NASDAQ$OTLY

Oatly Group AB · Q2 2025 earnings

Q2 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Oatly reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, showing increased revenue and improved gross margin and Adjusted EBITDA loss, despite challenges in North America and Greater China.

Oatly's second quarter 2025 results showed a 3.0% increase in revenue to $208.4 million and a significant improvement in gross margin to 32.5%. The Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to $3.6 million, an improvement of $7.4 million year-over-year. However, the company reported an increased net loss of $55.9 million, primarily due to fair value losses on Convertible Notes. The company is also undertaking a strategic review of its Greater China business.

  • Revenue increased by 3.0% to $208.4 million in Q2 2025 compared to the prior year, driven by growth in Europe & International.
  • Gross margin improved significantly to 32.5% in Q2 2025, a 3.3 percentage point increase, mainly due to supply chain efficiencies in Europe & International.
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $3.6 million in Q2 2025, compared to a loss of $11.0 million in the prior year period, reflecting higher gross profit and lower R&D expenses.
  • Net loss attributable to shareholders increased to $55.9 million in Q2 2025, up from $30.4 million in Q2 2024, primarily due to fair value losses on Convertible Notes.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$208M

No prior period
EPS (adj)

-$0.09

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

-$3.6M

No prior period
Gross margin

32.5%

No prior period
Produced finished goods volume

142.8M

No prior period
Sold volume

140.4M

No prior period
Net Income

-$55.9M

No prior period
Operating Income

-$22.1M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$67.6M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Oatly · Revenue · Quarterly

$208M

Q2 2025
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Oatly · $228M total across 3 segments · Q1 2026

  • Europe & International
    $137M
  • North America
    $62.2M
  • Greater China
    $29.3M

Forward guidance

Oatly has refined its 2025 outlook, adjusting constant currency revenue growth expectations downwards due to challenges in North America and Greater China, while reaffirming its Adjusted EBITDA guidance. Capital expenditures are also expected to be lower than previously anticipated.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA continues to be expected in the range of positive $5 million to $15 million, reaffirming profitability commitment.
  • Capital expenditures are now expected to be approximately $20 million, a reduction from the prior expectation of $30 million to $35 million, indicating more efficient capital allocation.
  • The full-year impact of foreign exchange is now expected to be a tailwind to revenue growth by approximately 150 basis points, an improvement from the prior expectation of a 100 basis point headwind.
  • The company continues to drive additional cost efficiencies to stay on track for profitability.
  • Strategic review of Greater China business aims to accelerate growth and maximize value.

Headwinds

  • Constant currency revenue growth is now expected to be in the range of approximately flat to +1%, a reduction from the prior expectation of +2% to +4%.
  • Reduced expectations in the North America segment are a key factor in the revised revenue guidance.
  • A softer-than-expected macro-environment in the Greater China segment also contributes to the lowered revenue outlook.
  • The outlook is provided in the context of significant macroeconomic uncertainty and other geopolitical uncertainties.
  • The company cannot provide a reconciliation of constant currency revenue growth or Adjusted EBITDA guidance to IFRS metrics without unreasonable efforts due to difficulty in predicting certain excluded items.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 16 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2025

Historical avgQ2 2025

-4.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-6.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-7.6%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

7 / 17 earnings

Positive

+17.0%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-24.4%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.0%+2.6%-16.0%
Q4 2025+10.7%+9.7%-7.7%
Q3 2025-3.5%-5.0%-20.9%
Q2 2025+0.5%-2.6%+16.8%
Q3 2024-15.0%-25.6%-24.4%
Q1 2024+17.0%+23.0%+7.0%
Q4 2023-9.3%-13.3%-26.5%
Q3 2023-10.0%-11.7%+85.0%
Q2 2023-24.4%-29.5%-42.4%
Q1 2023+4.7%-2.3%-9.3%
Q4 2022+5.3%+18.0%+10.7%
Q3 2022-16.7%-20.4%-44.9%
Q2 2022-9.9%+1.3%-19.4%
Q1 2022+3.2%-12.9%+16.0%
Q4 2021-6.3%-17.8%-22.3%
Q3 2021-13.9%-15.0%-31.5%
Q2 2021-5.6%-7.4%+0.6%
Q1 2021
Q4 2020
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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