2.5%-8.7%-24.1%
Q1 2024+2.6%-11.8%-21.6%
Q4 2023-13.3%-22.4%-56.3%
Q4 2021+3.1%-7.6%-12.2%
Q3 2023-2.1%-8.8%-19.0%
Q2 2023+0.9%-10.8%-5.0%
Q4 2022-5.9%-12.7%+15.5%
Q3 2022-11.8%-19.7%-33.5%
Q1 2022-5.9%+2.1%-16.8%
Q2 2022-4.1%+0.6%-14.0%
Q3 2021+0.1%+0.3%-19.9%
Q2 2021-0.7%-0.2%+0.3%

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