NASDAQ$MTCH

Match Group, Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Match Group delivered solid operating and financial results with revenue up 10% year-over-year and record profitability.

Match Group's Q4 2023 showed strong financial performance with a 10% increase in total revenue, reaching $866 million. Operating income surged by 144% to $260 million, representing a 30% operating margin. Adjusted Operating Income was $362 million, up 27% year-over-year, with a 42% margin. Tinder's direct revenue grew by 11%, while Hinge saw a 50% increase.

  • Total Revenue grew 10% year-over-year to $866 million.
  • Operating income was $260 million, up 144% year-over-year, representing a 30% operating margin.
  • Tinder Direct Revenue increased by 11%, while Hinge Direct Revenue was up 50%.
  • Adjusted Operating Income was $362 million, a 27% increase year-over-year, with a 42% margin.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$866M

Previous: $786M+10.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.81

Previous: $0.30+170.0%
Payers

15.2M

Previous: 16.1M-5.5%
RPP

$18.67

Previous: $16.00+16.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$17.4M

Previous: $10.8M-261.8%
Net Income

$230M

Previous: $84.6M+171.6%
Operating Income

$260M

Previous: $107M+143.0%
Gross Profit

$625M

Previous: $550M+13.6%
R&D Expense

$97.6M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$68.2M

Previous: $53.6M+27.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Match Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$866M

Q4 2023+10.2%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Match Group · $635M total across 1 segment · Q4 2020

  • Direct Revenue
    $635M

Forward guidance

For Q1 2024, Match Group expects total revenue between $850 to $860 million, representing 8% to 9% year-over-year growth. For the full year 2024, the company anticipates total revenue between $3,565 to $3,665 million, a 6% to 9% increase year-over-year.

Tailwinds

  • Expects Match Group to deliver Total Revenue of $850 to $860 million, representing Y/Y growth of 8% to 9%.
  • For Tinder, expects Direct Revenue to be $480 to $485 million, representing Y/Y growth of 9% to 10%, driven by continued RPP expansion.
  • Across other brands, expects Direct Revenue of $355 to $360 million, representing Y/Y growth of 7% to 8%.
  • At Hinge expects Direct Revenue to be approximately $120 million, representing Y/Y growth of 45%.
  • Expects Q1 Match Group AOI to be $270 to $275 million, representing a margin of 32% at the midpoint of the ranges.

Headwinds

  • Payer declines in part due to daily new user softness.
  • Expects an approximately $30 million Y/Y increase in marketing spend, particularly at Tinder and Hinge.
  • Includes an estimated one and a half point Y/Y headwind from FX.
  • Expects FCF generation of nearly $1.1 billion, representing low 80s% conversion of AOI in 2024 and Y/Y growth of approximately 30%.
  • Expects stock-based compensation expense of $275 to $285 million and capital expenditures of $55 to $65 million in 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+28.5%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-16.5%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%-3.2%-10.0%
Q4 2025+5.9%+12.8%+5.4%
Q3 2025+5.2%+5.6%+9.4%
Q1 2025-9.7%-5.2%+4.8%
Q4 2024-7.9%-7.8%-10.6%
Q3 2024-15.8%-13.5%-10.9%
Q2 2024+14.9%+10.5%+12.0%
Q1 2024-7.5%-4.8%+1.4%
Q4 2023+0.0%-2.5%-6.1%
Q3 2023-14.0%-13.5%-4.9%
Q2 2023-1.6%-5.8%+0.8%
Q1 2023-6.7%-7.6%+5.7%
Q4 2022-1.9%-7.5%-20.4%
Q3 2022+5.9%-0.4%+15.6%
Q2 2022-14.0%-7.8%-24.6%
Q1 2022+4.0%-8.2%+4.3%
Q4 2021+4.7%+2.9%-8.6%
Q3 2021-0.7%+4.3%-16.7%
Q2 2021-6.7%-9.6%-8.8%
Q1 2021-3.2%-1.5%-7.8%
Q4 2020-5.4%+9.5%-1.6%
Q3 2020+11.0%+12.8%+19.5%
Q2 2020+9.3%+5.0%+0.1%
Q1 2020+3.2%-0.2%+12.5%
Q4 2019-4.1%-8.6%-20.9%
Q3 2019-5.9%-3.0%-4.3%
Q2 2019+28.5%+19.9%+14.5%
Q1 2019+8.5%+7.5%+13.1%
Q4 2018+0.1%+3.7%-4.8%
Q3 2018-16.5%-16.6%-19.6%
Q2 2018+18.7%+32.3%+31.3%
Q1 2018+4.1%+14.4%+15.5%
Q4 2017+6.5%+5.6%+31.1%
Q3 2017+6.6%+2.6%+7.6%
Q2 2017+4.2%+3.1%+19.2%
Q1 2017-3.6%+0.7%+1.1%
Q4 2016-5.4%+0.2%-8.0%
Q3 2016-13.1%-14.2%-6.1%
Q2 2016-2.2%-1.7%-2.2%
Q1 2016+13.5%
Q4 2015-1.9%
Q2 2015+7.4%
Q3 2015-0.6%
Q1 2015+2.7%
Q4 2014+1.9%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q3 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014+0.5%
Q4 2013+2.5%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013+1.1%
Q1 2013-0.9%
Q4 2012+0.5%
Q3 2012-0.3%
Q2 2012+1.2%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011+3.2%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2011-6.1%
Q1 2010-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2008+0.3%
Q4 2010+0.3%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q3 2009+0.1%
Q4 2009+0.8%
Q2 2010+0.8%
Q2 2009+0.8%

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