NASDAQ$OTLY
Oatly Group AB · Q3 2025 earnings
Q3 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations
Briefing
Oatly reported profitable growth in Q3 2025, with increased revenue and positive adjusted EBITDA, despite a net loss primarily due to fair value losses on Convertible Notes.
Oatly Group AB achieved profitable growth in the third quarter of 2025, with a 7.1% increase in revenue to $222.8 million and a positive Adjusted EBITDA of $3.1 million. This marks a significant improvement from the prior year's Adjusted EBITDA loss. However, the company reported a net loss of $65.3 million, primarily driven by fair value losses on Convertible Notes.
- Revenue increased by 7.1% to $222.8 million, with constant currency revenue growth of 3.8% compared to the prior year.
- Adjusted EBITDA turned positive at $3.1 million, an improvement of $8.2 million from a loss in the prior year period.
- Gross margin remained flat at 29.8%, benefiting from supply chain efficiency and foreign exchange, offset by North America volume declines and Greater China mix impact.
- Net loss attributable to shareholders increased to $65.3 million, primarily due to $32.2 million in fair value losses on Convertible Notes.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Oatly · Revenue · Quarterly
$223M
Revenue by segment
Oatly · $228M total across 3 segments · Q1 2026
- Europe & International$137M—59.9%
- North America$62.2M—27.2%
- Greater China$29.3M—12.8%
Forward guidance
Oatly reaffirmed its 2025 outlook, expecting constant currency revenue growth to be flat to +1% and Adjusted EBITDA to be between $5 million and $15 million. Capital expenditures are projected to be approximately $20 million.
Tailwinds
- Expected constant currency revenue growth in the range of approximately flat to +1%.
- Anticipated positive Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $5 million to $15 million.
- Capital expenditures expected to be approximately $20 million, indicating controlled spending.
- Foreign exchange is expected to be a tailwind to revenue growth by approximately 250 basis points.
- Ongoing strategic review of Greater China business could lead to improved focus and efficiency.
Headwinds
- Outlook provided in the context of significant macroeconomic uncertainty.
- Geopolitical uncertainties could impact future financial results.
- Inability to provide reconciliation of non-IFRS guidance to IFRS metrics due to prediction difficulties.
- The strategic review of Greater China business has no definitive timetable and no assurances of a transaction or strategic change.
- Potential for varying items excluded from non-IFRS measures to significantly impact future financial results.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 16 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2025
-4.1%
Avg return
Earnings day
-6.4%
Avg return
5 days after
-7.6%
Avg return
30 days after
41%
7 / 17 earnings
Positive
+17.0%
Q1 2024
Best reaction
-24.4%
Q2 2023
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +3.0% | +2.6% | -16.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | +10.7% | +9.7% | -7.7% | |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5% | -5.0% | -20.9% | |
| Q2 2025 | +0.5% | -2.6% | +16.8% | |
| Q3 2024 | -15.0% | -25.6% | -24.4% | |
| Q1 2024 | +17.0% | +23.0% | +7.0% | |
| Q4 2023 | -9.3% | -13.3% | -26.5% | |
| Q3 2023 | -10.0% | -11.7% | +85.0% | |
| Q2 2023 | -24.4% | -29.5% | -42.4% | |
| Q1 2023 | +4.7% | -2.3% | -9.3% | |
| Q4 2022 | +5.3% | +18.0% | +10.7% | |
| Q3 2022 | -16.7% | -20.4% | -44.9% | |
| Q2 2022 | -9.9% | +1.3% | -19.4% | |
| Q1 2022 | +3.2% | -12.9% | +16.0% | |
| Q4 2021 | -6.3% | -17.8% | -22.3% | |
| Q3 2021 | -13.9% | -15.0% | -31.5% | |
| Q2 2021 | -5.6% | -7.4% | +0.6% | |
| Q1 2021 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2020 | — | — | — | |
| Q3 2020 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2020 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2020 | — | — | — |
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