NASDAQ$OPRT

Oportun Financial Corporation · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Oportun reported a return to GAAP profitability with increased Adjusted EBITDA and reduced operating expenses in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Oportun finished the year stronger than anticipated, returning to GAAP profitability in Q4 2024 with $9 million in net income, a significant increase from a net loss in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA more than quadrupled, and operating expenses were substantially reduced, contributing to improved financial performance.

  • Returned to GAAP profitability with net income of $9 million in the fourth quarter.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $41 million, up 315% year-over-year.
  • Total quarterly operating expenses of $89 million, reduced 31% year-over-year.
  • Quarterly annualized net charge-off rate of 11.7%, lowest since third quarter of 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$251M

Previous: $263M-4.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.49

Previous: -$0.54+190.7%
Net Charge-Off Rate

11.7%

Previous: 12.3%-4.9%
30+ Day Delinquency Rate

4.8%

Previous: 5.9%-18.6%
Aggregate Originations

$522M

Previous: $437M+19.4%
Portfolio Yield

34.2%

Previous: 32.7%+4.6%
Owned Principal Balance

$2.68B

Previous: $2.9B-7.7%
OpEx Ratio

13.1%

Previous: 17.5%-25.1%
Adjusted OpEx Ratio

13.1%

Previous: 14.5%-9.7%
ROE

10.0%

Previous: -39.0%+125.6%
Adjusted ROE

25.2%

Previous: -8.0%+415.0%
Managed Principal Balance

$2.97B

No prior period
Avg Daily Principal Balance

$2.71B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$6.06M

Previous: -$6.12M+1.0%
Net Income

$8.7M

Previous: -$41.8M+120.8%
Operating Income

$3.9M

Previous: -$57.3M+106.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Oportun · Revenue · Quarterly

$251M

Q4 2024-4.5%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Oportun · $260M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Interest Income
    $238M
  • Non-interest Income
    $21.9M

Forward guidance

Oportun is raising its full year 2025 expectations for Adjusted EPS to $1.10 to $1.30 per share, implying 53% to 81% growth, driven by continued focus on cost discipline and improved credit performance.

Tailwinds

  • Raising full year 2025 Adjusted EPS expectations to $1.10 to $1.30 per share.
  • Implies 53% to 81% growth in Adjusted EPS for full year 2025.
  • Anticipated full year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA of $135 million to $145 million.
  • Projected full year 2025 Adjusted Net Income of $53 million to $63 million.
  • Expected full year 2025 Annualized Net Charge-Off Rate of 11.5% +/- 50 bps.

Headwinds

  • First quarter 2025 total revenue guidance of $225 million to $230 million, lower than Q4 2024.
  • First quarter 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $18 million to $22 million, lower than Q4 2024.
  • First quarter 2025 net income is projected to be a loss of $(5.4) million to $(2.2) million.
  • Uncertainty in macroeconomic conditions and quarterly volatility in fair value mark-to-market adjustments.
  • First quarter 2025 Annualized Net Charge-Off Rate expected to be 12.30% +/- 15 bps, higher than Q4 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+3.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

68%

21 / 31 earnings

Positive

+37.6%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-51.5%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%-7.8%
Q4 2025-5.1%-2.7%-17.9%
Q3 2025+1.6%-7.6%+3.9%
Q1 2025+9.1%+16.3%+14.3%
Q4 2024+8.3%+47.2%-6.6%
Q3 2024-6.3%-3.1%+20.9%
Q2 2024-2.4%+7.3%-1.4%
Q1 2024+21.4%+16.2%-19.2%
Q4 2023-2.1%-17.7%-37.5%
Q3 2023-51.5%-59.0%-52.6%
Q2 2023+27.4%+24.4%+39.5%
Q1 2023+37.6%+26.9%+51.0%
Q4 2022-36.6%-15.7%-7.4%
Q3 2022+22.0%+53.1%+28.1%
Q2 2022-24.1%-24.1%-50.6%
Q1 2022+1.8%-1.6%+4.5%
Q4 2021-0.5%-10.2%-20.0%
Q3 2021+8.9%+15.1%-11.4%
Q2 2021+15.1%+14.9%+18.7%
Q1 2021+10.8%+2.6%+4.5%
Q4 2020-1.1%-3.8%+27.3%
Q3 2020+5.8%+10.5%+20.7%
Q2 2020+5.3%+0.4%-11.5%
Q1 2020+9.4%+9.9%+104.5%
Q4 2017+9.5%+9.3%-41.7%
Q4 2019+4.7%+5.4%-42.8%
Q1 2019+4.4%+3.8%+8.0%
Q4 2018+4.4%+3.8%+8.0%
Q3 2018+4.4%+3.8%+8.0%
Q2 2019+4.4%+3.8%+8.0%
Q3 2019+8.5%+7.7%+6.3%
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

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