NASDAQ$MTSI

Macom Technology Solutions · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

MACOM's Q3 2020 financial results were announced, demonstrating revenue growth and improved profitability.

MACOM reported a 26.7% increase in revenue compared to the previous year, reaching $137.3 million. The company's gross margin improved to 51.6%, and operating income was $6.5 million, a significant turnaround from the previous year's loss. Adjusted non-GAAP EPS was $0.33 per diluted share.

  • Revenue increased by 26.7% year-over-year to $137.3 million.
  • Gross margin improved to 51.6% compared to 31.2% in the previous year.
  • Operating income was $6.5 million, a significant improvement from the previous year's loss of $323.8 million.
  • Adjusted non-GAAP EPS was $0.33 per diluted share, compared to a loss of $0.42 in the previous year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$137M

Previous: $108M+26.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.33

Previous: -$0.42+178.6%
Adjusted Gross Margin

55.5%

Previous: 39.4%+40.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$12.7M

Previous: -$31.9M+60.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$37.6M

Previous: -$357M+89.4%
Net Income

-$25M

Previous: -$325M+92.3%
Operating Income

$6.5M

Previous: -$324M+102.0%
Gross Profit

$70.9M

Previous: $33.8M+109.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$132M

Previous: $85.3M+54.7%
Total Assets

$1.12B

Previous: $1.1B+1.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.5M

Previous: $2.81M+201.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Macom · Revenue · Quarterly

$137M

Q3 2020+26.7%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the fiscal fourth quarter ending October 2, 2020, MACOM expects revenue to be in the range of $144 million to $148 million. Adjusted gross margin is expected to be between 55% and 57%, and adjusted earnings per share is expected to be between $0.36 and $0.40 on an anticipated 69.5 million fully diluted shares outstanding.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be in the range of $144 million to $148 million.
  • Adjusted gross margin is expected to be between 55% and 57%.
  • Adjusted earnings per share is expected to be between $0.36 and $0.40.
  • Anticipated 69.5 million fully diluted shares outstanding.
  • Continued focus on engineering excellence, financial performance and execution.

Headwinds

  • Guidance is based on management's beliefs and assumptions.
  • Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties.
  • Potential weakening of economic conditions, including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Dependence on a limited number of customers.
  • Disruptions in the supply chain.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.6%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

34 / 62 earnings

Positive

+24.0%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-32.8%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+11.2%+17.0%+11.4%
Q1 2026+5.9%+7.2%-3.5%
Q4 2025+11.4%+13.6%+23.0%
Q2 2025+5.5%+8.7%+10.3%
Q1 2025-4.6%-9.9%-24.3%
Q4 2024+13.1%+8.2%+14.1%
Q3 2024-3.8%-3.7%+8.2%
Q2 2024+3.8%+3.9%+2.0%
Q1 2024-6.9%-7.3%+7.5%
Q4 2023+5.6%+12.2%+18.3%
Q3 2023+10.9%+12.7%+23.6%
Q2 2023-1.1%-5.7%+7.3%
Q1 2023-3.7%+0.1%+4.0%
Q4 2022+12.4%+15.6%+19.7%
Q3 2022+6.2%+8.0%+5.9%
Q2 2022-0.9%+2.9%+6.6%
Q1 2022-4.7%-2.8%-4.0%
Q4 2021-0.3%+0.7%+0.6%
Q3 2021+3.0%+1.7%+3.7%
Q2 2021-8.1%-12.5%-3.9%
Q1 2021+1.6%+13.4%+15.0%
Q4 2020+8.1%+3.4%+19.7%
Q3 2020+19.6%+17.1%+0.6%
Q2 2020+15.2%+8.9%+19.2%
Q1 2020+12.9%+4.5%-11.3%
Q4 2019+13.0%+10.5%+12.4%
Q3 2019-1.1%+0.4%+0.1%
Q2 2019+18.7%+15.2%+13.8%
Q1 2019-19.3%-13.0%-6.9%
Q4 2018+20.6%+21.0%+6.4%
Q3 2018-4.8%-0.7%+4.6%
Q2 2018+24.0%+29.1%+35.7%
Q1 2018-32.8%-33.8%-20.8%
Q4 2017-17.9%-10.2%-13.3%
Q3 2017-24.9%-30.4%-24.8%
Q2 2017-6.8%-9.5%+10.9%
Q1 2017-5.4%-1.9%-5.6%
Q4 2016+8.4%+15.1%+21.7%
Q3 2016+6.2%+6.1%+11.2%
Q2 2016+7.7%
Q1 2016-1.9%
Q4 2015+4.0%
Q3 2015+11.3%
Q2 2015+4.3%
Q1 2015-8.0%
Q4 2014+8.6%
Q3 2014-3.0%
Q2 2014+1.7%
Q1 2014+1.4%
Q4 2013-7.6%
Q3 2013+4.6%
Q2 2013-2.4%
Q1 2012-1.7%
Q1 2013+1.4%
Q4 2010+5.2%
Q1 2011+5.2%
Q4 2012+1.4%
Q3 2012-6.6%
Q3 2011-6.6%
Q2 2011-4.0%
Q2 2012-4.0%
Q4 2011-4.0%

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