NASDAQ$NFE

New Fortress Energy Inc. · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

New Fortress Energy reported financial results, achieving several milestones and expecting an increase in earnings.

New Fortress Energy reported a net income of $120.1 million and an Adjusted EBITDA of $246.5 million. The company is nearing the end of its large-scale buildout with $3.2 billion of contracted projects entering service over the next 90 days. They anticipate a significant increase in free cash flow as these projects become operational and capital expenditures decrease.

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $246 million.
  • Net income of $120 million.
  • Adjusted EPS of $0.58 on a fully diluted basis.
  • Expecting an increase in earnings and decrease in capex in the second half of 2023 through 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$561M

Previous: $585M-4.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.58

Previous: $0.69-15.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.47B

Previous: -$442M-231.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.35B

Previous: -$611M-120.2%
Net Income

$119M

Previous: -$170M+170.2%
Operating Income

$191M

Previous: $134M+42.8%
Gross Profit

$336M

Previous: $312M+7.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$104M

Previous: $138M-24.6%
Total Assets

$9.14B

Previous: $7.25B+26.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.18M

Previous: $358K+229.3%

Revenue & EPS history

New Fortress Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$561M

Q2 2023-4%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

New Fortress Energy · $294M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Terminals & Infra
    $239M+0.7%
  • Ships
    $54.4M-39.4%

Forward guidance

NFE expects an increase in earnings and decrease in capex in the second half of 2023 through 2024 as they place $3.2 billion of invested capital projects online over the next 60 days. Capital expenditures for 2024 are expected to decline to $250 million. Illustrative Adjusted EBITDA Guidance for 2023 revised to $1.6 billion, while 2024 guidance reiterated at $2.4 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Significant increase in free cash flow as projects enter service.
  • Capital expenditures to decline.
  • Focus on growing cash flows, operational execution, deleveraging, and low cost, high return organic growth opportunities.
  • More than 85% of 2024 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance will be generated from core infrastructure.
  • Approximately 84% of 2024 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance expected to be generated from investment grade counterparts

Headwinds

  • Illustrative Adjusted EBITDA Guidance for 2023 revised to $1.6 billion to reflect lower expected cargo earnings and timing of infrastructure projects coming online.
  • No assurance can be given that required permits, approvals and authorizations from governmental and regulatory agencies in connection with the exportation of liquefied natural gas will be received on a timely basis or at all.
  • The construction of facilities is inherently subject to the risks of cost overruns and delays.
  • Actual results could differ materially from management’s assumptions.
  • References to volumes, percentages of such volumes and the Illustrative Total Segment Operating Margin Guidance related to such volumes are not based on the Company’s historical operating results

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

15 / 29 earnings

Positive

+25.3%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-63.3%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.4%-8.4%-27.9%
Q4 2025+1.9%-9.0%-15.6%
Q3 2025-4.3%-17.1%+12.1%
Q1 2025-63.3%-54.9%-59.6%
Q4 2024-9.6%-1.3%-14.3%
Q3 2024-5.7%-2.1%+29.4%
Q2 2024-17.1%-18.0%-35.0%
Q1 2024+5.2%+3.7%-10.9%
Q4 2023+8.7%+5.7%-3.4%
Q3 2023+21.9%+22.7%+37.0%
Q2 2023+5.4%+2.5%+10.9%
Q1 2023+11.0%+9.2%+5.0%
Q4 2022-13.9%-6.7%-26.7%
Q3 2022-15.9%-13.8%-22.6%
Q2 2022-1.7%+5.4%+11.1%
Q1 2022+8.4%-2.9%+17.4%
Q4 2021+24.7%+34.1%+52.9%
Q3 2021-4.3%-5.5%-21.6%
Q2 2021+1.3%-0.9%-1.5%
Q1 2021-3.2%-8.5%-2.5%
Q4 2020+25.3%+20.4%+9.3%
Q3 2020-18.9%-18.3%+3.3%
Q2 2020+8.1%+15.0%+33.5%
Q1 2020+4.7%+8.5%+11.8%
Q4 2019+7.3%+6.5%-37.7%
Q3 2019-4.1%-6.8%-2.3%
Q2 2019+14.4%+27.7%+29.0%
Q1 2019-0.1%+14.8%-10.2%
Q4 2018-3.5%+18.6%+22.0%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017

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