NASDAQ$MCRI

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Monarch Casino & Resort reported record financial results.

Monarch Casino & Resort reported record consolidated net revenue of $75.0 million, an increase of 46.9% from $51.0 million in the prior year period. The Company generated record consolidated Adjusted EBITDA of $22.8 million in the first quarter of 2021, an increase of $14.7 million, or 181.6%, over the same period a year ago.

  • Net revenue and Adjusted EBITDA reached all-time company highs at $75.0 million and $22.8 million, respectively.
  • Atlantis and Black Hawk properties both generated record first quarter high Net revenue and Adjusted EBITDA.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin reached a record first quarter high of 30.5%.
  • Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk performance exceeded expectations, driving higher casino revenue and establishing new sources of hotel and food and beverage revenue.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$75M

Previous: $51M+46.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.42

Previous: $0.11+281.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$6.43M

Previous: -$10.8M+40.7%
Free Cash Flow

$1.73M

Previous: -$8.82M+119.6%
Net Income

$8.15M

Previous: $2.02M+303.7%
Operating Income

-$9.56M

Previous: -$17.1M+44.1%
Gross Profit

$11.3M

Previous: $2.11M+434.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$24.1M

Previous: $39.4M-38.7%
Total Assets

$665M

Previous: $594M+11.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.28M

Previous: $873K+46.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Monarch · Revenue · Quarterly

$75M

Q1 2021+46.9%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Monarch believes that their Reno and Black Hawk markets will enable them to generate strong returns as the recovery momentum builds over the course of 2021 and into 2022. They also anticipate reducing leverage and further improving their balance sheet, which will position the Company to evaluate and pursue attractive acquisition opportunities.

Tailwinds

  • Reno and Black Hawk markets will enable strong returns.
  • Reducing leverage.
  • Further improving balance sheet.
  • Positioned to evaluate and pursue attractive acquisition opportunities.
  • Amendment 77 allowing unlimited single bets and new casino games represents a transformative opportunity.

Headwinds

  • Markets operated under state-imposed capacity and other restrictions, which negatively impacted hotel and food and beverage performance.
  • Managing labor remains a major factor for the business.
  • Ramping up staffing in Black Hawk and look to restore amenities at both properties.
  • Shortage of qualified applicants.
  • Wage pressure remain key challenges.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.7%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+19.1%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-34.0%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+15.8%+19.3%+18.3%
Q4 2025+2.3%+7.4%+5.6%
Q3 2025-4.2%-4.2%-0.6%
Q2 2025-1.3%-0.6%+2.3%
Q1 2025+2.4%+1.6%+7.7%
Q3 2024+6.3%+7.3%+14.5%
Q2 2024+9.4%+11.6%+6.1%
Q1 2024-5.5%-3.0%-4.4%
Q4 2023+0.6%-0.8%+3.3%
Q3 2023-7.4%-4.2%+2.8%
Q2 2023-5.1%-4.6%-10.5%
Q1 2023-3.5%-5.7%-10.5%
Q4 2022+0.1%-0.5%-8.4%
Q3 2022+15.5%+21.5%+33.8%
Q2 2022-1.0%+0.2%+7.8%
Q1 2022-17.4%-15.8%-27.2%
Q4 2021+10.3%+7.7%+16.3%
Q3 2021+9.7%+7.4%+6.1%
Q2 2021+6.8%+6.2%+9.4%
Q1 2021+9.8%+7.4%+4.3%
Q4 2020+6.4%+10.6%+4.0%
Q3 2020+5.0%+13.5%+36.8%
Q2 2020-0.3%-0.5%+24.0%
Q1 2020+3.4%+22.5%+47.0%
Q4 2019-34.0%-46.4%-10.8%
Q3 2019-0.4%-0.7%+5.2%
Q2 2019+4.0%+5.8%-3.2%
Q1 2019-5.9%-4.7%-4.0%
Q4 2018+2.6%+2.3%-1.4%
Q3 2018-4.9%-13.8%-14.0%
Q2 2018+1.0%+0.1%+1.3%
Q1 2018-0.9%-1.0%+4.6%
Q4 2017-4.7%-4.8%-4.6%
Q3 2017+5.4%+8.4%+12.8%
Q2 2017+14.4%+13.4%+14.9%
Q1 2017+1.4%+0.2%+2.8%
Q4 2016+5.7%+7.9%+19.2%
Q3 2016-0.2%-2.7%+7.5%
Q2 2016-0.8%+1.2%+2.9%
Q1 2016-2.0%
Q4 2015+8.4%
Q3 2015+19.1%
Q2 2015+1.9%
Q1 2015+4.8%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014+8.4%
Q2 2014-5.6%
Q1 2014+2.4%
Q4 2013+1.9%
Q3 2013-12.8%
Q2 2013+6.5%
Q1 2013+10.8%
Q4 2012-4.1%
Q3 2012+3.9%
Q2 2012-0.8%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q1 2012+2.7%
Q4 2009-4.9%
Q4 2011-4.9%
Q3 2011-5.5%
Q3 2010-5.5%
Q2 2011-3.6%
Q2 2010-3.6%
Q4 2010-3.6%
Q1 2010+10.4%

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