NASDAQ$MTSI

Macom Technology Solutions · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

MACOM's financial performance decreased compared to the previous year, with revenue and income from operations declining, but increased slightly compared to the prior quarter.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. reported its fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal year 2023 financial results. The company's Q4 revenue was $150.4 million, a 15.6% decrease compared to the previous year's Q4. Net income for the quarter was $24.5 million, or $0.34 per diluted share.

  • Q4 revenue was $150.4 million, a decrease of 15.6% year-over-year.
  • Gross margin was 57.6%, compared to 60.9% in the previous year fiscal fourth quarter.
  • Net income was $24.5 million, or $0.34 per diluted share, compared to $239.3 million, or $3.36 per diluted share, in the previous year fiscal fourth quarter.
  • Adjusted net income was $40.1 million, or $0.56 per diluted share, compared to $55.1 million, or $0.77 per diluted share, in the previous year fiscal fourth quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$150M

Previous: $178M-15.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.56

Previous: $0.77-27.3%
Capital Expenditures

$5.81M

Previous: $7.7M-24.5%
Free Cash Flow

$44.5M

Previous: $52.3M-14.8%
Net Income

$24.5M

Previous: $239M-89.8%
Operating Income

$15.6M

Previous: $37M-57.8%
Gross Profit

$86.6M

Previous: $109M-20.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$174M

Previous: $120M+45.0%
Total Assets

$1.55B

Previous: $1.57B-1.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.33M

Previous: $10.9M-14.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Macom · Revenue · Quarterly

$150M

Q4 2023-15.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the fiscal first quarter ending December 29, 2023, MACOM expects revenue to be in the range of $149 million to $153 million.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted gross margin is expected to be between 59% and 61%.
  • Adjusted earnings per diluted share is expected to be between $0.55 and $0.59.
  • Anticipated non-GAAP income tax rate of 3%.
  • 72.2 million fully diluted shares outstanding.
  • Focusing on highest frequency applications will strengthen market position

Headwinds

  • Revenue expected to be between $149 million and $153 million, indicating potential stagnation.
  • Adjusted earnings per diluted share expected to be between $0.55 and $0.59, reflecting potential earnings challenges.
  • Economic downturn or recession.
  • Component shortages or other disruptions in our supply chain.
  • Dependence on a limited number of customers.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.6%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

34 / 62 earnings

Positive

+24.0%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-32.8%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+11.2%+17.0%+11.4%
Q1 2026+5.9%+7.2%-3.5%
Q4 2025+11.4%+13.6%+23.0%
Q2 2025+5.5%+8.7%+10.3%
Q1 2025-4.6%-9.9%-24.3%
Q4 2024+13.1%+8.2%+14.1%
Q3 2024-3.8%-3.7%+8.2%
Q2 2024+3.8%+3.9%+2.0%
Q1 2024-6.9%-7.3%+7.5%
Q4 2023+5.6%+12.2%+18.3%
Q3 2023+10.9%+12.7%+23.6%
Q2 2023-1.1%-5.7%+7.3%
Q1 2023-3.7%+0.1%+4.0%
Q4 2022+12.4%+15.6%+19.7%
Q3 2022+6.2%+8.0%+5.9%
Q2 2022-0.9%+2.9%+6.6%
Q1 2022-4.7%-2.8%-4.0%
Q4 2021-0.3%+0.7%+0.6%
Q3 2021+3.0%+1.7%+3.7%
Q2 2021-8.1%-12.5%-3.9%
Q1 2021+1.6%+13.4%+15.0%
Q4 2020+8.1%+3.4%+19.7%
Q3 2020+19.6%+17.1%+0.6%
Q2 2020+15.2%+8.9%+19.2%
Q1 2020+12.9%+4.5%-11.3%
Q4 2019+13.0%+10.5%+12.4%
Q3 2019-1.1%+0.4%+0.1%
Q2 2019+18.7%+15.2%+13.8%
Q1 2019-19.3%-13.0%-6.9%
Q4 2018+20.6%+21.0%+6.4%
Q3 2018-4.8%-0.7%+4.6%
Q2 2018+24.0%+29.1%+35.7%
Q1 2018-32.8%-33.8%-20.8%
Q4 2017-17.9%-10.2%-13.3%
Q3 2017-24.9%-30.4%-24.8%
Q2 2017-6.8%-9.5%+10.9%
Q1 2017-5.4%-1.9%-5.6%
Q4 2016+8.4%+15.1%+21.7%
Q3 2016+6.2%+6.1%+11.2%
Q2 2016+7.7%
Q1 2016-1.9%
Q4 2015+4.0%
Q3 2015+11.3%
Q2 2015+4.3%
Q1 2015-8.0%
Q4 2014+8.6%
Q3 2014-3.0%
Q2 2014+1.7%
Q1 2014+1.4%
Q4 2013-7.6%
Q3 2013+4.6%
Q2 2013-2.4%
Q1 2012-1.7%
Q1 2013+1.4%
Q4 2010+5.2%
Q1 2011+5.2%
Q4 2012+1.4%
Q3 2012-6.6%
Q3 2011-6.6%
Q2 2011-4.0%
Q2 2012-4.0%
Q4 2011-4.0%

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