NASDAQ$MTSI

Macom Technology Solutions · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

MACOM's financial performance for Q3 2022 reflected revenue increase compared to the previous year fiscal third quarter and prior fiscal quarter.

MACOM reported a revenue of $172.3 million, a 12.9% increase compared to the previous year fiscal third quarter and a 4.3% increase compared to the prior fiscal quarter. Net income was $32.2 million, or $0.45 per diluted share, compared to net income of $15.0 million, or $0.21 per diluted share, in the previous year fiscal third quarter and net income of $29.6 million, or $0.42 per diluted share, in the prior fiscal quarter.

  • Revenue was $172.3 million, an increase of 12.9% year-over-year and 4.3% sequentially.
  • Gross margin was 60.7%, compared to 57.2% in the previous year fiscal third quarter and 59.9% in the prior fiscal quarter
  • Operating income was $36.0 million, compared to $23.7 million in the previous year fiscal third quarter and $32.6 million in the prior fiscal quarter.
  • Net income was $32.2 million, or $0.45 per diluted share, compared to $15.0 million, or $0.21 per diluted share, in the previous year fiscal third quarter and $29.6 million, or $0.42 per diluted share, in the prior fiscal quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$172M

Previous: $153M+12.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.73

Previous: $0.57+28.1%
Adjusted Gross Margin

62.2%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$18.8M

Previous: -$12.9M-45.6%
Free Cash Flow

$13.4M

Previous: $2.08M+545.3%
Net Income

$32.2M

Previous: $15M+114.8%
Operating Income

$36M

Previous: $23.7M+52.1%
Gross Profit

$105M

Previous: $87.3M+19.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$132M

Previous: $144M-8.3%
Total Assets

$1.33B

Previous: $1.1B+21.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$10.3M

Previous: $8.14M+27.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Macom · Revenue · Quarterly

$172M

Q3 2022+12.9%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the fiscal fourth quarter ending September 30, 2022, MACOM expects revenue to be in the range of $175 million to $180 million. Adjusted gross margin is expected to be between 61.5% and 63.5%, and adjusted earnings per share is expected to be between $0.74 and $0.78.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be in the range of $175 million to $180 million.
  • Adjusted gross margin is expected to be between 61.5% and 63.5%.
  • Adjusted earnings per share is expected to be between $0.74 and $0.78.
  • Anticipated non-GAAP income tax rate of 3%.
  • 71.4 million fully diluted shares outstanding.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.6%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

34 / 62 earnings

Positive

+24.0%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-32.8%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+11.2%+17.0%+11.4%
Q1 2026+5.9%+7.2%-3.5%
Q4 2025+11.4%+13.6%+23.0%
Q2 2025+5.5%+8.7%+10.3%
Q1 2025-4.6%-9.9%-24.3%
Q4 2024+13.1%+8.2%+14.1%
Q3 2024-3.8%-3.7%+8.2%
Q2 2024+3.8%+3.9%+2.0%
Q1 2024-6.9%-7.3%+7.5%
Q4 2023+5.6%+12.2%+18.3%
Q3 2023+10.9%+12.7%+23.6%
Q2 2023-1.1%-5.7%+7.3%
Q1 2023-3.7%+0.1%+4.0%
Q4 2022+12.4%+15.6%+19.7%
Q3 2022+6.2%+8.0%+5.9%
Q2 2022-0.9%+2.9%+6.6%
Q1 2022-4.7%-2.8%-4.0%
Q4 2021-0.3%+0.7%+0.6%
Q3 2021+3.0%+1.7%+3.7%
Q2 2021-8.1%-12.5%-3.9%
Q1 2021+1.6%+13.4%+15.0%
Q4 2020+8.1%+3.4%+19.7%
Q3 2020+19.6%+17.1%+0.6%
Q2 2020+15.2%+8.9%+19.2%
Q1 2020+12.9%+4.5%-11.3%
Q4 2019+13.0%+10.5%+12.4%
Q3 2019-1.1%+0.4%+0.1%
Q2 2019+18.7%+15.2%+13.8%
Q1 2019-19.3%-13.0%-6.9%
Q4 2018+20.6%+21.0%+6.4%
Q3 2018-4.8%-0.7%+4.6%
Q2 2018+24.0%+29.1%+35.7%
Q1 2018-32.8%-33.8%-20.8%
Q4 2017-17.9%-10.2%-13.3%
Q3 2017-24.9%-30.4%-24.8%
Q2 2017-6.8%-9.5%+10.9%
Q1 2017-5.4%-1.9%-5.6%
Q4 2016+8.4%+15.1%+21.7%
Q3 2016+6.2%+6.1%+11.2%
Q2 2016+7.7%
Q1 2016-1.9%
Q4 2015+4.0%
Q3 2015+11.3%
Q2 2015+4.3%
Q1 2015-8.0%
Q4 2014+8.6%
Q3 2014-3.0%
Q2 2014+1.7%
Q1 2014+1.4%
Q4 2013-7.6%
Q3 2013+4.6%
Q2 2013-2.4%
Q1 2012-1.7%
Q1 2013+1.4%
Q4 2010+5.2%
Q1 2011+5.2%
Q4 2012+1.4%
Q3 2012-6.6%
Q3 2011-6.6%
Q2 2011-4.0%
Q2 2012-4.0%
Q4 2011-4.0%

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