NASDAQ$MTCH

Match Group, Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Revenue increased and operating income improved.

Match Group's total revenue grew by 23% year-over-year to $668 million. Operating income increased by 38% to $189 million, representing a 28% operating margin. Average Subscribers increased 12% to 11.1 million, and ARPU increased 9% to $0.64.

  • Total revenue grew 23% over the prior year quarter to $668 million.
  • Tinder Direct Revenue grew 18% year-over-year, driven by 15% Average Subscriber growth, and ARPU growth of 4%.
  • Operating income was $189 million, an increase of 38% over the prior year quarter representing an operating margin of 28%.
  • Average Subscribers increased 12% to 11.1 million, up from 9.9 million in the prior year quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$668M

Previous: $1.23B-45.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.57

Previous: $0.55+3.6%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

34.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$10.3M

Previous: -$24.6M+58.2%
Free Cash Flow

$164M

Previous: -$236M+169.4%
Net Income

$174M

Previous: -$211M+182.4%
Operating Income

$189M

Previous: -$178M+206.5%
Gross Profit

$488M

Previous: $906M-46.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$846M

Previous: $2.82B-70.0%
Total Assets

$3.21B

Previous: $8.43B-61.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$30.1M

Previous: $21.2M+42.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Match Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$668M

Q1 2021-45.7%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Match Group · $635M total across 1 segment · Q4 2020

  • Direct Revenue
    $635M

Forward guidance

For Q2 2021, Match Group expects total revenue of $680 – $690 million, representing 22%-24% year-over-year growth. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $255 to $260 million.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue of $680 – $690 million, representing 22%-24% year-over-year growth
  • Both the Tinder and Non-Tinder businesses to contribute growth of 20%+
  • Continue to see recovery across the portfolio, especially compared to Q2 2020, which was impacted by COVID.
  • The accelerating re-openings in the U.S. have driven improvement at many of our brands.
  • Increasingly confident that we are on track to achieve the high end of our previously provided ranges of mid to high-teens revenue and EBITDA growth for full year 2021.

Headwinds

  • Anticipate investing into this momentum by spending an incremental ~$40 million on sales and marketing compared to Q2 2020.
  • The situation in the rest of the world remains more mixed, with the COVID trends in India, Brazil, Japan and certain European markets worsening.
  • Varying trends by country and slow progress on vaccine distribution make it clear that the post-pandemic recovery is going to take some time to play out.
  • There will be incremental sales and marketing spend.
  • COVID trends in some countries are worsening.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+28.5%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-16.5%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%-3.2%-10.0%
Q4 2025+5.9%+12.8%+5.4%
Q3 2025+5.2%+5.6%+9.4%
Q1 2025-9.7%-5.2%+4.8%
Q4 2024-7.9%-7.8%-10.6%
Q3 2024-15.8%-13.5%-10.9%
Q2 2024+14.9%+10.5%+12.0%
Q1 2024-7.5%-4.8%+1.4%
Q4 2023+0.0%-2.5%-6.1%
Q3 2023-14.0%-13.5%-4.9%
Q2 2023-1.6%-5.8%+0.8%
Q1 2023-6.7%-7.6%+5.7%
Q4 2022-1.9%-7.5%-20.4%
Q3 2022+5.9%-0.4%+15.6%
Q2 2022-14.0%-7.8%-24.6%
Q1 2022+4.0%-8.2%+4.3%
Q4 2021+4.7%+2.9%-8.6%
Q3 2021-0.7%+4.3%-16.7%
Q2 2021-6.7%-9.6%-8.8%
Q1 2021-3.2%-1.5%-7.8%
Q4 2020-5.4%+9.5%-1.6%
Q3 2020+11.0%+12.8%+19.5%
Q2 2020+9.3%+5.0%+0.1%
Q1 2020+3.2%-0.2%+12.5%
Q4 2019-4.1%-8.6%-20.9%
Q3 2019-5.9%-3.0%-4.3%
Q2 2019+28.5%+19.9%+14.5%
Q1 2019+8.5%+7.5%+13.1%
Q4 2018+0.1%+3.7%-4.8%
Q3 2018-16.5%-16.6%-19.6%
Q2 2018+18.7%+32.3%+31.3%
Q1 2018+4.1%+14.4%+15.5%
Q4 2017+6.5%+5.6%+31.1%
Q3 2017+6.6%+2.6%+7.6%
Q2 2017+4.2%+3.1%+19.2%
Q1 2017-3.6%+0.7%+1.1%
Q4 2016-5.4%+0.2%-8.0%
Q3 2016-13.1%-14.2%-6.1%
Q2 2016-2.2%-1.7%-2.2%
Q1 2016+13.5%
Q4 2015-1.9%
Q2 2015+7.4%
Q3 2015-0.6%
Q1 2015+2.7%
Q4 2014+1.9%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q3 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014+0.5%
Q4 2013+2.5%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013+1.1%
Q1 2013-0.9%
Q4 2012+0.5%
Q3 2012-0.3%
Q2 2012+1.2%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011+3.2%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2011-6.1%
Q1 2010-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2008+0.3%
Q4 2010+0.3%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q3 2009+0.1%
Q4 2009+0.8%
Q2 2010+0.8%
Q2 2009+0.8%

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