NASDAQ$MOMO

Hello Group Inc-ADR · Q2 2025 earnings

Q2 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Hello Group Q2 2025: revenue down 2.6% to RMB2.62B as overseas growth offsets mainland softness

Hello Group (MOMO) reported Q2 2025 net revenues of RMB2,620.4 million, down 2.6% year over year, as weak consumer sentiment weighed on the legacy Momo and Tantan apps in China while overseas revenue surged 72.7% to RMB442.4 million led by Soulchill and new MENA brands. Net loss attributable to Hello Group was RMB140.2 million versus net income of RMB397.8 million in Q2 2024, primarily due to a RMB547.9 million one-time withholding tax accrual after Chinese tax authorities required Momo Beijing to withhold at 10% instead of a previously applied 5% preferential rate on dividends to Hong Kong. Non-GAAP net loss attributable was RMB96.0 million versus non-GAAP net income of RMB449.2 million. Diluted GAAP EPS was a loss of RMB0.42 per ordinary share (RMB0.84 per ADS); non-GAAP diluted EPS was a loss of RMB0.29 per ordinary share. Income from operations was RMB403.5 million and non-GAAP operating income was RMB447.7 million. Momo paying users fell to 3.5 million from 7.2 million, while Tantan had 0.7 million paying users. Management guided Q3 revenue of RMB2.59–2.69 billion.

  • Net revenue of RMB2.62B (-2.6% YoY) with overseas revenue up 72.7% to RMB442.4M offsetting mainland decline to RMB2.18B
  • GAAP net loss attributable RMB140.2M driven by RMB547.9M one-time dividend withholding tax accrual unrelated to core operations
  • Non-GAAP net loss attributable RMB96.0M; operating income RMB403.5M with non-GAAP operating income RMB447.7M
  • Momo paying users 3.5M vs 7.2M YoY; Tantan paying users 0.7M vs 1.0M YoY; Tantan MAU 10.2M in June 2025
  • Q3 2025 revenue guidance RMB2.59–2.69B (-3.2% to +0.6% YoY); $300.3M of ADS repurchases completed to date

Headline financials

Total Revenue

¥2.62B

Previous: ¥372M+605.1%
EPS (adj)

-¥0.29

Previous: ¥0.33-187.9%
Momo App Paying Users

3.5M

No prior period
Tantan Paying Users

700.0K

No prior period
Overseas Revenue YoY Growth

72.7%

No prior period
Net Income

-¥140M

Previous: ¥54.9M-355.3%
Operating Income

¥403M

Previous: ¥57.5M+602.2%
Cash & Equivalents

¥12.4B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Hello Group · Revenue · Quarterly

¥2.62B

Q2 2025+605.1%vs Q2 2024
Beat estimate in 10 of 12 quarters(83%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Hello Group · ¥2.62B total across 2 segments · Q2 2025

  • Chinese Mainland
    ¥2.18B
  • Overseas
    ¥442M

Forward guidance

For Q3 2025, Hello Group expects total net revenues of RMB2.59 billion to RMB2.69 billion, representing a year-over-year decrease of 3.2% to an increase of 0.6%.

Tailwinds

  • Overseas portfolio expected to remain a growing revenue contributor with Soulchill momentum
  • Momo business fundamentals stabilizing with revenue and profit above initial expectations

Headwinds

  • Mainland paying-user attrition persists amid weak consumer sentiment
  • Higher 10% dividend withholding tax rate will continue to accrue on Momo Beijing dividends to Hong Kong

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2025

Historical avgQ2 2025

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

22 / 47 earnings

Positive

+70.1%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-22.2%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+3.0%+0.0%+6.7%
Q3 2025-6.2%-5.0%-5.6%
Q2 2025-2.8%-7.9%-12.2%
Q1 2025+13.0%+29.1%+35.5%
Q4 2024-8.4%-3.8%-29.0%
Q3 2024+11.8%+15.8%+1.9%
Q2 2024-6.6%-3.9%+14.3%
Q1 2024-3.3%+2.2%+8.9%
Q4 2023-22.2%-22.7%-30.9%
Q3 2023+4.7%+4.9%+0.5%
Q2 2023-9.2%-15.1%-26.8%
Q1 2023+0.9%+2.6%+10.4%
Q4 2022-5.8%+1.3%+3.8%
Q3 2022+70.1%+55.2%+87.0%
Q2 2022+3.3%-2.5%-10.3%
Q1 2022-0.6%-16.0%-18.1%
Q4 2021-5.1%-8.1%-39.7%
Q3 2021-15.3%-23.3%-24.3%
Q2 2021+0.3%+1.9%-18.4%
Q1 2021+5.0%+13.4%-0.8%
Q4 2020-0.6%+1.5%+4.3%
Q3 2020-7.2%-5.5%-2.9%
Q2 2020-22.1%-26.6%-25.5%
Q1 2020-8.1%-7.1%-20.5%
Q4 2019+9.4%+13.1%+19.0%
Q3 2019-3.0%-2.7%-8.2%
Q2 2019+6.7%+12.4%+1.3%
Q1 2019+8.6%+6.0%+38.4%
Q4 2018+16.1%+18.3%+14.3%
Q3 2018-14.6%-23.4%-19.8%
Q2 2018+8.6%+15.9%+14.7%
Q1 2018+10.7%+27.3%+14.0%
Q4 2017+5.2%+9.0%+7.2%
Q3 2017-17.4%-27.0%-18.7%
Q2 2017-18.5%-21.1%-21.4%
Q1 2017-9.8%-8.6%-9.1%
Q4 2016+28.5%+15.7%+29.9%
Q3 2016-12.0%-18.3%-21.9%
Q2 2016-3.4%-0.6%+46.4%
Q1 2016+8.6%
Q4 2015-6.9%
Q3 2015-13.8%
Q2 2015+34.2%
Q4 2012+1.3%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q4 2014+1.3%
Q1 2015-12.1%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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