NASDAQ$MCRI

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Monarch reported record fourth quarter financial results, driven by the ongoing ramp up of the expanded and enhanced Black Hawk property.

Monarch Casino & Resort reported a strong 2022 fourth quarter with record financial results. Net revenue reached $120.5 million, and Adjusted EBITDA grew to $41.6 million, with a margin of 34.5%. The company is benefiting from the ongoing ramp up of its Black Hawk property.

  • Net revenue increased by 8.5% year over year to $120.5 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA grew by 6.6% year over year to $41.6 million, with an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 34.5%.
  • Net income increased by 12.9% compared to the same period last year.
  • Diluted EPS increased by 11.8% compared to the same period last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$121M

Previous: $111M+8.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.14

Previous: $1.02+11.8%
Capital Expenditures

$8.05M

Previous: $19.9M-59.6%
Free Cash Flow

$25.5M

Previous: $11.9M+114.7%
Net Income

$22.4M

Previous: $19.9M+12.9%
Gross Profit

$64.6M

Previous: $60.3M+7.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$38.8M

Previous: $33.5M+15.7%
Total Assets

$693M

Previous: $690M+0.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.65M

Previous: $961K+72.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Monarch · Revenue · Quarterly

$121M

Q4 2022+8.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Monarch expects to continue investing in its existing operations and pursue potential M&A opportunities. The company anticipates completing hotel room renovations at the Atlantis property before Memorial Day 2023 and expects to pay total cash dividends of $5.90 per share for the calendar year 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Continuing strength of balance sheet.
  • Expected free cash flow generation.
  • Expectations regarding continuing dividend payments in the future.
  • Beliefs regarding the strengths of the local markets served in Reno and Black Hawk.
  • Expectations regarding the completion of room renovations at the Atlantis.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.7%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+19.1%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-34.0%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+15.8%+19.3%+18.3%
Q4 2025+2.3%+7.4%+5.6%
Q3 2025-4.2%-4.2%-0.6%
Q2 2025-1.3%-0.6%+2.3%
Q1 2025+2.4%+1.6%+7.7%
Q3 2024+6.3%+7.3%+14.5%
Q2 2024+9.4%+11.6%+6.1%
Q1 2024-5.5%-3.0%-4.4%
Q4 2023+0.6%-0.8%+3.3%
Q3 2023-7.4%-4.2%+2.8%
Q2 2023-5.1%-4.6%-10.5%
Q1 2023-3.5%-5.7%-10.5%
Q4 2022+0.1%-0.5%-8.4%
Q3 2022+15.5%+21.5%+33.8%
Q2 2022-1.0%+0.2%+7.8%
Q1 2022-17.4%-15.8%-27.2%
Q4 2021+10.3%+7.7%+16.3%
Q3 2021+9.7%+7.4%+6.1%
Q2 2021+6.8%+6.2%+9.4%
Q1 2021+9.8%+7.4%+4.3%
Q4 2020+6.4%+10.6%+4.0%
Q3 2020+5.0%+13.5%+36.8%
Q2 2020-0.3%-0.5%+24.0%
Q1 2020+3.4%+22.5%+47.0%
Q4 2019-34.0%-46.4%-10.8%
Q3 2019-0.4%-0.7%+5.2%
Q2 2019+4.0%+5.8%-3.2%
Q1 2019-5.9%-4.7%-4.0%
Q4 2018+2.6%+2.3%-1.4%
Q3 2018-4.9%-13.8%-14.0%
Q2 2018+1.0%+0.1%+1.3%
Q1 2018-0.9%-1.0%+4.6%
Q4 2017-4.7%-4.8%-4.6%
Q3 2017+5.4%+8.4%+12.8%
Q2 2017+14.4%+13.4%+14.9%
Q1 2017+1.4%+0.2%+2.8%
Q4 2016+5.7%+7.9%+19.2%
Q3 2016-0.2%-2.7%+7.5%
Q2 2016-0.8%+1.2%+2.9%
Q1 2016-2.0%
Q4 2015+8.4%
Q3 2015+19.1%
Q2 2015+1.9%
Q1 2015+4.8%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014+8.4%
Q2 2014-5.6%
Q1 2014+2.4%
Q4 2013+1.9%
Q3 2013-12.8%
Q2 2013+6.5%
Q1 2013+10.8%
Q4 2012-4.1%
Q3 2012+3.9%
Q2 2012-0.8%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q1 2012+2.7%
Q4 2009-4.9%
Q4 2011-4.9%
Q3 2011-5.5%
Q3 2010-5.5%
Q2 2011-3.6%
Q2 2010-3.6%
Q4 2010-3.6%
Q1 2010+10.4%

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