NASDAQ$NFE

New Fortress Energy Inc. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record results driven by downstream operating performance, marking a significant shift in the company's financial profile.

New Fortress Energy reported a strong fourth quarter and full year 2023, highlighted by significant growth in adjusted EBITDA, net income, and adjusted EPS. The company successfully placed its first Fast LNG unit and secured financing for a second project, while also completing key terminal projects in Brazil.

  • Adjusted EBITDA reached $388 million for the fourth quarter and $1.3 billion for the full year.
  • Net income was reported at $215 million for the fourth quarter and $549 million for the full year.
  • Adjusted EPS stood at $1.01 on a fully diluted basis for the fourth quarter and $2.75 for the full year.
  • The company completed and put into service Barcarena and Santa Catarina terminals in Brazil.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$758M

Previous: $546M+38.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.01

Previous: $0.87+16.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$838M

Previous: $387M-316.7%
Net Income

$215M

Previous: $65.8M+226.6%
Operating Income

$327M

Previous: $250M+30.6%
Gross Profit

$367M

Previous: $369M-0.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$166K

Previous: $15.7M-98.9%

Revenue & EPS history

New Fortress Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$758M

Q4 2023+38.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

New Fortress Energy · $250M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Terminals & Infra
    $195M-22.6%
  • Ships
    $54.9M-37.5%

Forward guidance

The company anticipates significant growth in Funds from Operations per share in 2024 and expects Gross and Net Capex to decline significantly.

Tailwinds

  • Illustrative EPS Goal of ~$5.00 for the year ended December 31, 2024
  • Illustrative Funds From Operations/share Goal of ~$6.00 for the year ended December 31, 2024
  • Gross Capex expected to be ~$1,500 million for the year ended December 31, 2024
  • Asset Level Financings expected to be ~$1,250 million for the year ended December 31, 2024
  • Net Capex expected to be ~$250 million for the year ended December 31, 2024

Headwinds

  • Construction of facilities is inherently subject to the risks of cost overruns and delays.
  • The company's ability to export liquefied natural gas depends on our ability to obtain export and other permits from governmental and regulatory agencies.
  • Closing of the financing is subject to the finalization of a credit agreement and the satisfaction of customary closing conditions, and the Company can make no assurance that the financing will be completed.
  • Timeframes include assumptions regarding items that are outside our control, including permitting, weather, supply of equipment and materials, and other potential sources of delay.
  • Actual circumstances could differ materially from the assumptions, and actual performance and results could differ materially from, and there can be no assurance that they will reflect, our corporate goal.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

15 / 29 earnings

Positive

+25.3%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-63.3%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.4%-8.4%-27.9%
Q4 2025+1.9%-9.0%-15.6%
Q3 2025-4.3%-17.1%+12.1%
Q1 2025-63.3%-54.9%-59.6%
Q4 2024-9.6%-1.3%-14.3%
Q3 2024-5.7%-2.1%+29.4%
Q2 2024-17.1%-18.0%-35.0%
Q1 2024+5.2%+3.7%-10.9%
Q4 2023+8.7%+5.7%-3.4%
Q3 2023+21.9%+22.7%+37.0%
Q2 2023+5.4%+2.5%+10.9%
Q1 2023+11.0%+9.2%+5.0%
Q4 2022-13.9%-6.7%-26.7%
Q3 2022-15.9%-13.8%-22.6%
Q2 2022-1.7%+5.4%+11.1%
Q1 2022+8.4%-2.9%+17.4%
Q4 2021+24.7%+34.1%+52.9%
Q3 2021-4.3%-5.5%-21.6%
Q2 2021+1.3%-0.9%-1.5%
Q1 2021-3.2%-8.5%-2.5%
Q4 2020+25.3%+20.4%+9.3%
Q3 2020-18.9%-18.3%+3.3%
Q2 2020+8.1%+15.0%+33.5%
Q1 2020+4.7%+8.5%+11.8%
Q4 2019+7.3%+6.5%-37.7%
Q3 2019-4.1%-6.8%-2.3%
Q2 2019+14.4%+27.7%+29.0%
Q1 2019-0.1%+14.8%-10.2%
Q4 2018-3.5%+18.6%+22.0%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017

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