NASDAQ$NVAX

Novavax Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported second quarter financial results and operational highlights.

Novavax reported a total revenue of $424 million and a net income of $58 million for the second quarter of 2023. The company has reduced its current liabilities and is progressing with its updated XBB COVID vaccine.

  • Second quarter total revenue was $424 million and net income was $58 million.
  • A new strategic partnering agreement with SK bioscience was executed, including an equity investment of $85 million in Novavax.
  • Negotiated up to $350 million in 2023 payments under the amended Canada APA.
  • Initiated FDA submission for approval of the updated XBB COVID vaccine for the 2023 fall vaccination season and reiterated plan to be in market by September.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$424M

Previous: $186M+128.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.58

Previous: -$6.53+108.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$26.8M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$31.2M

Previous: -$510M+106.1%
Net Income

$58M

Previous: -$510M+111.4%
Operating Income

$55.5M

Previous: -$483M+111.5%
Gross Profit

$369M

Previous: -$85.2M+532.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$506M

Previous: $1.38B-63.2%
Total Assets

$1.69B

Previous: $2.62B-35.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$20.3M

Previous: $38M-46.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Novavax · Revenue · Quarterly

$424M

Q2 2023+128.3%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Novavax · $285M total across 1 segment · Q2 2023

  • Product sales
    $285M

Forward guidance

Novavax updated its Full Year 2023 Financial Guidance and expects to achieve total revenue between $1.3 billion and $1.5 billion and combined R&D and SG&A expenses between $1.3 billion and $1.4 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Full Year 2023 Total Revenue is expected to be between $1,300 million and $1,500 million.
  • Grant Revenue is expected to be between $340 million and $360 million.
  • Product Sales are expected to be between $960 million and $1,140 million.
  • Combined R&D and SG&A expenses are expected to be between $1,300 million and $1,400 million.
  • The guidance reflects APAs based on 2023 committed dose delivery schedules of approximately $700 million and U.S. market sales, subject to updated variant manufacturing and regulatory approvals.

Headwinds

  • Challenges satisfying various safety, efficacy, and product characterization requirements.
  • Difficulty obtaining scarce raw materials and supplies.
  • Resource constraints, including human capital and manufacturing capacity.
  • Challenges or delays in conducting clinical trials or obtaining regulatory authorization.
  • Manufacturing, distribution, or export delays or challenges.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+11.8%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

23 / 64 earnings

Positive

+193.3%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-33.2%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+15.6%+17.3%+17.0%
Q4 2025+0.5%-0.4%-11.3%
Q3 2025-3.0%-3.3%-10.1%
Q1 2025+11.6%+4.0%+25.2%
Q4 2024-3.6%+4.9%-4.4%
Q3 2024-13.8%-18.8%+0.1%
Q2 2024+8.3%+13.5%+8.6%
Q1 2024+193.3%+188.6%+306.5%
Q4 2023-17.9%-8.8%-20.6%
Q3 2023-8.2%-8.2%-18.1%
Q2 2023-5.3%-2.1%+21.7%
Q1 2023+20.7%+13.4%+3.2%
Q4 2022-20.9%-11.3%-24.0%
Q3 2022-4.1%+28.9%-10.9%
Q2 2022-33.2%-31.2%-49.2%
Q1 2022-6.0%-9.4%-12.5%
Q4 2021+2.6%-12.1%-8.4%
Q3 2021-18.4%-13.3%-17.8%
Q2 2021-15.2%+2.9%+12.4%
Q1 2021-21.5%-25.2%+19.1%
Q4 2020-10.9%-24.4%-21.6%
Q3 2020-12.4%+7.5%+28.2%
Q2 2020-12.2%-14.0%-46.7%
Q1 2020+112.6%+132.9%+140.0%
Q4 2019-12.8%-35.1%+60.1%
Q3 2019+3.8%-6.3%-1.6%
Q2 2019-8.2%-15.5%+15.5%
Q1 2019-7.8%-21.6%-44.3%
Q4 2018+7.8%+5.9%+3.9%
Q3 2018-3.7%-10.5%+7.3%
Q2 2018+22.5%+13.3%+24.2%
Q1 2018-1.2%+4.3%-1.2%
Q4 2017-4.2%-2.8%-15.3%
Q3 2017+0.9%+0.0%+24.8%
Q2 2017+3.1%+4.2%+22.9%
Q1 2017+14.9%+35.1%+43.2%
Q4 2016+9.4%+6.5%-7.2%
Q3 2016-3.4%-6.9%+0.7%
Q2 2016-9.2%-6.4%-0.3%
Q1 2016-8.9%
Q4 2015-0.2%
Q3 2015-12.2%
Q2 2015+28.3%
Q1 2015+4.4%
Q4 2014-1.9%
Q3 2014-7.2%
Q2 2014-5.0%
Q1 2014-7.1%
Q4 2013-0.8%
Q3 2013+3.2%
Q2 2013-10.8%
Q1 2013-8.9%
Q4 2012-0.5%
Q3 2012-1.8%
Q2 2012+0.5%
Q1 2012-5.7%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011+0.0%
Q2 2011+5.9%
Q1 2011+0.4%
Q4 2010+0.0%
Q3 2010+1.3%
Q2 2010-1.3%
Q1 2010+14.9%

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