NASDAQ$MOMO

Hello Group Inc-ADR · Q3 2025 earnings

Q3 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Hello Group Q3 2025: revenue slips 0.9% to RMB2.65B as overseas growth offsets mainland softness

Hello Group (MOMO) reported Q3 2025 net revenues of RMB2,650.1 million (US$372.3 million), down 0.9% year over year, as weak consumer sentiment and broadcaster-agency disruptions weighed on the legacy Momo and Tantan apps in China. Overseas revenue surged 69.0% to RMB534.8 million, driven by audio- and video-based social entertainment brands in the MENA region. Net income attributable to Hello Group fell to RMB348.9 million from RMB449.4 million, while non-GAAP net income was RMB404.5 million. Diluted GAAP EPS was RMB1.03 per ordinary share (RMB2.06 per ADS) versus RMB1.23 a year ago; non-GAAP diluted EPS was RMB1.19 per ordinary share. Income from operations declined to RMB344.5 million. Momo paying users fell to 3.7 million from 6.9 million, while Tantan had 0.7 million paying users. The company guided Q4 revenue of RMB2.52–2.62 billion and noted RMB341.6 million of ADS repurchases under its buyback program.

  • Net revenue of RMB2.65B (-0.9% YoY) beat the modest decline implied by mainland weakness thanks to 69% overseas growth to RMB534.8M
  • Net income attributable fell 22% to RMB348.9M; non-GAAP net income was RMB404.5M with operating income of RMB344.5M
  • Momo paying users dropped to 3.7M from 6.9M YoY; Tantan paying users held at 0.7M as the company de-emphasizes Tantan MAU tracking
  • Mainland revenue fell to RMB2.12B while overseas revenue more than offset with RMB535M, led by new MENA social entertainment apps
  • Q4 2025 revenue guidance of RMB2.52–2.62B implies -4.4% to -0.6% YoY; company has repurchased 54.7M ADSs for $341.6M at $6.23 average

Headline financials

Total Revenue

¥2.65B

Previous: ¥373M+610.2%
EPS (adj)

¥1.19

Previous: ¥0.38+213.2%
Momo App Paying Users

3.7M

No prior period
Tantan Paying Users

700.0K

No prior period
Overseas Revenue YoY Growth

69.0%

No prior period
Net Income

¥349M

Previous: ¥62.7M+456.5%
Operating Income

¥345M

Previous: ¥54.2M+535.6%
Cash & Equivalents

¥8.86B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Hello Group · Revenue · Quarterly

¥2.65B

Q3 2025+610.2%vs Q3 2024
Beat estimate in 10 of 12 quarters(83%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Hello Group · ¥2.65B total across 2 segments · Q3 2025

  • Chinese Mainland
    ¥2.12B
  • Overseas
    ¥535M

Forward guidance

For Q4 2025, Hello Group expects total net revenues of RMB2.52 billion to RMB2.62 billion, representing a year-over-year decrease of 4.4% to 0.6%.

Tailwinds

  • Overseas portfolio expected to remain a growing revenue contributor
  • Continued share repurchases with $144.5M remaining under the buyback program

Headwinds

  • Guidance implies further YoY revenue decline at the midpoint
  • Mainland Momo app still faces weak consumer sentiment and paying-user attrition

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2025

Historical avgQ3 2025

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

22 / 47 earnings

Positive

+70.1%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-22.2%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+3.0%+0.0%+6.7%
Q3 2025-6.2%-5.0%-5.6%
Q2 2025-2.8%-7.9%-12.2%
Q1 2025+13.0%+29.1%+35.5%
Q4 2024-8.4%-3.8%-29.0%
Q3 2024+11.8%+15.8%+1.9%
Q2 2024-6.6%-3.9%+14.3%
Q1 2024-3.3%+2.2%+8.9%
Q4 2023-22.2%-22.7%-30.9%
Q3 2023+4.7%+4.9%+0.5%
Q2 2023-9.2%-15.1%-26.8%
Q1 2023+0.9%+2.6%+10.4%
Q4 2022-5.8%+1.3%+3.8%
Q3 2022+70.1%+55.2%+87.0%
Q2 2022+3.3%-2.5%-10.3%
Q1 2022-0.6%-16.0%-18.1%
Q4 2021-5.1%-8.1%-39.7%
Q3 2021-15.3%-23.3%-24.3%
Q2 2021+0.3%+1.9%-18.4%
Q1 2021+5.0%+13.4%-0.8%
Q4 2020-0.6%+1.5%+4.3%
Q3 2020-7.2%-5.5%-2.9%
Q2 2020-22.1%-26.6%-25.5%
Q1 2020-8.1%-7.1%-20.5%
Q4 2019+9.4%+13.1%+19.0%
Q3 2019-3.0%-2.7%-8.2%
Q2 2019+6.7%+12.4%+1.3%
Q1 2019+8.6%+6.0%+38.4%
Q4 2018+16.1%+18.3%+14.3%
Q3 2018-14.6%-23.4%-19.8%
Q2 2018+8.6%+15.9%+14.7%
Q1 2018+10.7%+27.3%+14.0%
Q4 2017+5.2%+9.0%+7.2%
Q3 2017-17.4%-27.0%-18.7%
Q2 2017-18.5%-21.1%-21.4%
Q1 2017-9.8%-8.6%-9.1%
Q4 2016+28.5%+15.7%+29.9%
Q3 2016-12.0%-18.3%-21.9%
Q2 2016-3.4%-0.6%+46.4%
Q1 2016+8.6%
Q4 2015-6.9%
Q3 2015-13.8%
Q2 2015+34.2%
Q4 2012+1.3%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q4 2014+1.3%
Q1 2015-12.1%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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